Yanjiao 30 thousand, Xianghe 20 thousand+,Dachang 20 thousand+. Seeing that the property market around Beijing is getting longer and crazier, some investors look further. Recently, Tangshan has become the favorite area of the intermediary. Because of its low price, Tangshan has also attracted many foreign buyers. However, no matter from the current timing of regulation, commuting, the current situation of property market differentiation and Tangshan's economic dilemma, it is possible to invest in Tangshan to become a pick-up man because of greed and cheapness.
The property market around Beijing is beyond many people's imagination, and there is no sign of braking at present. For these areas, the price increase has already exceeded the purchasing power of local people, and the huge market stock can only be solved by foreign investment demand, a large part of which is the spillover demand of Beijing. So that now the house price has broken 20 thousand and rushed to 30 thousand, and the era of Beijing's so-called million-dollar home ownership is gone forever.
Because of this, many investors began to pay attention to the property market in Yongqing, Laishui and even Bazhou and Tangshan. Tangshan, in particular, has recently made great publicity efforts. My circle of friends is bombarded by Tangshan's real estate information from time to time, and more and more friends consult Tangshan's property market. What is the current situation of Tangshan property market? Is it worth investing? I went to Tangshan recently to help you get to know it.
Hidden dangers behind prosperity
165438+1At 8 o'clock in the morning on October 23rd, I got on the shuttle bus from Yanjiao, sanhe city to guye district, Tangshan, and more than 30 people didn't arrive until 9 o'clock. It was already noon 1 1: 50 when we arrived at the project.
The reporter verified with Gaode Navigation. The project is 2 13 kilometers away from Tiananmen Square and 28 kilometers away from Tangshan city center.
9:08, leave for Tangshan!
The building we went to was called the Capital of Jinshan, with a total construction area of 470,000 square meters. The overall feeling of the project is not bad, supermarkets, parks, schools and other supporting facilities are relatively complete, but there are several large chimneys more than 300 meters away from the project, and thick white smoke is emitted from the chimneys, which makes people feel uncomfortable. It is understood that guye district is an important coal base in China. There are many factories around the coal industry, and the environment is naturally harsh. Therefore, Tangshan has become a well-known smog place.
In front of the sand table of the project, busy sales staff received waves of buyers. The reception area is also full of people who come to see the house, and the whole sales office is a lively scene. "Another set has been set. If you are optimistic, you will pay the deposit quickly. " My agent Xiao Li has been urging me.
Xiao Li didn't "scare" himself into making a deal. Of the more than 30 people who went with the car, three people booked rooms, one of them booked two sets, and * * * finalized four sets. As far as I know, the whole project sold more than ten sets that day.
The location is far and the environment is poor. Why is this project still so sought after? There are two most important reasons for reporters' analysis. First, the price is low. The average price of the project is 5 100 yuan, which is simply too cheap compared with Yanjiao and other places. Second, zero down payment. Buyers only need to pay 80,000 yuan subscribed by e-commerce. No matter how big the house is, they only need a monthly payment and don't need to pay a down payment. This low investment cost has attracted many buyers.
The young man tried his best to sell the project to everyone, and the Beijing-Tangshan high-speed railway was repeatedly mentioned. He said: "It takes less than an hour to get to Beijing by high-speed train." But this project is more than 20 kilometers away from Tangshan Station.
In order to meet the investment needs of property buyers, many projects in Tangshan also provide renaming services. To put it bluntly, it is the default and cooperation with property buyers to "buy a building". "Tangshan lubei district Wang Ding 90 Community, down payment e-commerce can press the house, and it will be renamed free of charge before May 1 next year. From the perspective of short-term investment, you don't need a loan, invest 200,000 yuan and earn 200,000 yuan next year. " This is a project recommended by my familiar agent to reporters. According to him, there are not a few projects that Tangshan can "press the house".
"Low price, high-speed rail, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration" is a favorite word of brokers. It is because of these "advantages" that some investors flock to Tangshan. 1 65438+1On October 25th, Tangshan Fengnan District1Chinatown Project was opened, and customers from Beijing, Tianjin and other places quickly filled the sales offices, selling more than 100 sets a day.
According to the data, since June 5438+00, Tangshan real estate prices have risen day by day. Tangshan Lubei, Haigang Development Zone, Luannan, Luanxian, Qianxi District and other real estates have successively raised prices, and the sales of multi-disc, two-bedroom and three-bedroom apartments are hot. Most of the remaining houses are 140 square meters or even about 200 square meters.
With the news of the Beijing-Tangshan intercity railway, a group of investors from Beijing and other regions took a fancy to the future development space of Tangshan real estate market and recently actively sought investment opportunities among the sales offices of major projects in Tangshan. This purchasing power has injected vitality into the Tangshan real estate market, and at the same time, it has also inspired a number of property buyers in Tangshan area to enter the market. The centralized release of market purchasing power has promoted the development of many real estates in Tangshan.
But behind the prosperity, there are frequent hidden worries. Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real Estate, and Guo Yi, marketing director of Yahao Agency, both said that they were "a big pit". It is understood that the supply of Tangshan property market exceeds demand, the market is over-developed, and the potential supply is amazing. With the economic depression in Tangshan in recent years, the situation of commercial real estate is worse than that of residential buildings. Some sold for 40,000 yuan/square meter-50,000 yuan/square meter, and now the daily rent is only 2 yuan/square meter. "
Second-hand housing, due to a large number of new houses unsalable, Tangshan second-hand housing transactions are not active. Take Tangshan City, where the second-hand housing agencies are the most concentrated, for example, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in 20 15 was only 440,000 square meters, which was equivalent to the transaction volume of new houses in the urban area for two months in that year. The average transaction price in lubei district is 6,500 yuan/m2, and that in lunan district is 6,000 yuan/m2, both lower than the sales price of new houses in urban areas.
Risk geometry? The risk is great!
Tangshan is typical among the third-and fourth-tier cities: the city is small in scale and the economy is relatively developed; Several state-owned enterprises with good benefits have provided employment opportunities for the vast majority of the local population in Tangshan. There are not many foreigners in Tangshan, and the output of local population is relatively limited. This makes Tangshan lack two important people who buy houses in other cities, namely, migrants and home buyers, while the demand for housing by local families is relatively limited.
According to the data, by the end of 20 15, the saleable area of residential and commercial buildings (projects with pre-sale certificates) in Tangshan was about 150,000 square meters, and the urban area was more than 4 million square meters. In 20 15, the average monthly sales area of Tangshan urban area and urban area was more than 500,000 square meters and 220,000 square meters respectively. Judging from the saleable area, the rhythm of residential and commercial projects in Tangshan is 30 months and 18 months respectively.
As a typical third-tier city, Tangshan has a limited foreign population and there is no possibility of a substantial increase in demand. A few years ago, first-tier cities restricted purchases. Many large developers are optimistic about Tangshan, a third-tier city with good GDP and population, and flock to get a piece of the action. In addition, the government also adjusted the scale of land transfer at that time, which enabled Tangshan to start a large-scale development that lasted for many years. In the end, local residential and commercial projects far exceeded the market demand, resulting in stagflation of prices and millions of square meters being put on hold.
Many buildings in Tangshan have a high vacancy rate.
Due to great pressure, in recent years, the phenomenon of unfinished buildings and serious delay in delivery in Tangshan has appeared frequently. "It is really a lie for developers to collect money and not build a house." "The developers are running away, can the house still be delivered?" "The developer delayed the delivery schedule and changed the apartment type without authorization" ... This is the content of some real estate owners in Tangshan complaining to the media. The reasons for the complaints are mostly the developer's inaction, running away, and delaying delivery.
TangShili Project is located in the east of the intersection of Long Ze Road and Chaoyang Road in lubei district, and was developed by Tangshan Qilin Zhengdong Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., with a construction area of about 396,000 square meters. Launched 6 1- 123 square meters residential products. The project was completed in February 20 13 and opened in May 20 14. The original delivery date was April 20 16, but it was capped in August 20 14, and delivery has been suspended since then. The sales office door is locked, people go to the building, and the project has been in a state of stagnation.
The Mei Jia Plaza project, which belongs to the same developer as the Tang poetry of the uncompleted residential flats, has been stumbling on the road of the uncompleted residential flats for six years. Located in the southwest of the intersection of Changning Road and Long Ze Road in lubei district, the building area is about 380,000 square meters. There are 7 buildings in the whole building, of which 1 is an international-class apartment and 6 are residential buildings. About 63.86 square meters, about 10 1 square meter, 103 square meter, 108 square meter, about 13 1 square meter, 136 square meter. The project promotion will enjoy Red Star Macalline and comprehensive shopping center. But as of now, commercial projects are still in a state of suspension.
Located on the east side of Jianshe Road and the north side of Qingnan Road in Tangshan High-tech Zone, the project has been completed, but it has not been delivered yet. The developer has not come forward for two years. At present, there are still no signs of construction, and the gate of the construction site is locked and overgrown with weeds. There is only one staff member in the sales office. According to its introduction, there is no news of the start of the project, and the delivery time is not clear.
In the face of such data and reality, if there are still people rushing to Tangshan one after another, in order to get the same return as Yanjiao and Xianghe, I am afraid I can only accept it properly!
Why is Tangshan property market a "big pit"?
★ Compared with Yanjiao, Xianghe, Dachang and other areas around Beijing, Tangshan is too far away from Beijing and has no geographical advantage.
★ The property market is saturated and there are many vacant houses.
★ Brain drain, small foreign population.
★ Not an international city, and the supporting facilities of urban resources are not perfect.
★ It is a heavy industrial city with serious air pollution, which is not suitable for living.
★ Economic depression, overcapacity and low per capita income.