What are the changes and reasons of China's foreign trade in modern times?

Lin Qing prefaces "Re-talking about Zeng Chenfeng's Closing the Sea": "Those who close the clouds will also break opium. Opium fruit is broken because of customs clearance. Why not? "

In the past, customs, banks, etc. Closed for holidays or business.

When many people see that "Hainan Island is about to be completely closed", it is easy to have a misunderstanding that Hainan's closure is not a good thing?

All wet. What do you mean the whole island is closed?

It means that the whole Hainan Island will be closed and the economy will be self-sufficient. After that, goods from the mainland will be exported to Hainan Island, and goods from Hainan Island will be imported to the mainland.

In the past, China people went abroad or went to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan to handle customs. Now mainlanders have to go through customs when they go to Hainan Island.

If you don't know much about it, you can compare the customs setting with the actual situation in Hongkong, Macau and Taiwan Province. It is said here that all three cities belong to China and will always be an inalienable legal territory under the sovereignty and integrity of China. There is no dispute, and we will not accept any discussion.

The special historical reasons and development process have led to the relatively independent environment and conditions of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan's economy and even currency, and that's all.

In other words, the closure of Hainan Island means that China should take the initiative to build a free trade port.

Hainan Island, which is completely closed, must be a special economic zone more special than Shenzhen. In addition to the core advantage of economic independence (Shenzhen's economy and currency are still under the control of the state), the state has also given a privilege: zero tariffs.

After all the customs clearance is completed,

Foreign goods can enter Hainan Island directly without paying customs duties. Only when the goods re-enter the mainland from Hainan Island, they need to pay customs duties.

This is the so-called free port, zero tariff free port, obviously, it is extremely beneficial to stimulate the local economy.

Hong Kong is such a free port, and soon, Hainan Island will also have this treatment.

There are two key words in the operation of Hainan Island: "first line" liberalization and "second line" control. The first line is that overseas entry into Hainan is fully liberalized, and the second line is from Hainan to Chinese mainland, which is fully controlled.

The newly adopted Free Trade Port Law stipulates that Hainan will implement the strategy of first-line liberalization and second-line management.

The so-called first line refers to the connection between Hainan and the whole world.

When the first line is released, the connection with the whole world will be smoother.

The so-called second line refers to the connection with China.

Second-line management refers to the future connection between Hainan Island and China, which is managed and controlled.

Therefore, the operation of customs clearance in Hainan actually means that China actively builds a brand-new free trade port that can replace Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan under the existing conditions of domestic geo-economy, foreign trade and economic development. Emotion and reason are good things.

The choice of Hainan Island is actually a scar and pain that is difficult to look directly at in the practice of reform and opening up that lasted for nearly 40 years.

As early as April 1988 13, Hainan Province and Hainan Special Economic Zone were established at the same time. This year is 202 1, a provincial-level special economic zone (Guangdong Shenzhen special economic zone was formally established on August 1980, which is one of the first four special economic zones opened to the outside world in China. ), also officially experienced 33 years of development.

Judging from the innate conditions, Hainan is definitely a good place with unique advantages. It is not only located in the artery of international shipping, but also the starting point of the Maritime Silk Road. Hainan has natural geographical advantages and conditions, so it is naturally suitable to be an international free port.

Moreover, Hainan is sparsely populated, its industry is weak, and the cost of trial and error is extremely low, so it is naturally suitable for being a reform special zone.

The conditions are not as good as Hong Kong in Hainan. From a shabby, backward and barren fishing village, which can only make a living by fishing, the economy and society have developed rapidly since World War II, and it has not only become one of the "four little dragons in Asia", but also one of the richest, most developed and highest living standards in the world. Become a model peak of modern developed cities in the East.

Hong Kong has earned a lot of benefits by relying on the unique advantages of a free port, which has been clearly proved in reality. There is no doubt that the rapid development of Hongkong in the past decades has become a model of China's reform and opening up.

For China, it is a dream to own such a free trade port before the return of Hong Kong. Therefore, this dream is carried by Hainan Island.

So hundreds of talents, Hainan spectacular wave of the times appeared:

One hundred thousand talents go to Hainan, which means1in April, 1988, Hainan established a province and Hainan established a special zone. About100000 people from all over the country came to Hainan to seek dreams and start businesses. This is a large-scale population migration in the modern history of China.

With policies, unique geographical advantages, people and money, the myth of a free trade port seems to belong entirely to China, not far away.

It is a pity that Hainan, which is loved by thousands of people, has been deeply hurt by the real estate economic bubble and the property market fanaticism.

1993 in the second half of the year, the property market bubble in Hainan burst, and there were unfinished buildings everywhere in Hainan. A large number of bank funds have become bad debts, and private funds have been quilted.

Hong Kong is changing with each passing day, and Shenzhen is thriving. Hainan, which has high expectations, has put on the hat of uncompleted residential flats.

This delay means that 32 years have passed.

I wrote an article (Hainan "existing home sales" is coming! This may be the first step for China real estate to "start from Hongkong"! )

The real estate bubble in Hainan Province has been analyzed and studied in detail. Interested friends can jump over and have a look.

Hainan, which has been struggling in the quagmire of real estate bubble for a long time, has just regained its vitality and embarked on the right track after several sessions of continuous reform and governance by the management team.

Today's leaders of Hainan Province, having learned the previous experience and lessons, publicly stated that they would strictly control real estate, never become a real estate processing factory, and never follow the old road before.

Hainan Island, which turned over from the real estate bubble, once again ushered in the country's trust in the construction and development of a free trade port, and relevant policies and plans were also introduced simultaneously:

On the morning of June 8, 2020, the National Development and Reform Commission introduced the details of the construction plan of Hainan Free Trade Port at the press conference. It is necessary to complete the overall construction of Hainan Free Trade Port by 2025, realize the whole island's customs clearance and implement zero tariffs.

On June 7th, the draft Hainan Free Trade Port Law was submitted to the 13th the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC) for the third trial.

Review for the first time from June 5438 to February 2020; 202 1 April.

202 1, 10, Hainan Free Trade Port Law was voted by the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC) Conference.

All the signals indicate that the whole island of Hainan Province has been closed further, and the efficiency has been improved unprecedentedly.

This 30-year cycle is a major policy opportunity, and I hope Hainan can seize it this time.

Based on the once-in-30-year policy opportunity of Hainan Province, this paper makes an in-depth and attitude analysis and discussion on the influence and significance of the closure of Hainan Province on the future economic structure of China.

Look down, gain insight into opportunities, grasp trends and guide decision-making.

PS:

The article is a bit long. It takes some time and patience to read the content, and it needs thinking.

Everyone's cognitive level is different, so don't force it. The content of this article is not a staple food, nor is it a cool article that can bring relaxed and pleasant spiritual satisfaction after reading it. Please treat it rationally according to your own needs and cognitive needs.

Choice is greater than effort, and thinking determines the level, which is an important law in any era and environment.

Readers choose authors through words, and authors also choose audiences through words.

1. What changes have been brought about by Hainan's provincial capital after full customs clearance?

After the concept of customs clearance operation is established, a series of new understandings and understandings are needed for Hainan Island after customs clearance, no matter in the economic and monetary environment, asset market and trade relations.

Judging from the characteristics of the free trade port itself, Hainan will face two markets in the future:

One is the external international market;

One is the domestic market.

These are two completely different market systems, and a series of policies, including changes in environmental rules, must be implemented after customs clearance.

After customs clearance, the most important feature of Hainan compared with China is that Hainan will become an offshore market.

1. After customs clearance, the whole island will implement a tax catalogue management system, and those outside the catalogue will be exempted from import duties. However, if the goods enter the mainland from Hainan Free Trade Port, they will be taxed according to the imported goods.

2. After customs clearance, a large-scale visa-free entry policy will be implemented, which is extremely convenient for entry and exit customs clearance.

3. After the customs clearance, the opening policy of the financial industry will be implemented to realize the free and convenient flow of funds between the free trade port and overseas.

These three points can directly divide China and Hainan into two completely different worlds.

This will completely rewrite the economic structure of Hainan Island and is a major and thorough change and upgrade of economic rules.

It will inevitably bring many opportunities of the times, rule dividends and development space.

Here are some change analysis:

First of all, the monetary environment in Hainan Province will inevitably change in essence. Combined with the digital RMB and settlement system vigorously promoted by China, Hainan Province may be the strategic layout of China's RMB going to sea.

Secondly, it is the real estate market that all China people are concerned about, that is, the property market. It is still too early to discuss the changes in housing prices after the ban, but the rules of the property market will inevitably change:

After the liberalization of entry and exit and financial circulation, Hainan is likely to realize asset liberalization from the reality of other free trade ports. Similar to Macao, so is Hong Kong.

In other words, the domestic rules on the regulation of the property market, the restriction of purchases, and the binding of household registration school districts may no longer be applicable in Hainan Island in the future. This is a change in the trade environment rules and a realistic demand for capital circulation. To some extent, houses in Hainan Island in the future, as freely tradable assets, may not be priced in RMB. If Hainan wants to be fully integrated, it is necessary to formulate local asset trading rules in accordance with the internationally accepted model.

Although the domestic property market is strictly controlled to crack down on real estate speculation, Hainan Island, which has such a trend, undoubtedly provides relatively freer space for mainland capital and speculators who have been strictly controlled for a long time. In the face of global capital power and means, whether they can become an instant hit like the mainland is another matter. I am looking forward to the performance of domestic speculators in Hainan Island, and the island will be closed in the future.

Was it beaten by foreign capital and denied by your mother? Or rely on the motherland to attack the global capital market?

Finally, Hainan's customs clearance, trade opening and free financial circulation will undoubtedly bring about a substantial increase in the frequency of economic and trade exchanges.

Close to money is always the best choice for ordinary people to make a fortune. This is how Hong Kong flew into the sky. The same is true for Shenzhen, which is also a special economic zone. Where did the first bucket of gold come from? Isn't it because you stick to Hong Kong and engage in smuggling?

There is a saying like this. Missed Shenzhen, then Hainan in this era may be an important opportunity direction for adventurers.

A brand-new Hainan Province is about to take off, and a brand-new era is coming.

2. What is the significance, purpose and function of comparing xiong'an new area with Hongkong and Hainan Free Trade Ports in China?

Entering 20021year, China's economic environment is not easy. Outside, the United States-led capitalist suit gang has formed a clique, trying to invade China economically and plunder China's wealth. Internally, commercial housing is over-financialized and capitalized, consumption is restrained, consumer demand is insufficient, and core industrial technology is stuck. ...

Therefore, the importance and significance of Hainan Free Trade Port is crucial.

This is China's attitude expression and thinking exploration on world trade and international economic environment in the post-epidemic era.

Of course, big countries are prepared to do things, and many hands are prepared for top-level design.

China, xiong'an new area and Hongkong also have the same status and significance as Hainan Free Trade Port.

Through comparison, we can have a deeper and more essential understanding of the planning of Hainan Free Trade Port:

First, China and Hongkong. For historical reasons, the return from 65438 to 0997 did not play an important role, but it actually made a decisive contribution to China's economic opening up, the most typical of which was the rise of Shenzhen.

But after all, due to various and complicated reasons such as culture and management, coupled with decades of brainwashing and cultural pollution and ideological division in developed capital countries in Europe and America, Hong Kong today is actually stubborn and full of various problems.

Although Hongkong is the territory of China, it was not built in a day. Some problems need time and process.

For the current external demand of China's economy, time is pressing, and it needs to be able to replace the free trade and external settlement functions of China Mainland and Hong Kong to a certain extent, so Hainan Free Trade Port has been accelerated.

The other is xiong'an new area.

Different from the orientation of Hainan Free Trade Port, xiong'an new area is the experimental field of economic management in China.

Xiong 'an's key word is deepening reform, and Hainan is fully open.

To put it simply, Xiong 'an is mainly nationalized, while Hainan is in line with the western market economy.

China's economic development has reached a critical stage, which is also a very uncomfortable bottleneck.

Such a bottleneck is to open up experimental fields and choose cities and regions for unconventional policy attempts every time.

This is also the origin of China Shenzhen Special Economic Zone, and today, it is also the foundation of Xiong 'an and Hainan.

Shenzhen is far from Beijing and near Hong Kong.

Xiong' an is next to Beijing, which can fully guarantee the strength of the policy.

However, Hong Kong still has the residual pollution and influence of western ideology, which cannot be exerted.

Externally, the economic structure of China and the West needs to explore an experimental road in the next stage, and it is necessary to find new ways and means to reconnect with the world in the international economic environment in the post-epidemic era.

So, who is more suitable for this road?

Obviously, it's Hainan. From this essential contrast, Xiong 'an is an economic experimental field controlled by national policies and a strategy of a big country.

Shenzhen is limited by Hong Kong (the economy has surpassed Hong Kong, but it lacks absolute geographical advantages and environmental conditions), so it is not suitable.

In a sense, today's Hainan is yesterday's Shenzhen, and Xiong 'an belongs to an economic experimental field with different purposes in the same era.

Although I missed more than 30 years of policy opportunities, I suffered enough losses and accumulated enough experience in fighting monsters all the way.

Waiting for Hainan is a golden opportunity to enhance its value.

Xiong' an is internal, so it is a Millennium plan and can only be successful.

Hainan is foreign and an attitude towards the west;

Hong Kong is its own, and making mistakes requires education and naturalization. Regardless of the consequences, Shenzhen is being baptized on the road of capitalization and financialization.

Hainan is China's next attitude towards the global economy.

Third, write at the end: share some thoughts on improving the efficiency of customs clearance in Hainan.

1, Hainan's customs clearance efficiency has improved unprecedentedly. Considering the signal and demand from different angles, this efficiency may be further strengthened in the face of the uncertainty of the global post-epidemic economic environment and the game between big countries.

There is nothing worth refuting and questioning. It is the characteristic of China system to concentrate on doing great things.

In the timetable previously announced by Hainan Freeport, it will be fully closed in 2025. Now it is 202 1 year, and this progress is completed ahead of schedule, which is a high probability event.

Therefore, for those who want to go to Hainan for real estate investment and business career, the window period may be shorter and shorter.

2. Hainan's real estate market deserves attention.

We don't encourage real estate speculation and resolutely oppose driving up housing prices. However, for those who have lived and developed in Hainan for a long time, and those who have expectations for the future Hainan Free Trade Port, it is recommended to grasp the action of buying a house in Hainan as soon as possible.

There are three gradients in buying a house in Hainan, one is that Sanya and Haikou are uncontroversial, the other is the East Coast, and the third is Zhan Zhou and nearby cities.

After customs clearance, the asset attributes of real estate may be completely rewritten in Hainan, and there will be capital demand and housing demand from other places. Hainan's future housing prices are uncertain, so it goes without saying that the qualification limit for buying a house in a good city in Hainan is the most difficult to exaggerate in the country, so if the conditions meet and you are qualified to buy, don't be too entangled.

In an era and environment full of uncertainty, it is a wise choice to embrace certainty.

For young people, Hainan is very likely and has the potential to become the new Shenzhen in the future. Today, Shenzhen is no longer a fertile ground for opportunities and an ideal city in arachis duranensis. Before the excessive capitalization and financialization of the city were alleviated and solved, Shenzhen was a place to sell youth to make money.

Hainan may be an alternative direction for young people who pursue wealth explosion and expect to overtake in corners.

Of course, there is no need to rush blindly. Free trade ports are not mature in a day. Before choosing to go to Hainan to try to make a fortune, timing, personal ability and development ideas are more important.

The article solemnly states:

This paper is only used for cognitive communication and thinking analysis. As for whether it is correct and reasonable, it takes time to verify.

And pandas are willing to share with you some cognitive thinking and understanding on the road to getting rich.

The article does not have any investment advice and guidance. Investment is risky, and all of them are adults. Taking risks is the most basic value cognition.

Above.

202 1, economic fluctuations and undercurrents are returning to calm, but the fog that affects the vision has not dispersed.

I wish all the friends who read this article can make up their minds and get ready to break through the fog and chase the waves happily on 202 1!

The article is written here. I hope readers and friends will like it.

Praise or scold, please leave a voice, seek common ground while reserving differences and grow together.

Thinking is respect for the world. Exploration is preparation for the future.

Everyone has no right to choose the times, but the times can definitely choose people.

This is a long-term era and a future determined by vision and thinking.

I hope to walk with groups with great patterns and ideas.

Be a friend of time, a leader of the times, a master of fate and a master of wealth!

Only with this article, encourage with readers and friends.

If you have any comments and opinions on this topic, please leave your thoughts and opinions below.

The above text, from @ Panda Baby Meng, Panda Real Estate View, emphasizes and pursues the output of a scarce and valuable experience in the chaotic information age.

This is my attitude and initial intention from the media: not to be the main food, but to record my understanding of the world through writing and sharing.

Aren't pandas rare? You think my article is not rare? hahahaha ...

I'm not an expert, and I dare not brag about my brilliance. I just want to share it through words, have good ideas and make good friends.