The essence of EV is the input-output ratio under long-term probability calculation.
So as long as
If the input-output ratio is lower than x > 0, the EV is positive.
In short, your strategy is always stable. 1 big blind, 20% winning rate and the return of 6 big blinds are profitable in the long run.
Texas Bureau of Standards generally needs 6-9 people, which is essentially a one-to-many confrontation. In the case of 100 big blind, the winning rate after perfect calculation is actually unprofitable-because the big and small blinds are forced into the game, which is often a negative EV behavior. Your chip depth is not enough to balance this probability.
Therefore, in essence, size blindness is a forced battle that ignores EV. Fortunately, this negative EV is basically fair to all players-of course, once the chip depth is changed in the previous battle, it is no longer fair.
In short, because of the size-blind design and limited chip depth, as well as the nearly open Texas computing strategy,
You can't win by calculating EV correctly.
Why did your opponent give you a big blind, a 20% chance, and a chance to reward 6 big blinds? If he hadn't miscalculated,
So does he have any bad information that I don't know?
Do you like his cards? )
EV calculation is only the main situation at the poker table. Compared with profit, reducing losses is more meaningful.
#2 series
If you want to play better, you must play on the basis of EV.
Be taken into consideration
.
Through the information of the opponent's card entry rate, position, chip depth, bet and bright card, the scope of calculating the winning rate of the opponent's card is narrowed and the winning rate is predicted more accurately. Generally, the more accurate, the lower the winning rate. But the more accurate, the greater the return-the higher the return when the opponent's cards are very close-and the higher the risk.
Range is the key to winning. Because the modern Texas methodology is so clear, the essence of winning or losing is actually the ability to use information to get returns.
This is the most typical way of thinking after the flop:
Obviously, if you are at a disadvantage against one or more fierce opponents, this hand is not worth playing. In a favorable position, if there is a possible return of about 1 3 (generally indicating that the opponent in the previous position is not strong), you can continue to play if the chip depth is good.
Therefore, modern Texas, in essence, does not consider EV alone, but calculates it together with range. If you only consider EV, regardless of range, your opponent can easily beat you. However, EV is a problem of pure probability, while range has the factor of reading people.
#3 Volatility
Furthermore, we should consider the fluctuation of the whole process of probability realization.
If you can win by correctly estimating and calculating EV and cruising range, then the essential implicit condition is that your capital is infinite. And this is impossible, there are always high-end games, higher-end games.
Therefore, the management of chip depth in the whole game process is actually more important.
Managing volatility is a prerequisite for the effectiveness of EV and range models.
Once the shock passes, all the principles based on probability that you adhere to will be invalid. Control pools and other statements actually manage volatility. Prevent your profit model from going out before the effect appears.
EV calculation only involves a single bet, Range should be considered according to historical multiple bets (when no one knows), and volatility should be considered as all-night poker-in fact, it is the most difficult and anti-human of these three factors.
Using human observation to calculate probability more accurately, managing assets and launching psychological warfare, this is all of Texas.