Why is India destined not to surpass China to become a powerful country
From the development of these two countries, we can see that India is destined not to become a powerful country?
218-7-16 21:43
China believed in "fate" in ancient times, especially for the development of the country. China has always been a big country and a powerful country, which is fate, and many countries are doomed to be unable to be strong, which is also fate. The most typical example is India, and judging from the development experience of the following two countries, India is doomed to be unable to become a powerful country and to surpass us.
Many people compare the development of India with that of China, especially in recent years when China has made adjustments, the economic growth rate of India has surpassed that of China. Moreover, in recent years, India's economy has continuously surpassed Russia, France and other countries to become the sixth largest economy in the world. Many people speculate that India will soon surpass the world powers, China and even the United States, and become a powerful country in the world. But in fact, India's fate cannot become a powerful country, as can be seen from the examples of two countries.
These two countries are Brazil and Indonesia. In terms of volume, Brazil has a land area of more than 8.5 million square kilometers and a population of more than 2 million. Moreover, it is rich in resources and has a vast depth, which is better than India and is more qualified to become a world power. Indonesia, with a land area of over 1.9 million square kilometers and a population of nearly 27 million, is no less than India in terms of location and volume.
and historically, Brazil and Indonesia have developed very rapidly. Brazil has been growing for decades, and its momentum once said that it would surpass the United States and become a world power. However, Brazil soon came to a standstill, with internal chaos, serious inflation and development difficulties. The same thing happened to Indonesia, which is the most qualified country to become a big country in the whole Southeast Asia. It once developed very fiercely and broke out, but it quickly turned off.
Now the whole country is a failed territorial power, and its influence is even worse than that of small Singapore. Seeing the development of Brazil and Indonesia, we can see that India is doomed to be a powerful country. The most crucial point is that the geographical location, Indonesia and Brazil, as well as India, all have a feature, that is, being in the tropics, being in the tropics, the most fatal flaw is people's laziness, which is fatal to a country's long-term development.
We can see that the developed countries and regions in the world are basically in temperate zones, while the tropical regions, with the exception of Singapore, have no strong countries, no big countries, and no big developed countries. Most of the world's economy is concentrated in the temperate zone, which determines that it is difficult for tropical regions to have large and powerful countries with sustainable development, because the stamina is seriously insufficient. The key to China's prosperity for thousands of years and becoming a world power is the creativity and diligence of the Chinese nation, which is the foundation of development.
tropical territorial powers can have short-term prosperity, but it is difficult to sustain it. Indonesia and Brazil are examples. Therefore, it is obviously impossible to advocate that India will become a powerful country in the world or even surpass China. Moreover, India faces more serious problems than Indonesia and Brazil, such as caste system, huge poverty population, complex internal ethnic contradictions and too many feudal remnants. Any outbreak will completely stop India's development, and the country will not even be stable, which is fatal.
India, with the second largest population in the world, has never experienced such a long process of population integration as our Chinese nation. India's huge population is far from the height of China people. We call it "cultural homogeneity", and there is no such thing as the same language, the same values and the same way of life. We are much more cohesive than it. So Indian history also had its own ancient Halata civilization, which was interrupted later. And later, you see that India's history is in constant turmoil. The relatively long period of reunification was the period of British colonial rule that began in the 19th century, and foreign English became its main official language today. But today, people who can really speak, understand and master English are actually less than 1% of India's population. The population of the whole West accounts for 14% of the world's population, while that of China accounts for 2% of the world's population. With the establishment of a modern country, especially a modern education system, educated and trained people are the greatest wealth of our "civilized country". China now trains more engineers every year than the United States, Europe and Japan combined. The rapid development of China's manufacturing industry, e-commerce, domestic and foreign tourism, Internet, especially mobile Internet, logistics industry, urbanization, high-speed railway, artificial intelligence and other industries actually reflects this scale effect.
In a broader sense, once China changes itself due to the demographic effect, it will often have the effect of changing the world, even leading the development of the world and leading the changes of relevant standards and rules.
Now the world has entered the era of big data. The population and education level of China mean that we have far more big data than other countries. There is a saying that the most important resource in the era of industrial civilization is oil, then the most important resource in the era of information civilization is big data. The population of China is more than four times that of the United States, and the mobile payment in China is now more than 7 times that of the United States. China people create big data every day, which is unmatched by the United States and other countries in terms of depth, breadth and thickness. What does this mean for 5G, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and a new generation of new industrial revolution and new technological revolution? What does it mean to establish standards for this industry in many parts of the world in the future? What does the impact on the world and the future of mankind mean? You know!
The second is the vast territory. China's vast territory has been gradually integrated by hundreds of countries in the long history. Today, Russia's territory is larger than China's and Canada's territory is larger than China's, but these two countries have never experienced this integration process in the sense of "civilized country" like China. The former Soviet Union once tried to create a "Soviet nation", but it vanished with the disintegration of the Soviet Union. The various countries dominated by ethnic minorities will soon become independent. If Putin's coming to power has not reversed the trend of Russia's continued collapse and followed the western model, I am sorry that Russia will continue to disintegrate. At this point, Russians still respect Putin.
India is also a populous country, but its land area is actually only 1/3 of that of China, and the degree of integration within its territory is far less than that of China. In many places, the rebel forces are far from calming down, and the caste system is also a big problem, which hinders the population flow and social vitality in India.
China scholar Qian Mu once compared ancient China with ancient Greece and later Rome. He said that ancient Greece was "with people but no country", ancient Rome was "with countries but no people" and ancient China was "with people". Ancient Greece did not form a unified country, but was composed of a large number of relatively small and medium-sized city-states. Some people were even a city-state with thousands of people, and some were more than 1, people, which was smaller than the population of any county in China during the Qin and Han Dynasties, and there was never a real and unified central government. The Roman Empire was "a country with no people", and the empire fought all the year round. At its most prosperous time, its territory was more than 3.5 million square kilometers, which was equivalent to that of the Western Han Dynasty in China. However, in terms of national governance, ancient Rome never formed the internal population integration as in the Qin and Han Dynasties. At that time, China had a household registration system, a county system, compiled households and so on, but the Roman Empire finally disintegrated and perished due to economic recession, political turmoil and the invasion of Germanic nomadic barbarians.
generally speaking, the Eastern Roman Empire after that is not a European country. After the disintegration of the Roman Empire, most historians believe that Europe entered the "dark period" of the Middle Ages, and it is generally believed that it was not until the Renaissance in the 16th century that Europe began to get rid of the long "dark period". The situation in China is quite different. In 221 BC, Qin Shihuang unified China, implemented the principle of "writing with the same language, sharing the same track with cars", unified weights and measures, and promoted the county system, which laid the cultural and political foundation for maintaining the reunification of China, including North Korea at that time, which was also unified by China. After that, China experienced many divisions, but the mainstream politics of the past dynasties all sought to unify the political system of the past dynasties, almost all of which can be traced back to the Qin and Han Dynasties. As Mao Zedong said, "All generations are good at Qin politics", China's tradition of "great unification" has come down in one continuous line since Qin agreed.
The vast and unified territory has enabled China to gain such geographical advantages and strategic depth that most countries can't match. China has a strong central government and strong national defense capabilities, which has completely solved the problem of "beating" that has plagued the Chinese nation for more than a hundred years. China can make strategic layout in the ultra-large-scale territory, realize the West-to-East gas transmission, and realize the "eight vertical and eight horizontal" high-speed rail, which is a rare modern project in human history.
For the vast majority of countries, industrial upgrading often means that the industry moves abroad, and a large-scale industrial gradient transfer can be realized within China itself. The general manufacturing industry can move from developed sectors to emerging sectors but remain in China, thus prolonging the life cycle of China's manufacturing industry.
The geographical advantage of "civilized country" also makes us have a kind of "geo-radiation power" that other countries can't match. The opening policy promoted by China is very wonderful, from coastal opening to opening along the river to extending the border, and today's "One Belt, One Road" initiative has turned China's border provinces into the frontiers of opening up, especially the construction of Eurasian railways, including Chongqing-New Europe Railway, Lianyungang, Yiwu and Europe. There is also a railway corridor under construction from Yunnan to Southeast Asia, which connects the whole of China with Central Asia, Russia, Europe and Southeast Asian countries. This geographical advantage of China is unmatched by an economic power that lacks geographical advantages.
In the process of our economic development, we actually see that the central government plays an important role, and local governments also play an important role. In fact, it is related to the scale of China, such a large area and such a large population, so it has the central government and local governments. Some economists say that the benign competition of county-level governments in China is the most important reason for the rise of China.
China's vast territory is actually a concept of "continent", that is, the plane is still in its own country for three hours or more, and it must have visited more than a dozen countries in Europe for such a long time. So you still go to another place for such a long time and stay in China, or speak Chinese, eat Chinese food and enjoy the rich China culture, which is rare and wonderful. Combining population and region, these two "super" challenges, once you can overcome this challenge, you must create a miracle of the world. Why is our high-speed rail technology the best in the world? It is very simple, because first of all, you must be able to cope with the huge population pressure in China, a Spring Festival travel rush with 3 billion passengers, and you must send the largest population from one place to another in the shortest time. Look again if you achieve this breakthrough and overcome the population. Your high-speed rail technology should be able to adapt to the frozen soil in the northeast, the dense river network in the south of the Yangtze River and the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. If these conditions can be adapted, your technology must be more complete than that of other countries, so the average country can't compare it. We are indeed ahead.
Third, it is an ultra-long historical tradition. With a continuous history of 5, years, China has formed its own knowledge system and practical tradition in almost all fields of human knowledge. We have our own profound and self-contained things in politics, philosophy, religion, language, education, art, drama, literature, architecture, military affairs, sports, medicine, diet and so on. This rich tradition, Because of the large population, vast territory, complex environment and other factors, China people have formed their own unique traditions in governing the country. One is "people-oriented", "the people are the foundation of the country, and the country is peaceful". We believe that "food is the sky for the people", we believe that "governing the country first" and we believe that "preparing for danger in times of peace". In fact, they are all part of our traditional wisdom. We can see that even in the ancient times of China, many unique traditions of governing the country and government in China began to take shape. For example, leaders should set an example first, and political organizations should be able to organize large-scale water control projects. Then Qin Shihuang's unification of China was the first of its kind to govern a super-large country.
Today we have chosen the socialist road and achieved great success. In fact, it is inseparable from the important genes such as advocating equality in China tradition. For example, as early as the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period, we destroyed the land monopoly based on consanguinity and promoted the free circulation of land, which also led to some land mergers and polarization between the rich and the poor. Therefore, in history, many imperial courts adopted the method of "normally closing positions" to store grain for reserve, and also used the law of value to adjust the supply of grain, stabilize prices, purchase it when food prices were low, and appropriately reduce prices when food prices were high.