Roadmap 2.0 puts forward six goals for the development of China's automobile industry in 2035, in which the carbon emission of the automobile industry is two years ahead of the national carbon emission reduction commitment, "peaking ahead of the national carbon emission reduction commitment around 2028, and the total carbon emission will drop by more than 20% by 2035".
In addition, the other five goals in roadmap 2.0 are: new energy vehicles will gradually become mainstream products, and the automobile industry will basically realize electric transformation; China Solution Intelligent Networked Automotive Core Technology is internationally leading and its products are applied on a large scale; The level of autonomy of key core technologies has been significantly improved, forming a coordinated, efficient, safe and controllable industrial chain; Establish a smart travel system for automobiles and form a deep integration ecology of automobiles, transportation, energy and cities; The technological innovation system is basically mature and has the original innovation ability leading the world. ?
Technology Roadmap 2.0 for Energy-saving and New Energy Vehicles continues the research model and framework of overall technology roadmap+technology roadmap for key areas, and forms "1+9" overall technology roadmap+energy-saving vehicles+pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles+hydrogen fuel cell vehicles+intelligent networked vehicles+automobile power batteries+electric drive system for new energy vehicles+charging infrastructure+automobile lightweight+automobile intelligent manufacturing and key equipment.
Compared with the plan in the 1.0 version of the technical roadmap released on 20 16, in which pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles are mainly used, supplemented by energy-saving vehicles, the upcoming 2.0 technical roadmap aims to replace electrification with "electric drive", raise the energy-saving vehicles to the same level as new energy vehicles, and develop them at the same time. It is predicted that by 2035, energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles will occupy each other. 50%。
In China's classification, energy-saving vehicles refer to fuel vehicles with low fuel consumption and hybrid vehicles with higher fuel utilization rate, while new energy vehicles refer to plug-in hybrid vehicles and pure electric vehicles with battery as power source compared with traditional fuel vehicles.
The transition from "electrification" to "electric drive" is to put hybrid vehicles on a higher strategy. A few years ago, various automobile development policies in China were mostly implemented around new energy vehicles, such as financial subsidies and infrastructure construction. At present, the development of new energy vehicles in China has been 10 years, accounting for less than 6%, while energy-saving vehicles account for less than 3%. The change of route indicates that the future policy will tilt towards energy-saving cars and hybrid cars. Roadmap Target From the perspective of product application, the proportion target of hybrid passenger cars to traditional cars is clear. At the three time points of 2025, 2030 and 2035, the proportion of hybrid passenger cars in the sales of traditional cars is over 50%, over 75% and 100% respectively.
In 202010-September, 20,000 hybrid passenger cars were produced and sold 16.64 and15120,000 respectively. The monthly year-on-year trend also showed an upward trend.
2.0 On the route, the proportion of energy-saving vehicles will increase, and hybrid electric vehicles will certainly benefit, but domestic hybrid oil technology is relatively scarce. Hybrid cars are led by Toyota and have built strong barriers. Honda achieved a breakthrough by bypassing Toyota patents. Except for two, the hybrid technology of other automobile companies is very lacking. In 20 19, almost all of the 280,000 hybrid vehicles in China were taken over by Toyota and Honda. At present, domestic Toyota has reached a technology transfer agreement with Guangzhou Automobile Group, and Guangzhou Automobile will launch Toyota THS system (ToyotaHybrid? System) hybrid products, or products including hybrid versions of GS8 and GM8.
At the same time, in addition to blending oil, the position of plug-in hybrid vehicles in new energy vehicles is also expected to improve. Compared with the series-parallel hybrid, Toyota firmly grasps it, and the plug-in hybrid under the parallel technical scheme has developed in China. BYD Song, Tang and Han models all have DM (Parallel Plug-in Hybrid) versions, which have achieved good sales in the market.
Extended-range hybrid electric vehicles, represented by series, have also attracted attention through continuous optimization of technology. Li has adopted extended-range hybrid technology, and other emerging automobile manufacturing forces, such as Crane and Baoneng Automobile, have also announced that they will develop extended-range electric vehicles.
The route of version 2.0 is only the technical guidance route for domestic new energy vehicles in the next few years. From the longer-term development trend, the pure electric route will not change. How to choose your own technical route in this transitional stage is a very important thing to evaluate your strategic decision-making ability. How to grasp the initiative in the process of technological change requires a good balance between market development, technological capability and policy direction. The future route is clear, come on! China car.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.