If people do not face the facts but make preconceived subjective assumptions, they will unknowingly distort the facts - Conan Doyle.
Sometimes I have to lament that illusion has never been an obstacle for people to pursue the truth, preconceptions are.
One
When I think of one person, no, strictly speaking it should be two.
The first person is called Zhuge Liang. Zhuge Liang has his own uniqueness in employing people, but how can he not get his shoes wet when he often walks by the river? Zhuge Liang also made mistakes sometimes, such as Ma Di.
Zhuge Liang and Ma Su's brother Ma Liang were close friends. Later, Ma Liang was killed in the Battle of Yiling, and Zhuge Liang became more partial to the Ma family. At this time, Ma Su appeared.
Zhuge Liang is a cautious person. In fact, he inspected Ma Di in private. For example, during a chat, Ma Di once said: The way to use troops is to attack the heart first and attack the city second. The battle of the heart is the top, and the battle of the soldiers is the bottom.
This sentence made Zhuge Liang conclude that Ma Di was a general.
But in fact, Liu Bei knew Zhuge Liang's little thoughts, and even more so, he knew Ma Di's strength, because when Liu Bei first became the shepherd of Jingzhou, he had reused Ma Di, but it was obvious that Ma Di's performance was not good. Therefore, Liu Bei reminded Zhuge Liang: Ma Su exaggerated and should not be reused.
Zhuge Liang has always respected Liu Bei and rarely disobeyed, but on the matter of appointing Ma Su, he overcame all opinions and appointed Ma Su. His reason is easy to understand. Ma Su is a loyal and talented person with a good foundation and a bright future. Ma Su knows how to use soldiers better and is quite ambitious. Such a talent cannot be found even with a lantern.
With the embellishment of relationship, Zhuge Liang looks at Ma Su, just like "a mother-in-law looks at her son-in-law - the more she looks at him, the happier he becomes, and the more he looks at him, the more pleasing he is."
"Ma Su, you can do it, just go ahead and do it."
Two
In the sixth year of Jianxing, Zhuge Liang sent troops to Qishan to attack Wei in the north, and appointed Ma Su As the vanguard, lead the troops forward. Obviously, Zhuge Liang deliberately gave Ma Di the opportunity to be the protagonist. For example, although the battle-hardened Wei Yan was good at fighting, he could only play a supporting role. At that time, the Wei State sent famous general Zhang He to lead an army to attack Ma Su at Jieting.
After Ma Su led his army to the street pavilion, he frowned and thought about it, so he stationed the team on the mountainside away from the water source without permission. Lieutenant General Wang Ping suggested that "the street pavilion has no water source and no food road. If the Wei army besieges the street pavilion and we cut off the water source, we will naturally defeat ourselves."
Ma Su retorted: Even the prime minister once asked me for advice. What do you know? Immediately he published a high-level speech: "Standing down from a high position is overwhelming, risking death and surviving. This is common sense among military strategists, and it is also our way to win."
What is the result? The plot was not what Ma Su thought. As expected, Zhang He sent troops to besiege the Shu army and then cut off the water source. As you can imagine, Ma Su lost his street pavilion.
In fact, since Ma Di lost the street pavilion, Zhuge Liang has lost the strength to attack the Wei army. So who can you blame?
Zhuge Liang had preconceived ideas and thought that Ma Su was a loyal sect. After seeing that he was eloquent, he entrusted him with important tasks. In fact, Zhuge Liang did not understand Ma Di.
Ma Su also lived up to expectations. Without understanding the specific situation of the Wei army, he took it for granted that he was "condescending and unstoppable." The dream was good, but it was also naive.
It can be seen that if you look at people with preconceptions, you will see the wrong person, and if you do things with preconceptions, you will do the wrong thing.
Three
Some friends may ask, what should we do? Are there any positive cases with real-life themes? Of course there is.
Su Hua, the founder of Kuaishou, said when talking about the origin of Kuaishou: "We care very much about the feelings of everyone, including the ignored majority."
Is it incredible? Shouldn't it be a small number that are ignored? Don't worry, let's continue reading. Su Hua continued: "According to statistics, in 2018, the proportion of China's population with college education or above was 13% of the total population, and there were 87% who had not received higher education. Therefore, we More choices have been made so that those 87 people can better express themselves and be noticed.
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Now do you understand why Kuaishou is full of earthy videos? Because Kuaishou was originally prepared for those 87 people with a college degree or below. Don’t rush to criticize. In fact, when Ashin saw I don’t believe it when it comes to the proportion of higher education, but that’s the fact. The proportion of higher education is easy to calculate. Dividing the data from Xuexin.com by the total population is close to the real data.
The data is irrefutable. How else can we quibble? So Su Hua is actually right. In the early days, mobile Internet was indeed a patent for young people and higher education users. In fact, a person named Huang Zheng later founded "Pinduoduo", which was actually founded on this. On top of this data.
One more thing, many people are shouting that the short video era is coming. In addition to technological upgrades, there is another truth: among 87 users, there are still many who cannot even speak Chinese. Pinyin, so video shooting is the most convenient method.
Through data analysis, Kuaishou’s Su Hua and Pinduoduo’s Huang Zheng have specially made exclusive products for the “sinking market.” Don’t think this. Both of them are old-fashioned. In fact, Su Hua graduated from Tsinghua University and Huang Zheng graduated from Zhejiang University, both of which are top universities, and both of them work for Google at the same time.
What is the most important thing about an Internet company? Data is cloud data and big data. If a person is preconceived without data analysis, whether it is Ma Su or even Zhuge Liang, the result will be conceivable.
It is based on valid data. The above behavior can be called scientific behavior.
Four
In fact, there was an ancient man who paid great attention to data and was extremely averse to preconceptions. Yes, you guessed it right. This person is Gui Guzi. Among all the scholars, Gui Guzi was the first to form a concept of the importance of numbers and data. This method is called the method of measuring power.
Why do we need to measure power? ? Guiguzi said: If you don’t examine the power of others, you won’t be able to understand the strengths and weaknesses of others. If you can't accurately guess the real situation of others, you can't understand their concealment, concealment, and response strategies, and the direction of the situation.
So what is power measurement? It means being able to guess the size and clearly assess the strength of the other party's economic strength. Weakness, predicting the number of people, the abundance or scarcity of supplies, the dangers of the opponent's geography, the strength and weakness of the opponent's advisers, and the intelligence of the opponent's advisers. . Observing the fortune and misfortune of the weather is not over yet.
We also need to understand the other party’s social and diplomatic relations, who can take advantage of it, and who knows the truth. Only then do you know how to act, and then you are able to assess the situation and weigh the pros and cons. This is called measuring power. (The original text is: What is measuring power? It says: "Measure the size of the power, and plan for the number of people. To measure whether there is goods and wealth, how many people are there." , Rao is lacking, what is the advantage and disadvantage of distinguishing the dangers of the terrain? Which plan is long and which is short? Among the ministers who are close to each other, who is virtuous and who is unworthy? Which one is less knowledgeable or more knowledgeable about the guests? Looking at the fortunes and misfortunes of the weather, which one is good and which one is bad? Who is to use the relatives of princes and who is not to use them? The hearts of the people will change. Which one is safe and which one is in danger? Which one is good and which one is hateful? Who knows if it's the other way around? This is called measuring power. ")