If Liu Biao is still alive, can Liu Bei successfully capture Jingzhou?

In the thirteenth year of Jian 'an, Cao Cao wiped out the north and prepared to March south to Liu Biao, but Liu Biao died before Cao Cao arrived. After Liu Biao's death, due to the incompetence of his son Liu Cong, there was a power vacuum in Jingzhou for several months, but Liu Bei did not take the opportunity to compete for Jingzhou's sovereignty. Who said that? It's because Liu Bei can't bear to part with it, which is too ignorant of Liu Bei.

As mentioned above, Liu Bei has three outstanding characteristics: brilliant, good at winning people's hearts and capricious. In other words, Liu Bei is a person who must make a breakthrough on his own, a person who is very good at winning people's hearts, and has never been a loyal person. Those who think that Liu Bei is the king of benevolence and righteousness are misled by the novel Romance. Do not believe, you can look at Liu Bei's performance.

Liu Bei followed Gongsun Zan for a long time when he started his business. Because of the attack against the Yellow Scarf Army, the battle failed and he took refuge in Gongsun Zan. Later, Gongsun Zan not only remonstrated with him as another Sima, but also paid for his military forces. But Liu Bei and Gongsun Zan finally: Liu Bei left Gongsun Zan.

When Liu Bei was defeated by Lu Bu in Xuzhou, it was Cao Cao who sent troops to rescue him again and again. Xia Houdun was sent first, followed by personal expedition, and finally Lu Bu was destroyed in the White Gate Tower, and he returned to Xudu with Liu Bei. Cao Cao is very forbearing to Liu Bei, and even regards Liu Bei as a brother. But the end of Liu Bei and Cao Cao is still: Liu Bei not only left Cao Cao, but also killed Che Zhou, the secretariat of Cao Cao, in Xuzhou, and left a package of plots and plans to assassinate Cao Cao in Xudu.

In the battle of Guandu, Liu Bei defected to Yuan Shao in the north, intending to help Yuan Shao harass Cao Cao in the rear. Yuan Shao and his soldiers and horses demanded money and food. But Liu Bei and Yuan Shao ended up leaving Yuan Shao and going south to Liu Biao. Moreover, Liu Zhang, from Yizhou, is also a Han clan. According to the usual logic, Liu Bei naturally can't bear to compete for the same family inheritance, but look at what Liu Bei did in Yizhou.

Liu Bei has never been a man of benevolence, righteousness and morality. He is a lean man in troubled times, has his own ambitions and is not willing to lag behind others. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the reasons why Liu Bei does not fight for Jingzhou from another angle.

If we go back to the time when Tao Qian died a few years ago, maybe we can get a glimpse.

Modest illness, don't drive Mi Zhu. Without Liu Bei, this state cannot be stable. ? Modest death, Zhu introduced the state people to meet their ancestors, and people are not worthy.

Tao Qian wanted to entrust Xuzhou to Liu Bei before he died, not because of Liu Bei's benevolence and righteousness, but because Tao Qian wanted Liu Bei to claim Xuzhou more than Cao Cao.

Xuzhou is in the east of Yanzhou. Cao Cao began to covet Xuzhou from the beginning of Yanzhou. To this end, he launched a series of wars against Xuzhou. Revenge for my father twice is actually for Xuzhou. Naturally, Tao Qian and Cao Cao in Xuzhou are sworn enemies. In fact, as a member of Gongsun Zan, Tao Qian and Cao Cao are sworn enemies.

Tao Qian naturally knew that Liu Bei was also lean, but Liu Bei's position at that time was also inconsistent with Cao Cao. The enemy of the enemy is a friend, so Tao Qian and Liu Bei are naturally friends. However, Tao Qian ceded Xuzhou to Liu Bei, and Liu Bei's first reaction was to refuse. On the one hand, this is a reason for modesty, but more importantly, Liu Bei is testing the attitude of Xuzhou Haozu.