As soon as I stood up and learned to walk, I began to question why I couldn’t run faster than others. The accumulation of high technology is not like picking up a secret book in a martial arts novel to become a peerless master. Generations of talents accumulate patents one by one, and it is not that easy to catch up.
In ancient times, we valued learning and excellence to serve as officials. In tradition, the ultimate and most legitimate pursuit of a student is to become an official. Although there are some people who advocate the ideal of rebirth, it is generally the next best thing to do after political ambitions cannot be realized. For ordinary people, being an official is the only way to honor one's ancestors. The workplace is deeply affected. From a professional perspective, management despises rules, resulting in management positions having too much decision-making power and being more arbitrary. In the end, if you don't turn to management in the workplace, you will be ridiculed by others on the one hand, and you will be controlled by others on the other. What will happen if some good developers are transferred to management? Development is meant to be accumulated. Now if you work less than ten years, you will either switch to management, or you will quit because of being discriminated against in the workplace and start your own business or something else. How can you improve your technical level?
We can only continue to follow the trends of foreign technologies. ASML lithography machines have not been sold to China for too long, and they are not the most advanced yet. ASML shareholders are Samsung, TSMC and Intel. One of TSMC's major shareholders is the Dutch company Philips, and ASML also originated from the Philips lithography equipment research and development team. Intel is from the United States, as is Samsung, which is referred to as the Wall Street Office in South Korea. They are a complete circle and do not play with China. Huawei's mobile phone chips are also manufactured by TSMC, and the CPU uses the ARM architecture. It’s not just a matter of talent, it’s really China’s chip technology that’s been locked up, and it’s the Trisolarans who did it.
The EU's "Wassenaar Agreement" stipulates that technology and equipment, electronics, sensors and lasers, propulsion systems, spacecraft and related products are subject to high-tech export controls to China. ASML is the key Job regulations prohibit recruiting Chinese people. This is not a blockade. What is a blockade? Many companies play by the side and do not buy the complete machine. Instead, they buy core equipment parts at high prices and assemble them in China. For example, high-precision cutting instruments have positioning devices inside. Once installed, they cannot even be moved. Once moved, they are immediately locked. equipment.
Once your production line is installed, if you want to move the factory in the future, you will be restricted by others. If you fall behind, you will be beaten. Because we are still in the early stages of struggling for basic necessities, food, housing, transportation, etc., it will take 20 or even 30 years to buy a house. If this kind of spending all one's youth in order to buy a house is an isolated phenomenon, it can be saved, but now people all over the country are speculating and buying houses. Excuse me, what kind of youth contributed to science and technology in the 80s and 90s? Nowadays, all PhDs are working just to pay off their mortgages. You can imagine how difficult it is for science and technology to develop!
There is no doubt that China’s chip research and development capabilities are already the second in the world. However, this second place is not as useful as the world's second navy, and the gap between it and the first navy is wider than that of the navy. The most important thing is that the chip industry, which is capital- and technology-intensive and has a high industrial chain, is destined to be a winner-takes-all situation. The control of top technology and ecological chain comes with the control of the entire industry chain. The second child is really useless in this industry, alas!
In terms of architecture, R&D, and full industry chain capabilities, apart from the United States, China is the only country that has full industry chain capabilities and architectural capabilities on chips. Japan and South Korea are the same in chips and manufacturing. They are leading in some fields. Japanese chips were once brilliant, but today they have declined greatly. However, wafer processing is still the world leader. South Korea is very good in semiconductor processing. , but the essence is to undertake the downstream links. The Swiss algorithm is awesome and the core component materials in some chip equipment are awesome, but none of the above have the full industry capabilities of China. In other words, if the Huawei incident happens to these countries, it may even be like China doesn't have the ability to struggle like this.
Now, when we have to break, we have come so far, which must be difficult, so this should be the reason why we continue to propose technological independence. Another practical difficulty may be a matter of size. Some standards must be unified, and rules must be formulated by oneself. Technology and the market may both be important sources of voice. Technology still has a long way to go. After the technology climbs up, the market will still be far away.