From "targeted poverty alleviation" to "development of urban agglomerations", the country has taken advantage of the situation and made the right choice in the new era.
The development of urban agglomerations is not only the result of the development of modern cities and industries, but also the inevitable trend of China's current economic development. The success of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration and the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration strategies has not only successfully boosted the regional economy, but also provided good material for further promoting the development of central and western urban agglomerations, industrial transfer, and economic transformation. At the same time, it has also It has avoided many problems in past development.
From a trend perspective, after 30 years of rapid development, the economic belts of the three urban agglomerations have encountered different ceilings in terms of demographic dividend, economic scale, and industrial level, especially during the outbreak of the new crown epidemic. In 2020, the development shortcomings of the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta economic zones, which are dominated by export-oriented economies, will begin to become apparent and will have a significant impact on economic development.
Therefore, vigorously developing urban agglomerations is not only to build an active export-oriented economy, but also to once again build a healthy and stable development framework for a large country on the premise of balanced development.
This is an inevitable trend.
Judging from the ranking of urban agglomerations in 2019, the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Chengdu and Chongqing, and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River have the highest development potential, followed by the west coast of the Taiwan Strait and the Shandong Peninsula , Central Plains, central and southern Liaoning, Guanzhong Plain, Beibu Gulf, etc. The Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and Pearl River Delta have the largest economic scale and leading industrial innovation strength. Their combined GDP, number of A and H-share listed companies, and invention patent authorizations account for 38.1, 64.1, and 63.9 of the country's total, respectively. In terms of population, the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, Chengdu, Chongqing, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei have led the country in population growth in the past three years, with average annual increases of 1.422 million, 1.009 million, 873,000, 638,000, and 427,000 respectively; Central Plains, The west coast of the Taiwan Strait, Beibu Gulf, Guanzhong Plain, Shandong Peninsula, and Qianzhong also increased significantly, while the population of the central and southern Liaoning and Harbin Great Wall urban agglomerations decreased. At present, the urban agglomerations of the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta have entered a period of maturity. 11 urban agglomerations including Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Chengdu-Chongqing, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, and the west bank of the Taiwan Strait are in a period of rapid development. Six urban agglomerations in central Guizhou, Hubei, Baotou, Eyu, and Dianzhong are in a period of rapid development. In the embryonic development stage.
From an investment perspective, urban agglomerations in the mature stage have high investment value. Urban agglomerations in the rapid development stage have the important task of carrying the economic transformation of the new era, and the future is promising; Urban agglomerations in the embryonic development stage need leading industries, leading companies, companies and individuals with strong personal brands and preferential policies to obtain development dividends in the future.
In contrast, I am more optimistic about urban agglomerations in the rapid development period, such as the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.
If we talk about the urban agglomeration with the greatest potential for future development, it should be the Yangtze River Delta. Of course, if we say it is developing the fastest, that is another matter.
The Yangtze River Delta is the economic center with the strongest comprehensive strength in my country and the largest urban agglomeration in China. It has many powerful cities in the country, with Shanghai as the leader, Nanjing, Hangzhou, and Hefei as sub-centers, and also includes Suzhou, Ningbo, Wuxi and other regional central cities. The development of all walks of life is at the forefront of the country. It covers three provinces and one city, involving as many provinces as the only one in the country. Moreover, the scope of the Yangtze River Delta is not fixed. At the beginning, it only included 16 core cities in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai. Now it has expanded to Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, and its driving scope is getting wider and wider, and its driving ability is also getting wider and wider. The stronger.
Moreover, the Yangtze River Delta is also one of the six urban agglomerations in the world and an important platform for China to participate in world competition. Therefore, the policy support received by this urban agglomeration is unmatched by ordinary urban agglomerations. Comparable.
Therefore, in terms of development potential, the Yangtze River Delta is undoubtedly the largest. However, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has developed relatively maturely, and it is impossible to maintain a high-speed growth of more than 9 as before.
There are still many urban agglomerations in China that have just started, and their development speed is naturally faster. Therefore, in terms of speed, there may be many urban agglomerations that will develop faster than the Yangtze River Delta. But in terms of strength, influence and development potential, the Yangtze River Delta is currently the best.
City agglomerations are a cooperation model that can better develop regional economies. However, city agglomerations are also too wide in scope to concentrate their efforts, especially in terms of industrial division of labor, resource sharing, and talent interaction. They are doing things independently, or even competing with each other, overlapping resources, and duplicating construction. They are only interested in transportation interconnection, but real urban agglomerations are not limited to transportation interconnection, but require a broader space for cooperation. As for which region is the best, this blind man also knows that the integration of the Yangtze River Delta city agglomeration, which has risen to a national strategic level, is the most competitive city agglomeration in the country, and it also participates in city agglomeration competition on a global scale.
The six global urban agglomerations include the Atlantic Coast Urban Agglomeration in the Northeastern United States, the Great Lakes Urban Agglomeration in North America, the Pacific Coast Urban Agglomeration in Japan, the British Urban Agglomeration, the Northwest European Urban Agglomeration, and the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration. Large urban agglomeration. Among them is the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration.
From a geographical point of view, my country's economy is highly concentrated in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions. Due to different regional characteristics and urban development characteristics, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is mainly in the form of urban areas. This is reflected in the fact that in the future, the Beijing metropolitan area will compete with the Tokyo metropolitan area, the New York metropolitan area and other metropolitan areas, instead of participating in global competition in the form of city agglomerations; in the Pearl River Delta region, it will not be in the form of city agglomerations, but in the form of the Greater Bay Area. District characteristics participate in the competition. Only the Yangtze River Delta participates in the competition among urban agglomerations.
In addition, the two major urban agglomerations that can enter the competitive echelon nationwide are the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration. Although these two urban agglomerations are weaker than those in the Yangtze River Delta, they are still It is one level higher than other urban agglomerations. Hefei can no longer be included in the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, but should be included in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. What remains is the urban agglomeration pattern of the three major provinces including Wuhan, Changsha and Nanchang. With the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration of Sichuan and Chongqing dominated by Chengdu, it will be difficult to determine the winner for a while.
Other urban agglomerations such as the Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration in the northwest region, the Central Plains urban agglomeration with Zhengzhou as its core, the west coast urban agglomeration of the Taiwan Straits, the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration, and the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration are still lagging behind, mainly some The regional urban agglomeration pattern is very different from the national strategic pattern of the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration.
The remaining ones mainly refer to provincial capitals or cross-regional city agglomerations, which are just the name of a city agglomeration and do not have substantial cross-regional strategic significance.
Urban agglomeration is regarded as the highest form of spatial organization in the mature stage of urban development. From a global perspective, the characteristic of population migration is that it eventually gathers in some mega-city agglomerations to form metropolitan areas.
Urban agglomeration means the formation of large industrial chains and metropolitan areas that are interconnected, interconnected, and reciprocal, and means scale and efficiency. Today's urban competition around the world is no longer the competition of a single city, but the competition of urban agglomerations.
On November 18, 2018, the "Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Establishing a More Effective New Mechanism for Regional Coordinated Development" clearly pointed out that the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region Urban agglomerations, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration and other urban agglomerations promote the strategic integrated development of major national regions.
In past development, the focus was on urbanization. Future development will focus on urban agglomerations.
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao urban agglomeration and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration are like the four heavenly kings in Buddhism, each guarding one side of the east, west, south, and north. They are in all directions The economic center is also the policy high ground, where funds are mainly invested. Therefore, these four urban agglomerations are the most secure places for investment and are the first choice cities for investment in China today.
I am optimistic about the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration because it has the greatest potential.
1. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei: To be honest, the economy in the north has been weak for a long time. Beijing is the only one struggling to support the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. Tianjin’s data is really not enough, and various people’s livelihood data are poor. It shows that the vitality of the core business is very low. Tianjin’s GDP has fallen out of the top 10. The former Pearl of the Bohai Sea is gone forever.
2. The Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta have the same problem. They have reached a bottleneck and their growth is very slow. This is also the reason why Guangzhou was surpassed by Chongqing. Coupled with the unstable international situation, the country began to focus on the economy. In internal circulation, ports that rely on foreign trade will be in trouble, and the economic center will gradually shift inland.
3. The Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration has great potential. From a strategic point of view, it is a place where the country continues to export policies. From an economic point of view, Chongqing’s GDP has surpassed Guangzhou and ranked fourth. Chengdu will soon surpass it in the future. Suzhou ranks 6th, so this is a strong alliance. Moreover, Sichuan and Chongqing have a large population hinterland, rich culture and industries, so the potential is self-evident. The redevelopment of the western region is a national focus. There are 4 4F airports in Chengdu and Chongqing. It can be seen that the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration is a new star engine for the national economy.
Here are urban analysts, bringing you the most objective analysis.
In the future, wherever there is land for a variety of food in China, it will be the best. Currently, we are focusing on industry. In a few years, every province, city, and land will have its own industry. In addition, every province will have its own industry. The country has its own industry, and those industrial manufacturing can only be consumed internally. Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Dongguan, and those cities have no land to grow food for food. No one wants the things they make. If you can make them, others will make them too. Yes, but people make things and have land to grow food and raise food. But if you don’t have land, you can only eat the northwest wind. This kind of transformation will not last long. A society that switches from agriculture to industry, and then from industry to agriculture will not last long. Yes, those who own land are real property, and real estate will soon become a thing of the past. I am very optimistic about the future prospects of the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration.
Chongqing originally belonged to Sichuan. Due to comprehensive factors such as the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, Chongqing became an independent municipality directly under the Central Government.
As far as Chongqing is concerned, the advantages of geographical location are very obvious. Chongqing borders the five provinces of Shaanxi, Guizhou, Hunan, Hubei and Sichuan, and has obvious advantages in its road and railway network. In addition, the Yangtze River and Jialing River converge, and water transportation can directly reach Wuhan and Shanghai.
In addition, every Sichuanese must be deeply touched by the rapid development of Chengdu in recent years. Relying on the advantages of the basin, Chengdu has invested a lot of human and financial resources in creating a livable life, humanities, science and technology, etc. Some people even jokingly call Chengdu: Chengdu Province, and its development is the result of the efforts of the entire province.
Large technology companies such as Tencent, Alibaba, Huawei, and Lenovo have gathered in Chengdu, and top manufacturing companies such as Foxconn and BOE have also opened branches here.
Currently, Chengdu and Chongqing are the leaders of second-tier cities and have also been included in the list of new first-tier cities. Due to geographical reasons, the development of the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration can basically be said to rely entirely on its own strength. The shortcoming of few first-tier cities in the surrounding area has become the development advantage of Chengdu and Chongqing. A large number of talents from the southwest region gather here, and the southwest duo is influenced by The "interference" in first-tier cities is very small.
Compared with the Yangtze River Delta region, the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration has relatively poor transportation advantages, but its population advantage is obvious. According to statistics, the population of Nanchong City alone exceeds the population of Hong Kong. Perhaps relying on this, in the next ten years In 2019, the Chengdu-Chongqing metropolitan area will achieve rapid development in manufacturing by absorbing talents from the southwest region.
Although the main market for China's manufacturing industry is overseas, Chongqing's waterway advantages on the Yangtze River and the Chongqing-Xinjiang-Europe Railway advantages can be used to increase import and export trade.
At present, Chongqing has also proposed an urban development plan for the 21 districts of the main city. The westward development illustrates Chongqing’s positive actions in building the Chengdu-Chongqing metropolitan area.
In the future, the Chengdu metropolitan area may become a giant in the southwest region and the main economic and cultural gathering place in southwest my country.