How to write "risk prediction" in the project feasibility study report?

China Project Feasibility Research Center 20 12-05- 16 Browse: Risk prediction includes the following contents: (1) Market prospect risk prediction is a prediction of the market share possibility of products or services provided by the proposed project. If we don't understand the market and its changing trend, the project construction will be in a blind state. Only by being familiar with policy orientation and industrial conditions can we avoid redundant construction and make rational use of limited resources. The huge market space does not represent the market share of investment projects. Only through market research and market segmentation and feasible sales measures can we accurately find the market opportunities suitable for the project products and even create market opportunities suitable for the products. At the same time, the study of industry competition and potential competitors is also the key to market risk analysis. (2) Resource, raw fuel and power supply risk prediction Resources usually refer to all kinds of natural objects that can be developed and utilized and can serve human beings, and are divided into renewable resources and non-renewable resources. In the feasibility study stage of construction projects, we should attach great importance to the storage, exploitation or production, consumption and supply of raw materials, especially resource raw materials. Otherwise, after the completion of the project, the supply of raw materials is insufficient, the enterprise produces without rice, and even the new project stops production before it starts, resulting in heavy losses. Therefore, the name, reserve, grade, composition and supply location of the resources needed for construction projects must be formally approved by the State (Resources) Reserve Committee. The maximum annual demand of the project, the possible resource supply and the possibility of expanding the supply in the future are carefully studied. Whether the supply conditions and methods of raw fuel and power required by the project can meet the production needs of the project and be used economically and reasonably, and seriously implemented, otherwise the project will start hastily, which is likely to cause equipment to run at low load and bring irreparable economic losses to the enterprise. (3) Technology and process risk prediction In the feasibility study report of a construction project, choosing the appropriate technology and process is the key factor to determine the success or failure of the project. First of all, we must deal with the advanced nature and applicability of technology. Advanced technology is relatively advanced and must adapt to the national conditions and its own supporting capabilities. For mature advanced technologies, we can actively adopt them. If it is the first time to adopt technology and technology, it is necessary to seriously investigate the risks and difficulties that may be encountered in the use, analyze the advantages and disadvantages, and reduce the loss of risk use. Secondly, we should fully consider the feasibility of technology. Construction projects that adopt domestic scientific research achievements must undergo industrial tests and technical appraisal. When importing patented technology, we must pay attention to its effectiveness and avoid introducing invalid or non-patented technology as patented technology, which will threaten the safety and reliability of construction projects. Advanced, applicable and feasible technologies of construction projects must be based on economy, and only when the input-output relationship is reasonable can better economic benefits be obtained. (4) Financing risk prediction For construction projects, financing is an extremely important economic activity. The Notice on the Trial Implementation of Capital System for Fixed Assets Investment Projects issued by the State Council has set an insurmountable entry threshold for project financing. All new projects whose capital does not meet the requirements will not be approved, and those construction projects that "raise funds while building" should be put an end to the bud. After the capital of construction projects is implemented, the important sources of construction project funds are bank credit funds, non-bank financial institutions' funds and foreign funds. Financing risks are mainly reflected in bank loan financing risk, stock financing risk, bond financing risk, lease financing risk, joint venture and introduction of diplomatic financing risk. Improper prevention of financing risks often leads to heavy losses. To strengthen the prevention of financing risks of construction projects, it is necessary to analyze the stability of financing channels, strictly follow the principles of rationality, efficiency and scientificity, fully consider the advantages and disadvantages of financing, know yourself and know yourself, compare financing costs, try to choose financing channels with low capital costs and reduce financing risks. (V) Layout safety risk prediction The site selection of a construction project must conform to the requirements of industrial layout and urban planning, be close to the main sales places of raw materials, fuels or products, and be close to water sources and power sources. The traffic conditions and cooperation supporting conditions should be convenient for economic, engineering geological and hydrological conditions. In order to meet the needs of project site selection, the overall layout should be compact and reasonable. Strive to improve the efficiency of land use. Sites directly endangered by earthquake faults and mudslides, upstream of water source protection areas, national scenic spots or forest nature reserves, cultural relics protection areas, mineral deposits with mining value, etc. Should not be used as a site selection. The general layout of the industry shall conform to the current national standards and specifications on fire prevention, safety, hygiene, transportation, environmental protection and ecology, and the buildings and structures in the factory area shall be arranged according to local conditions. Open yard, traffic lines, public routes and landscaping facilities, objectively, fairly and scientifically compare and select more than two sites, and recommend the best site to obtain better investment benefits. The risks of the feasibility study of construction projects are far more than that, including: project management risks, environmental risks, human resources risks, force majeure and other substantive risks that run through the whole construction project. With the acceleration of global economic integration, China's huge market space attracts well-known enterprises from all over the world. Only by making full preparations and highlighting advantages can we be invincible. Therefore, we must attach importance to the feasibility study of construction projects with a scientific and serious attitude. Low-level redundant construction caused by investment decision-making mistakes and excessive competition in narrow areas can be completely controlled from the source of the project. Only by strengthening investment risk prevention and avoiding investment traps can we avoid investment decision-making mistakes, reduce losses and maximize investment returns.