Why is it that house prices are falling every year, but they are rising every year?

First, the contradiction between the purchase restriction policy and the increase of loan tax rate and effective demand is manifested in the phenomenon of virtual decline and real increase. Judging from the current social structure, young people are the main force. This also determines that many young people have to buy a house in order to get married, which also promotes the house to become a social necessity. The state's regulation of housing prices led to the slow development of the real estate industry, which indirectly promoted the rise of housing prices. On the other hand, it seems that young people need to buy a house, and the current domestic consumption environment is relatively relaxed, so people's demand for houses will increase in the next few years, and most of this increased demand is effective demand, which will drive up house prices. Moreover, at present, China has started to raise the tax rate of housing loans, which has further stimulated the rise of housing prices.

Second, the so-called seemingly healthy phenomenon is actually on the rise, which is caused by the deviation effect of survivors. The so-called survivor bias is a way to harvest leeks. For example, people around you often say that they have bought a house, or some developers often promote their own property preservation. So as to incite consumers to buy houses, and then expand demand to speculate on high housing prices. This survivor bias effect is particularly prominent in the crowd, and it is also a follow-up effect produced by many people seeing many people buying houses around them. For example, Ordos housing prices, which were once very popular, are still an empty city. Therefore, the rise in housing prices is largely related to the marketing model and consumer psychology of these developers.

Third, the calculation of real estate price is a metaphysics, and the calculation method paralyzes many people. Real estate says house prices will fall. What they say is that the average house price will fall, not the whole city. Just like this, for example, two buildings are developed in this place. The urban area sells 2 1000 square meters and the suburban area sells 10000 square meters. At this time, the average house price 15000. Now we need to develop two buildings, one 1 50,000 and the other110,000. The average house price is 10 thousand. This process seems that house prices are falling, but in fact it is not falling at all, but rising.