To the market's surprise, Huizhou's real estate market has recently become a hot spot again. The latest focus of the new regulation and control policy is to optimize the rules of land competition, limit the selling price of land housing, and suspend the sale of newly-built commercial housing to non-local residents who own 1 suite or above in key areas. The "key areas" this time are mainly Daya Bay and Huiyang. Since Dongguan has implemented strict purchase restriction measures, Daya Bay and Huiyang have finally formed a "Linshen purchase restriction circle". Under the "Linshen Restricted Purchase Circle", what changes have taken place in Shenzhen people's views on the property market in Linshen District?
Shenzhen guests' reaction rationality
"I'll send you some new plates for sale in Daya Bay. If you have time to see them, I'll pick you up by car. " Manager Huang, who works as a real estate agent in the East Lake area of Luohu, is very enthusiastic. "The house in Shenzhen is not easy to sell this year, so we also act as an agent for new sites around Shenzhen."
The reporter's investigation found that Daya Bay and Huiyang joined the "Linshen restricted purchase circle" but became a tool for many real estate agents to promote: "You can only buy one set now, otherwise there will be no chance." Not only that, the opening of high-speed rail and the gradual improvement of living facilities, coupled with the expectation of Shenzhen-Huizhou subway interconnection, many Shenzhen tourists still pay more attention to Daya Bay and Huiyang.
However, compared with the enthusiasm of real estate agents, the answer obtained by reporters after interviewing a number of property buyers at random seems somewhat calm. Most interviewees said that they would not buy more than two houses in Daya Bay and Huiyang at current prices. Moreover, new houses in Daya Bay and Huiyang are still in large supply. It can be seen that despite the implementation of the purchase restriction, the response of Shenzhen customers is still relatively rational.
The reporter found that at present, the prices of new houses in Huiyang and Daya Bay are mostly between 1.5 million yuan and 22,000 yuan/square meter, and the prices of new houses near Huizhou South Railway Station and Shenzhen Pingshan District are higher. According to the data of Leyoujia Research Center, the average transaction price of first-hand residential buildings in Huizhou in the first half of the year was about10.2 million yuan/square meter, up 9% year-on-year. The transaction volume of first-hand houses in Huiyang District and Daya Bay District included in the purchase restriction exceeded 1 10,000 sets. More importantly, the average transaction price in the two regions increased by over 10%, which may be the reason why Daya Bay and Huiyang implemented the "purchase restriction".
Jiang, managing director of Midland Realty Shenguanhui, pointed out that the proportion of local buyers in Daya Bay and Huiyang District is relatively small, and according to its incomplete statistics, the proportion of foreign customers buying second suites in Daya Bay and Huiyang District should not exceed 10%. "In fact, the policy is more about the psychological impact on the market and buyers, and the market will remain stable in the future."
Second-hand housing transactions in Linshen area have become "pain points"
Among the Shenzhen buyers who choose to buy a house in Huizhou, there are investors who are affected by the investment trend, and there are also just-needed customers who have high housing prices in Shenzhen. According to the transaction data of Leyoujia, in the first half of 20021,Shenzhen buyers were the main force in Huizhou market, accounting for 52.8%, while Shenzhen buyers went to Daya Bay District and Huiyang District, accounting for 33% and 19% respectively. A sales manager told reporters that the average selling price of a new house project near Huiyang District Government is about 16500 yuan/square meter, with about 40% customers in Shenzhen and about half in Huizhou.
Among these customers in Shenzhen, most of them buy first-hand new houses. When they enter the second-hand housing market, they will face the situation that they can't sell and the price is not high. The experience of Huang Hua (pseudonym) may also be a true portrayal of many Shenzhen customers.
20 18 Huang Hua, who chose to buy a house in Daya Bay, was particularly excited when she recalled the scene when she first moved to Daya Bay. "At that time, I got up at 6 o'clock every morning, went out at 6: 30 to catch the bus of Shenhui 1 line to Shuanglong subway station, then changed to several subway stations at Jixiang Station and arrived at the company at around 8: 30." Huang Hua said. At that time, Huang Hua bought a three-bedroom apartment with a unit price of nearly 14000 for self-occupation and investment. At present, the quotations of the community on various intermediary platforms are mostly around10.5 million yuan per square meter to10.7 million yuan. Only on the chain platform, there are nearly 250 sets of second-hand houses for sale in the first phase of the project.
"Counting the interest, I actually lost money." Speaking of this, Huang Hua seems to have some regrets. "At that time, if this 1 10,000 yuan was used as a down payment to buy a suite in Shenzhen, it has doubled now, and I only blame myself for not being brave enough."
Manager Huang, who is familiar with Huizhou's property market, also said that most second-hand houses in Huizhou have low valuations, high interest rates and difficult loans, resulting in basically locked liquidity. In the end, no matter whether you buy a new house or a second-hand house, you will face this problem. Moreover, the transaction process of second-hand houses in Huizhou is complicated, and the second-hand evaluation price of some houses can only reach 70% to 80% of the transaction price. Therefore, second-hand housing has not been included in the scope of this regulation.
In fact, not only in Huiyang and Daya Bay, but also the second-hand housing market in Linshen District, Dongguan, which has implemented the purchase restriction, faces similar problems. Fenggang Town in Dongguan is connected with Pinghu in Shenzhen, which naturally attracts a lot of spillover demand from Shenzhen. If we compare the housing prices, the housing prices in Linshen District of Dongguan are much higher than those in Daya Bay and Huiyang. However, because both new houses and second-hand houses in Dongguan are restricted by foreign guests, second-hand houses here are also difficult to clinch a deal.
Some market participants said that the phenomenon of Shenzhen customers spilling over to the surrounding areas to buy houses has entered a stable period after the peak in recent years. He Qianru, director of Midland Property National Research Center, said that Huiyang and Daya Bay restricted the purchase of new houses, but there were no social security or tax requirements, and the impact could be ignored. The purchase restriction in Dongguan is much stricter, and since the tightening of the purchase restriction policy in July last year, the number of Shenzhen customers buying houses in Dongguan has declined. After tightening again this year, it is estimated that more Shenzhen customers will be turned away. Dongguan and Huizhou have been shouldering the spillover demand of some customers who just need to buy a house in Shenzhen, but now they are blocked. These customers, in addition to continuing to transfer the location of the house, stay in Shenzhen to buy a house or become an option. In addition, the supply of housing in Shenzhen will increase greatly in the next 10 year, so staying in Shenzhen to buy a house is also an option that can be considered.