1, product cycle method
2. Time trend method
This method directly calculates according to various expected factors, which is objective, but it is also easy to miss important factors or overlap. After further improvement, the specific methods are as follows:
Design the income forecast table. According to the main items in the income forecast table, analyze the factors that may change in the expected year one by one; Assess the impact of various factors on income; Summarize and analyze the overall change of expected annual income.
Product cycle method.
Product cycle method is a method to evaluate the changing trend of enterprise income according to the characteristics of enterprise-led product life cycle. Applying this method to predict the income of enterprises is generally to predict the duration of high profits for products, which is mainly applicable to three situations:
1) Enterprise products are single high-profit products;
2) Enterprises with patents or proprietary technologies will bring excess profits to enterprises in the future;
3) Enterprises are in a monopoly position and can obtain high profits.