What are macro leading indicators, synchronous indicators and lagging indicators?

First of all, the macro leading indicators include:

1, data of registered turnover rate and registered re-employment rate of migrant workers in inter-provincial floating employment year;

2, the new registration and cancellation of enterprise information;

3, new invention patents and new technology transfer registration number;

4, the new recruitment and dismissal of retired engineering and technical personnel registration number;

5, quarterly personal income tax and corporate income tax payment level year-on-year dynamic data;

6, the national standard quality labor protection articles monthly order consumption data table;

Second, synchronization indicators include:

1, personal income;

2. Sales of social goods. The main economic synchronization indicators are: gross domestic product, total industrial output value, total retail sales of social consumer goods, etc.

Third, the lagging indicators include:

National fixed assets investment, commercial loans, fiscal revenue and expenditure, total retail price index, consumer price index, fair trade price index, etc.

Lagging indicators help to verify whether the economic trend represented by leading indicators is true.

Extended data:

The connection between the three:

Macro fluctuation is a periodic change from depression to recovery and then to climax.

According to the relationship between the trajectory of statistical indicators and the trajectory of economic changes, the trajectory of index changes and the trajectory of economic fluctuations are basically consistent in time and fluctuation, which is called synchronous index; The fluctuation at the same time is consistent with the economic fluctuation department, and the index moving forward on the time axis becomes the leading index; An indicator that moves backward on the time axis becomes a lagging indicator.

Baidu Encyclopedia-Macro Leading Indicators

Baidu encyclopedia-lagging index