When choosing 1 trial, a reserve of 100,000 will be paid, and the risk is: 50%x200 million is 100 million. Then when Case 2 chooses arbitration, it will be affected by Case 1, that is, 50% x 60 million;
When Case 2 chooses trial, due to the principle of trial independence and the practice of citing preliminary judgments, the risk of Case 2 is :
When Case 1 wins, 70% x20% x500,0010% x900,000 = 190,000 risk.
When Case 1 loses, 10% x50% x50 million+40% x90 million = 61 million risk.
To sum up, if case No. 1 chooses arbitration, the compensation will be 100 million yuan. However, if case No. 2 chooses arbitration or trial, there is not much difference, and the decision can be made freely.
If Case 1 is chosen to go to trial, it will cost 100,000 yuan in reserves and the risk of losing the case will be 100 million yuan. The choice of arbitration for Case 2 is most affected by the trial outcome of Case 1.
When case 1 is chosen to go to trial, a reserve of 100,000 yuan will be spent, and the risk of losing the case is 100 million yuan. Case 2 also chooses to go to trial and requires a reserve fund of 6 million yuan. There are two situations: Case 1 wins and will bear a loss of 190,000, and Case 1 loses.
Although after these word games, you will find that the risk choices given by actual lawyers are not much different. The company will always have a risk expenditure of about 160 million, but after some whitewashing, you will realize that A lawyer's professional wisdom and willingness to pay attorney fees. This is a pretty smart group of lawyers.
However, a good lawyer will always use various legal means to influence the litigation process, how to affect the trial time difference between the two cases, and promptly advise the client to adapt to the situation and obtain the most favorable result for the client. This is the value of a lawyer. Hope this helps, and salute to all struggling lawyers.