With the current control of the financial and real estate industries by the China Municipal Government, it is fully capable of controlling the situation.
For the next property market policy, it may be:
1. Macro-environmental decision 20 18 China's monetary policy is still slightly tight, the "money shortage" is intensified, and deleveraging is strengthened;
2. There will be no major and directional adjustment in the regulation of the property market;
3. In cities with great downward pressure on the economy and housing prices, there will be "implicit policy relaxation", such as quietly relaxing the restrictions on mortgage quotas, such as relaxing the restrictions on settlement by introducing talents.
The property market has entered a new round of market adjustment. The deep adjustment of the property market will lead to more small and medium-sized housing enterprises withdrawing from real estate or being acquired, which will become an opportunity for housing enterprises with strong comprehensive competitiveness to develop against the trend, especially large-scale brand housing enterprises, which will continue to be "big fish eat small fish" in the second half of the property market and enhance the scale advantage of the industry.
However, it should be reminded that the capital chain of some housing enterprises is more tense, so don't touch the houses of small housing enterprises, because the probability of unfinished business has increased.
The capital chain of housing enterprises is tightening. At present, in some worthless cities, such as third-and fourth-tier cities, house prices will have a downward trend, which may affect the price reduction trend of the overall market, and the price index will change. The overall market is characterized by "price for quantity". This situation is likely to last at least until the end of 20 18.
20 18 is a good time to buy a house and change houses for the just-needed and improved needs of high-grade cities (and their urban circles) with population growth. If you just need it, you must seize this opportunity.
Extended data
The impact of Fed's inter rate hike on China as a whole.
When the United States raises interest rates, it is difficult for China to be immune. Raising interest rates in the United States will inevitably lead to capital outflows, rising import costs and the continued depreciation of the renminbi. If we can't follow the interest rate hike, we must use capital control, foreign exchange control and market intervention to maintain stability. However, under the pressure of continuing to raise interest rates, the policy space is getting smaller and smaller.
More crucially, the two big countries are in different economic cycles and financial cycles. At present, the overall economic fundamentals of the United States are relatively good, supporting the expectation of raising interest rates, while we are facing downward pressure on the economy and need monetary easing to deal with it. If foreign countries face the pressure of raising interest rates, the monetary policy space is bound to shrink, and it is in a dilemma.
Obviously, if the United States slows down the pace of raising interest rates or ends it ahead of schedule, it will be obviously beneficial to the RMB exchange rate and the domestic monetary environment. This will open up policy space for domestic monetary easing. Under the downward pressure of the economy, RRR interest rate cuts may continue to come, and it is not impossible to cut interest rates.
In recent important meetings, the importance of "stability" was emphasized. From stable growth to stable employment, from stable finance to stable expectations. This means that "maintaining stability" has become the top priority and monetary easing is bound to make a comeback.
Phoenix. com-Just now, the United States raised interest rates! Will China's property market suffer?