Recently, Hangzhou and Dongguan have introduced new binding real estate policies. For example, Hangzhou has introduced a new house lottery policy, which stipulates that talents have a five-year sales period. At the same time, the threshold for the identification of "families without housing" has been raised, and it is stipulated that a family can only participate in one project at a time.
The new policy of Dongguan property market mainly cracked down on property hoarding and upgraded the price limit of new houses. For example, according to local regulations, the pre-sale volume of the project shall not be less than 30,000 square meters each time; After obtaining the pre-sale certificate, all the sales houses will be publicized at one time within 10 days. In terms of price limit, it is required that the price increase of new houses in the same region should not exceed10% within three months; For new houses sold by stages, the house price is not higher than 5% of the previous similar house price.
The tightening policies of property market regulation in the two places were introduced after the real estate market showed obvious recovery. In the first half of Hangzhou, there were five new housing projects with "ten thousand people participating in the lottery", and the winning rate of new houses was very low. According to statistics, within 4 months, the winning rate of 2 1 project in Hangzhou was less than 5%.
Judging from the transaction data, the statistics released by Ke Rui Research Center show that the property market in Hangzhou has picked up rapidly since March. The monthly transaction area of residential buildings is above 6,543,800 square meters, and it shows an upward trend month by month. In June, it reached 6.5438+0.95 million square meters, a record high of nearly three years.
The prices of new and second-hand houses in some popular areas of Dongguan have also increased significantly. It is understood that the filing price of some new houses in Dongguan this year has exceeded 40,000 yuan per square meter. In the most concerned Songshan Lake area, the unit price of some buildings has stood at the threshold of 50,000 yuan per square meter.
In the past four years, every time the property market reaches a stage high, there will be "cold water" for regulation. Although the real estate market is depressed due to the epidemic this year, after a round of recovery and rebound, the "austerity curse" may come back.
In fact, there have been signs of tightening regulation in the overheated real estate market.
First of all, the tone of regulating housing and non-speculation has not changed.
This year's government work report puts forward that the house should be used for living, not for speculation, so as to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market due to the city's policy. In the past few months, the central departments such as the central bank, the Ministry of Finance and the National Bureau of Statistics have repeatedly reiterated their insistence on housing and not speculating.
Recently, the demand-side stimulus policies introduced in various places, including reducing the down payment ratio and loosening the purchase restriction, are basically withdrawing quickly. Recently, Huailai County, Zhangjiakou City, Hebei Province, was quickly rumored by the local authorities after the news that the purchase restriction was loosened. According to statistics, at least 12 places, including Zhumadian and Guangzhou, have been loosened and withdrawn.
From a deeper perspective, with the transformation of China's economy to high-quality development, we will gradually get rid of our dependence on real estate while looking for new kinetic energy, new space and new mode of economic development. In order to ensure the smooth implementation of this transformation process, it is obviously not easy to stimulate the property market.
This has been reflected in the construction planning of Hainan Free Trade Port. The day after the overall plan was released, Liu Cigui, secretary of Hainan Provincial Party Committee, publicly stated that Hainan could not become a real estate processing factory.
Second, the property market quickly recovered after the epidemic.
Although the impact of the epidemic has not completely dispersed, most local property market transactions in May have basically recovered to the pre-epidemic level. According to the data released by China Index Academy, in June, residential transactions in 50 cities were slightly higher than the average level in the same period of the past three years. The performance of the top 100 real estate enterprises in the first half of the year also basically recovered to the same period last year.
The recovery of the market means that the previous rescue and support policies are no longer necessary. Moreover, driven by relatively loose money, the real estate market in some cities is rising, and if there is no policy intervention, it may promote the formation of the next round of skyrocketing.
Experts in the industry believe that in the second half of the year, under the control of the city's policy, more overheated places in the property market may introduce a larger-scale property market tightening policy. (End)