Shanghai further relaxes the settlement restrictions for graduates
Shanghai further relaxes the settlement restrictions for graduates. Anyone who finds employment in Shanghai's "five new cities" and the new area of ????the Free Trade Zone Fresh graduates from Shanghai can settle down directly if they meet the basic conditions. Shanghai has further relaxed its restrictions on the residence of fresh graduates. Shanghai further relaxes restrictions on the settlement of fresh graduates 1
On November 29, Shanghai decided to open the second batch of 2021 non-Shanghai fresh graduates from general colleges and universities to apply for employment and settle in Shanghai, and pilot it in five It is a policy that Shanghai graduates who are employed in new cities and new areas of free trade zones and meet basic conditions can directly settle down.
Prior to this, Shanghai has lowered the settlement threshold for some fresh graduates several times. For example, in 2018, fresh undergraduate graduates from "domestic high-level universities" such as Peking University and Tsinghua University can directly settle in the city; in September 2020, the scope of direct settlement was expanded to include Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Fudan University, Tongji University, East China Normal University and other “construction of world-class universities in Shanghai”. Zhang Bo, director of the branch of 58 Anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, pointed out to the China Times reporter that judging from this new policy, Shanghai is "accelerating" the introduction of talents, and the regional direction of talent introduction is clearer.
Industry insiders generally believe that this new policy will have a positive impact on the real estate market in the five major new cities. Zhang Bo believes that “the introduction of population will further generate local housing demand.”
Fresh graduate students in designated areas may settle directly
On November 29, the Shanghai Student Affairs Center issued an announcement disclosing that in order to “promote high-quality talent highlands and increase support for attracting talents, In particular, we will support the construction of the 'Five New Cities' and recruit talents." After the Shanghai Joint Conference on College Admissions and Employment, it was decided to open the second batch of 2021 non-Shanghai general college graduates to work in Shanghai and settle in Shanghai on a pilot basis. Shanghai's new postgraduate graduates employed in the five new cities and the new free trade zone who meet basic conditions can directly settle in the city. The acceptance period is from December 1 to December 31, 2021 (working days).
According to the seventh Shanghai census data released by the Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Statistics in 2021, Shanghai’s permanent population is 24,870,895, which is close to the red line of 25 million permanent residents proposed in the 2035 urban master plan. Based on the "25 million permanent population control red line", Shanghai's settlement policy has always been quite strict. Among the six methods of settling in for fresh graduates, transferring residence, transferring residence after separation, settling in, attracting talents, and settling in returnees, only those that meet the requirements College graduates who meet the requirements (72 points or more) can settle in immediately, while other methods will require a longer wait.
Since 2017, “people-grabbing wars” have occurred in many cities, but Shanghai has not participated in them. It was not until 2018 that Shanghai relaxed the settlement restrictions for the first time and implemented a policy of "taking Peking University and Tsinghua University as pilots to explore the establishment of a policy that allows fresh graduates from domestic high-level universities in the undergraduate stage to directly settle in if they meet the basic application conditions."
Since then, Shanghai has relaxed the conditions for talent settlement several times, especially in the settlement policy for college students and master's degree graduates. For example, in September 2020, Shanghai expanded the scope of the above-mentioned settlement to "construction of world-class universities in Shanghai." In other words, in these “world-class universities building universities” including Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Fudan University, Tongji University, and East China Normal University, fresh undergraduate graduates who meet the basic application requirements can settle directly.
Industry insiders generally believe that Shanghai’s launch of the pilot policy of “Shanghai graduates who are employed in five new cities and new areas of the free trade zone and meet the basic conditions can directly settle in” will undoubtedly raise the threshold for settling in. Further relaxation will help introduce more talents. According to Wen Wei Po, there will be 207,000 fresh graduates from Shanghai colleges and universities in 2021, an increase of 20,000 from last year.
Among them, graduate students account for about 30%. According to the conditions of this policy, the number of students eligible to settle may reach tens of thousands.
"This new policy once again implements marginal adjustments to the household registration policy. This will help accelerate the construction of the 'Five New Cities' within the restriction framework of the population red line and enhance the city's comprehensive competitiveness." Zhongzhi Research Institute Shu Duan, a senior analyst at the Enterprise Division, believes.
The "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Planning and Construction of New Towns in the City's "14th Five-Year Plan"" issued by the Shanghai Municipal People's Government on March 2 this year (hereinafter referred to as the "Implementation Opinions") pointed out that " "Developing new cities" is the top priority. In terms of construction goals, by 2035, each of the five new cities will have a permanent population of about 1 million, and will basically become a comprehensive node city with a radiating and leading role in the Yangtze River Delta region. By 2025, the total resident population of the five new cities will reach about 3.6 million, and the total GDP of the area where the new cities are located will reach 1.1 trillion yuan. The new cities will basically form independent urban functions and initially have the status of comprehensive node cities.
Shu Duan told the China Times reporter that according to the seventh Shanghai census data released by the Shanghai Bureau of Statistics in 2021, the city’s population spatial distribution is continuing to flow to key development areas such as the five major new cities: The permanent population of the central city decreased by 302,500 people compared with 2010, and the Pudong New Area and suburbs increased by 2,514,300 people compared with 2010. The population density of the central city dropped from 24,137 people per square kilometer in 2010 to 23,092 people per square kilometer in 2020; Pudong The population density of new districts and suburbs increased from 2,650 people per square kilometer to 3,006 people per square kilometer.
The population continues to be introduced as a support point for the growth period
Zhang Bo, director of the branch of 58 Anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, believes that “this settlement policy can be regarded as a differentiated settlement policy implemented by Shanghai’s five major new cities. Policy." Based on the five new city construction goals proposed in the "Implementation Opinions," Zhang Bo pointed out that Shanghai has a clear "focus direction" on the population inflow areas at the policy level: "Planned population introduction is the prerequisite, and there is good industrial support to form a A livable and livable living atmosphere is the direction. ”
“The introduction of population will further stimulate local housing demand,” Zhang Bo explained to a reporter from China Times that from 2020 to 2034, Lingang New Film will be launched. The district has a permanent population of about 2.5 million, which requires the introduction of a large number of industrial talents and related service supporting talents.
“In the long run, the continued introduction of population will be a long-term support point for the five major developments.” In Zhang Bo’s view, the current batch of people who are qualified to buy houses will support the property market. There is a large amount of land in the five new cities, which requires corresponding population introduction. In the short term, it will increase the popularity of the property market in the five new cities, and at the same time, it will also create a balance between supply and demand and stabilize housing prices.
Zhang Bo pointed out that judging from the current land in Shanghai, the five major new cities will be the focus of supply in the next few years. As he said, taking only the land plots launched in the three rounds of centralized land supply this year as an example, most of them are located in Minhang District, Qingpu District, Baoshan District, Jiading District, Songjiang District, Pudong New Area, Lingang, and Fengxian District.
With the continuous introduction of talents, the demand for home purchases will remain at a certain high level for a long time. More importantly, "the population structure of the five major new cities will also undergo major changes, and the population will be even higher in the future." In order to become younger, the living environment will also be more personalized. The interactive atmosphere, green environmental protection, apartment space, etc. of the community will also have more youthful labels, which will also face greater challenges and challenges for real estate companies. Opportunity." Zhang Bo believes.
Yan Yuejin, Research Director of the E-House Research Institute Think Tank Center, also said that from a real estate perspective, it is expected that the number of similar settlements will increase significantly in December this year, which may form a wave for the home purchase market in the first half of next year. New home buying needs.
However, Yan Yuejin emphasized that at this time, we must also guard against phenomena such as real estate speculation in the five major new cities. At the same time, in view of the phenomenon of real estate speculation by talents from other cities after settling in, appropriate restrictions should be placed on the home purchases of some newly settled residents, such as restricting the sale of houses or restricting the purchase of houses in the five major new cities.
In addition, Yan Yuejin believes that regulators should continue to send positive signals, "increasing the supply of ordinary residential land in the five major new cities, and actively promoting the supply of affordable rental housing, etc., to truly promote such talents to live and work in peace and contentment." Shanghai further liberalizes regulations on Settlement restrictions for fresh graduates 2
Shanghai has recently issued a new policy. All fresh graduates of Shanghai who are employed in Shanghai's "five new cities" and new areas of the free trade zone do not need to be "scored" and meet the basic requirements. If the conditions are met, you can settle down directly.
The Shanghai Student Affairs Center issued a notice on the 29th stating that in order to promote the construction of high-quality talents in Shanghai and increase efforts to attract talents, especially to support the construction of "five new cities" and recruit talents, through Shanghai The Joint Conference on College Admissions and Employment will study and pilot a policy that allows fresh graduates of Shanghai who are employed in the "Five New Cities" and new areas of the Free Trade Zone to settle directly if they meet the basic conditions.
It is understood that Shanghai implements an open and transparent points settlement system. The standard score for non-Shanghai general college graduates to enter Shanghai for employment and settlement is usually 72 points. The graduation institution, academic qualifications Level and other factors will have varying degrees of impact on points. Some graduates from non-"double first-class" colleges and universities may have insufficient points. However, after the launch of this new policy, as long as they meet the basic conditions, all graduating students from all universities in Shanghai will be eligible. Postgraduate graduates can settle directly.
This new policy is applicable to Shanghai graduates who are employed in the "five new cities" such as Jiading, Qingpu, Songjiang, Fengxian, and Nanhui, and the new area of ????the Free Trade Zone.
The recently held Shanghai Talent Work Conference proposed that we should grasp the demand orientation, make greater efforts to promote the piloting of talent policies, optimize and integrate talent plans, improve the quality and efficiency of talent services, and accelerate the creation of a high-quality talent ecosystem. system. Relevant departments in Shanghai stated that they will further improve management and optimize services to create a good environment for attracting outstanding talents to find employment in Shanghai. Shanghai further relaxes restrictions on the settlement of fresh graduates 3
On the 29th, the Shanghai Student Affairs Center issued a notice stating that the city’s fresh graduates who are employed in five new cities and new areas of the free trade zone on a pilot basis meet the following requirements: A policy that allows direct settlement if the basic conditions are met.
In order to implement the spirit of relevant conferences in Shanghai, promote the construction of high-quality talent highlands in the city, and increase support for attracting talents, especially supporting the construction of "five new cities" to recruit talents, through the admissions and employment of Shanghai universities The working joint meeting will study and pilot this new policy.
Regarding non-Shanghai college graduates entering Shanghai for employment, they are routinely “scored” according to the settlement standard score, which is usually maintained at a stable standard of 72 points. In the "points" for settling in, factors such as the school of graduation and academic level have varying degrees of impact. Analysts believe that graduates from high-level institutions such as “double first-class” colleges and universities have relatively certain advantages, while graduates from some local colleges and universities that are not “double first-class” may have insufficient points. After the introduction of this policy that allows you to settle directly if you meet the basic conditions, the conditions will be the same for any fresh graduates who have graduated from Shanghai universities. In terms of "geographical advantages", it is also beneficial to the colleges and universities located in the five new cities and the new areas of the free trade zone, which will help graduates from relevant colleges and universities to settle down and settle down in the new cities and new areas.
In the past, if non-Shanghai residents wanted to settle in Shanghai, it usually took 7 years from "residence permit" to "acquisition of household registration", but for talents in the five new cities and new areas of the free trade zone, it can be shortened to 5 years or 3 years.
Nowadays, the new policy that "fresh graduate students who meet the conditions can directly settle in Shanghai" is tantamount to a "king bomb" that directly attracts young people to come to the suburbs of Shanghai.
According to the construction goals, Shanghai plans to have the total resident population of the five new cities reach about 3.6 million by 2025, and the total GDP of the areas where the new cities are located will reach 1.1 trillion yuan. By 2035, each of the five new cities will have a permanent population of about 1 million, and will basically become comprehensive node cities with a radiating and leading role in the Yangtze River Delta region.
At present, the population size target is being implemented one after another in the five new cities. The population growth can be said to be behind the scenes
Shanghai Talent Settlement Policy from 2015 to 2020
From the perspective of real estate, the growth of the permanent population and the continued population inflow will have a certain impact on future transactions in the property market. Take Hangzhou, which ranks first in the number of new permanent residents, as an example. , in the past few years, the transaction volume and price of commercial housing in Hangzhou have been rising all the way, and it has quickly emerged from the epidemic with super strong momentum.
Shanghai’s relaxation in the settlement of recent graduates has also had the effect of stimulating the Shanghai real estate market to a certain extent.
College talents will be a huge group of home buyers in the future.
Shanghai is the first city in my country to enter an aging society, and it is also the largest city in my country with the highest degree of aging. As of the end of 2019, the number of elderly people aged 60 and above in Shanghai was 5.1812 million, accounting for 35.2% of the total registered population. According to the results of the project of the Urban Planning Institute of Fudan University, if the current population is maintained and no new labor force is introduced, the total population of Shanghai will be reduced to about 19 million in 2040, among which the total number of people over 60 years old will increase to 8 million, accounting for more than 40%.
In contrast, Shanghai’s birth rate is the third from the bottom, significantly lower than the national average. How to gradually optimize the population structure and continue to maintain economic vitality has been put on the agenda of Shanghai.
First of all: the talent policy is not sensitive. Compared with the one-day tour policy, no matter how strong the talent policy is, there will be no risk of retraction.
Secondly: The real estate policies of most cities mainly focus on provident fund policies and land payment mitigation policies, as well as pre-sale acceleration policies. Some cities also offer housing purchase subsidies for deed tax exemptions, but these are mainly concentrated in some third- and fourth-tier cities.
Many cities have had their policies suspended, but experimental policies are still being introduced. The main reason is that one city, one policy, and local land finance, including economic stability, require adjustments to real estate policies.
Overall, the short-term real estate policy withdrawals are basically due to excessive fine-tuning, and the withdrawals are basically policies to stimulate the market rather than stabilize the market. In addition, the current real estate policies that can be implemented are basically to save the market. enterprise.
Although they are called "suburbs", they are completely different from the "remote and backward" suburbs of other cities. Shanghai's five new cities have their own development centers, and the property market has great potential for growth. The current housing prices in the five new cities are at the low level in Shanghai, but with the follow-up of supporting resources such as education and transportation, it is expected to achieve a new round of rising property market popularity.
In March 2021, Shanghai proposed that by 2035, each of the five new cities will have a permanent population of about 1 million. By 2025, the total permanent population of the five new cities will reach about 3.6 million.
At present, the total permanent population of the five new cities is about 2.4 million, leaving a gap of nearly 2.6 million (official statistics show that the current population in Nanhui, Fengxian and Qingpu is about 300,000-500,000)
Third: Talent has become the window for real estate policy regulation. Overall, Shanghai’s adjustment of talent policy is to maintain Shanghai’s urban vitality, but judging from trends, the property market in first-tier cities is likely to gradually bottom out! Beijing will also introduce similar policies.