Focus Real Estate Network house.focus.cn 2004 01.05 09: 59 Yangcheng Evening News
The prices of building materials such as cement and steel bars have increased, and the secondary real estate market has flourished. The new land policy implemented in Guangzhou and the national real estate financial policies such as "12 1" have rewritten the rules of the game ... In 2003, the real estate industry in Guangzhou passed SARS. What are the expectations this year?
Is the property price falling or rising?
Several major developers in Guangzhou said that in view of the current pressure of building materials and the overall price increase, their property prices will rise at the beginning of this year, and most of them predict that the property prices will rise slightly after this spring. A big developer said that the construction cost of real estate development has increased by about 200 yuan/square meter. Under the pressure of rising construction costs, the trend of rising property prices is hard to restrain.
However, experts in the property market believe that although the development cost has obvious pressure on developers, considering factors such as supply and demand, property prices cannot rise sharply this year. According to expert analysis, judging from the relationship between supply and demand in the property market, it is still in a state of oversupply, and it is difficult for property prices to rise sharply.
On the other hand, the surge in transaction volume in the secondary market has also stabilized the increase in primary property prices. Secondary buildings are not affected by the cost of building materials, and their prices are stable or even declining. Comprehensive analysis, the overall property price will not rise this year, and the real price increase can only be a few mature buildings.
Suburban development has entered a peak period.
According to the development strategy of Guangzhou, the land transfer of Guangzhou Municipal Government in 2004 will focus on Zhujiang New Town, Pazhou, Jinshazhou and Baiyun Breeding Chicken Farm, and the supply will be determined by the government according to the market demand.
In addition, the key area of land reserve in 2004 is Yuancun Plate, including Sima Plant and Guangzhou Nitrogen Fertilizer Plant, and the above contents have been included in the overall land reserve and transfer plan.
In addition, we should pay close attention to the land supply in areas such as "Guangfo Metropolitan Area" and "Nanhai-Fangcun". A few days ago, Vanke, Agile, New World and many other large companies settled here, and it is expected that it will develop into another key area in 2004-2005. Due to the lack of land resources and avoiding the risk of centralization, Guangzhou developers will still accelerate the pace of "going north" development in 2004. It is estimated that the foreign investment of Guangzhou developers will exceed 654.38+0.5 billion yuan in 2004, which will account for more than 30% of the total investment of Guangzhou property market.
Experts predict that this year, the amount of suburban development is increasing, the average price is getting lower and lower, and it is more and more difficult to go high and low, which makes the property prices in Guangzhou show a downward trend. Panyu, Huadu, Zengcheng and other places will mainly sell multi-storey houses. It is expected that 2004 will still attract attention. With the acceleration of Nansha development, Panyu real estate will continue to lead with "low-density residence-multi-storey residence".