According to the data of Central Hospital, in June, 2022, the average price of new houses in 1 100 cities nationwide was 16 190 yuan/square meter, down 0.06% from the previous month and up 0.05 percentage points from the previous month. The average price of second-hand houses in 100 cities nationwide is1591yuan/square meter, down 0.2 1% from the previous month, up 0.05 percentage points from last month and down 0.64% from last year.
"The relevant departments have recently introduced many favorable policies for the property market, but the transaction volume has not stabilized, and it will take some time for market confidence to recover. In order to speed up the withdrawal of funds, many projects have increased the intensity of price exchange, resulting in a decline in the transaction price of 1 1 new houses. " Lin Bo, general manager of Ke Rui Research Center, told the reporter.
According to the preliminary statistics of the Central Reference Institute, in June this year, the transaction area of new commercial housing in key cities in China continued the downward trend of 5,438+00 in June, and the transaction area of key cities decreased by nearly 1 1%, down by nearly 30% year-on-year.
Among them, the transaction scale of new commercial housing in first-tier cities in June was 5438+065438+ 10, which decreased by 20.5% from the previous month; The second line represents the decline of the city chain15.2%; The third and fourth lines represent a month-on-month decrease of 4. 1%.
On the supply side, according to the data of the Central Reference Institute, the average monthly supply scale of commercial housing in 50 key cities this year was1-1.07 million square meters, down by over 40% year-on-year, the lowest level in the same period since 20 15 years.
In terms of second-hand housing, in June this year 165438+ 10, there were 75 cities with a decline in second-hand housing in Baicheng, which was the same as last month. Cumulatively, the price of second-hand housing in Baicheng turned from rising to falling during this year's1-1,from rising 3.36% in the same period last year to falling 0.55%.
Meng Xinxin, an analyst at the Index Division of the Central Reference Institute, believes that due to factors such as the market, the current demand side has not changed its downward trend.
"Entering 1 1 month, the wait-and-see mood of buyers has increased, and the sales in the real estate market have recovered less than expected. This year1-1month, the transaction scale of new commercial housing in 100 cities nationwide decreased by nearly 40% year-on-year, the lowest level in the same period since 20 15 years. Among them, the first-tier cities have the smallest year-on-year decline in cumulative transaction area due to their strong resilience; In many second-tier cities with large transaction volume, due to the high transaction base last year, the transaction volume dropped significantly. " Meng Xin added.
For the data of the whole year of 2022, Meng Xin added that it is estimated that the sales area of commercial housing in China will decrease by about 22% year-on-year, the newly started area will decrease by nearly 40% year-on-year, and the investment in real estate development will decrease by about 8% year-on-year.
Zhang Yan, CEO of Yiju Enterprise Group, believes that after the transaction scale of new commercial housing has reached 6,543.80 billion square meters for five consecutive years, the industry scale will probably fall below 6,543.80 billion square meters in 2022, and the industry scale will usher in a real turning point.
"All kinds of rescue policies in the property market can be said to be exhausted, but the promotion of sales is limited, and the downward trend of the market has not really been reversed." Zhangyan added.
For the market outlook, Lin Bo told reporters that under the multiple favorable policies, it is expected that the transaction volume will increase in 65438+February.
"In order to sprint the annual performance, housing enterprises will increase supply and the project will increase its promotion. The price of real estate has dropped, and the favorable factors of the superimposed policy will significantly increase the transaction activity at the end of the year. " Lin Bo said.
Meng Xin believes that under optimistic expectation, the scale of market sales will increase slightly in the next step.
"From the perspective of recent policies, the financial pressure of some enterprises is expected to be alleviated, and the focus of the industry will shift to the sales side. Housing enterprises will accelerate the pace of destocking, and the sales scale of commercial housing is expected to maintain a small growth. " Meng Xin said.