E-commerce is just one aspect of future business development trends. There is a saying that the success or failure of an enterprise depends entirely on execution, which is incomplete and wrong. The right markets, technologies and geographies are also crucial, especially as long-term economic development targets. Western countries also believe that choosing the right market and geographical area is the key to success in industries such as banking, telecommunications and technology. It just proves the sentence \x0d\\x0d\ "It is better for a BAD manager to lead a good market industry than for a mediocre manager to lead a poor market industry." \x0d\\x0d\ So what exactly is it like? Factors will cause earth-shaking changes in 2015. It is obviously wrong to only set short-term goals and is far from enough. Modern managers must anticipate future trends through well-researched industry reports. Roughly speaking, the main factors should be divided into: macro factors, environmental factors and social factors! \x0d\\x0d\Macroeconomic trends\x0d\\x0d\First. Focusing on economic activities not only accelerates global economicization, but also accelerates the development of regional economies. This is due to changes in economic liberalization, the development of information technology, the development of capital markets, and the great migration of geographical populations. Today, Asia (excluding Japan, hey Japan is the miracle of Asia's economic rise, whether China can overturn this myth again, it depends on development) accounts for 13% of the world's GDP, while Europe accounts for 30% of the total GDP. In the next 20 years, the manufacturing and information technology industries will gather together in the world's fields to create a new peak of alliances. In addition, the regional economy has also accelerated its pace of development. In the next 20 years, the United States will continue to maintain its absolute economic growth advantage. \x0d\\x0d\Second. The public sector will "bubble" the economy. Therefore, strengthening production efficiency is crucial. The whole world is facing a crisis of population aging, especially in Europe. Among them, Germany's elderly (gt; 75) and above population has the fastest growth, reaching 33 (2005-2015). These will inevitably lead to a decline in productivity, pensions and health care will inevitably To shoulder greater responsibilities and force the reform of the tax system. This is what is called:\x0d\\x0d\"Let relatively few young people support relatively many elderly people!".\x0d\\x0d\Third. Changes and expansion of the consumer market. In the next 10 years, nearly one billion consumers will enter the global consumer market - people can freely choose goods. By 2015, Asia's consumption power has increased from 4 trillion to 9 trillion, which is basically close to the current consumption power of Western Europe. The changes in consumer segmentation in developed countries are also obvious. By 2015, the spending power of Hispanics in the United States will be equal to that of 60% of Chinese consumers. Regardless of location, the number of consumers who know and use the same product and brand will increase. \x0d\\x0d\Social and Environmental Trends\x0d\\x0d\Social and environmental factors have four aspects. Although it is difficult to predict and the impact on business is uncertain, it will completely affect people's lifestyles and work Way. \x0d\\x0d\Fourth. Technological developments will revolutionize the way people live and connect. The technological revolution has just begun and is not yet mature. Individuals, corporations, and business organizations are learning how to use IT to design and develop knowledge. For example, some fields: bioengineering, laser technology and nanotechnology. The way we work is not only global but instantaneous, new communities and relationships are forged (indeed, in 2005, 12 American newlyweds met online). More than 2 billion people use mobile phones, and more than 9 trillion emails are sent every year. In the future, time changes and geographical location will no longer be major constraints on social and economic development. \x0d\\x0d\Fifth. The “war for talent” will shift. Extensive job migration will occur to countries with lower relative wages. Knowledge-intensive industries will place greater emphasis on well-educated talent. Developing countries will produce twice as many university-educated professionals as developed countries.
For most companies and governments, global manpower and talent strategies are particularly important as global sourcing and manufacturing strategies. \x0d\\x0d\Sixth. Large commercial organizations will face more detailed scrutiny. Due to the globalization of business and changes in the economic demand environment, society's suspicion of large companies will also increase. For example: Not long ago, when chicken plague broke out, KFC immediately made market response strategies and produced various advertising brochures to explain the procedures and processes of chicken processing to ensure that people can eat with peace of mind. \x0d\\x0d\Tragedy and environmental disasters will inevitably occur and occur in a certain proportion. This is not just about the next five years but about the next 250 years. In the next 10 years, truly powerful giant global companies will emerge. Business companies, especially large ones, are never favored by society. Business leaders must convince society that they will create more social benefits for people. \x0d\\x0d\Seventh. Demand for natural resources will continue to grow, thereby exerting pressure on the environment. Over the next 20 years, oil prices will increase by 50 points, and there is no way to keep up with supply without new discoveries and fundamental innovations. For example, in China, demand for steel, iron, and aluminum has tripled in the past 10 years. \x0d\\x0d\The world's resources will also be further scarce. The lack of water resources will be the most important crisis that many countries will face. Therefore, technological innovation, new rules and regulations, and the use of resources will be the core of the world's themes, also promoting economic development and supporting environmental needs. \x0d\\x0d\Business and Industry Development Trends\x0d\\x0d\Eighth. A new global industrial structure emerges. Non-traditional business models will coexist in the same market and space under the influence of new technological developments. Many industries present a "barbell"-like structure, with many giants at the top, a narrower middle, and secondly, many small-scale and rapidly developing players at the bottom. \x0d\\x0d\Ninth. Art management moves towards scientific management. In the future newer, larger and more complex companies will emerge requiring new management tools. Indeed, advanced technology and statistics will enable new ways of managing millions of institutions. Today's leaders of business companies use mathematical calculations - decision-making techniques and use fairly sophisticated software to manage their organizations - scientific management! \x0d\\x0d\Tenth. Ubiquitous information changes the era of knowledge economy. Knowledge is everywhere, and it will also become more segmented and specialized. The most obvious trend is reflected in the current most popular search engines, such as GOOGLE, BAIDU, etc., which have created the immediacy of unlimited knowledge bases. Access to knowledge has also become almost global. So new patterns of knowledge production, access, channels and ownership will emerge! We're looking at: open knowledge development as a group rather than as individuals. Knowledge manufacturing itself will also grow, such as global patent applications, which grew at an annual rate of 20% from 1990 to 2004. Companies must learn how to balance this new type of knowledge globalization or how to reduce the risk of being drowned by the "information explosion"