Over the years, macro-control has been reduced to curbing the excessive rise in housing prices. For this reason, the policy is controlled and guided separately from the supply side and the demand side, so as to achieve the purpose of stabilizing housing prices. However, in terms of supply, the effective supply of the market is not sufficient. Taking Beijing as an example, where house prices are rising rapidly, Gu Yunchang told those who forgot that Beijing's land transfer plan was not completed in previous years that the land transfer plan was completed in 2009.
Even with the increase of land supply, new problems have emerged. In "8? Before the 3 1 "land system was changed, many towns had already sold a lot of land; In those two years of macro-control, due to the attempt to increase land supply, the tight supply and demand of real estate led to the decline of real estate prices, and ghd mk4 Heistyler and Xu Shaocun sold their land again. After the land transfer, a large number of hoarding in the hands of developers, increasing the number of developers' land reserves.
Zou Xiaoyun, deputy chief engineer of the Land Survey and Planning Research Institute of the Ministry of Land and Resources, said in an interview with this reporter that in the case that the current land transfer mechanism cannot be changed due, supervision must be strengthened to change the phenomenon of land hoarding. Reprinted: Acne tells you where you are sick. The project cost must be written into the contract.
The overall control of demand is also subject to market monopoly. Xie Guozhong pointed out that implicit fiscal policy cannot effectively prohibit bidding. The silver loan is fake, and the investment demand is stimulated. The implementation of tax policy is also controversial. 2 1 Century real estate analyst Meng Qi feels that it is of little significance to pay taxes in smooth links, and the cost of tax savings will inevitably be passed on to buyers, increasing the original purchase volume of first-time buyers. And pay taxes on the holding link? The delay in the introduction of property tax has also made bidders more fearless.
In the process of implementing regulatory policies, the local government can also put some measures in place. "In some political parties, there is no difference between the interests of the central government and the Arab government." Yan kai island.
Xie Guozhong felt that in 2008, local governments were actually speculating on "real estate". Under the condition that the hidden GDP investigation mechanism and fiscal and taxation mechanism remain unchanged, the real estate bubble is still hereditary. "The ultimate victim of rising house prices is the local government. Developers have land and debts, and local governments reap fiscal revenue. " He said.
Xie Guozhong guessed that the real estate bubble would burst in 20 12. The condition is that a good Fed will adjust the interest rate to above 4% in order to cope with inflation, which will lead to the separation of warm money from China, and China will also raise interest rates to curb inflation and avoid capital outflow.