Fantasy Westward Journey: Players predict that blue and white porcelain will be "reduced" by more than 30%. Is it credible?

Speaking of colored fruits, I believe that all players are familiar with it. In his early years, the dreamy westward journey was the representative of "local tyrants". At that time, because most of the players were students, they saved money to replenish their cards, so they didn't have the energy to dye colored fruits. Ten years ago, walking in Chang 'an, a black knight always attracted the attention of players; However, after a series of updates, the limit is the "mainstream" today. Among many brocade clothes and auspicious signs, angel pig and blue and white porcelain are very popular and have soared recently. Faced with this trend, some players have predicted that angel pigs and blue and white porcelain will definitely reduce their prices in the future. Is this credible?

On the future trend of limited quantity

According to the screenshot, the player gave such a prediction: within one month after the Spring Festival this year, the price of blue and white porcelain is lower than that of angel pig, and the price of public number is higher. With the launch of the Tanabata limited number, the price of blue and white porcelain has also increased. So far, the cheapest male size of single blue and white porcelain is 1.5W, and the male size of single angel pig is about1w. If there are both, it will reach a terrible number. Faced with this situation, players think that the price reduction of male blue and white porcelain is above 30%, and the small probability can reach 50%; Angel pig's price reduction is over 20%. Through the word "Bi", we can see the attitude of the players. If the prediction is not accurate, I will also send a red envelope. It seems that players are quite confident.

For blue and white porcelain and angel pigs, because they are limited in the early stage, the overall inventory is not much. It can be said that there is a reason for their price increase. It is understandable to "raise prices" slowly. After all, the total is here. However, blue and white porcelain is like sitting on a rocket, rising in a straight line. It can be said that when this trend appears, it is "abnormal". The reason why this happens is that the businessmen behind it have contributed a lot.

Now the blue and white porcelain numbers on Jubaoge are basically in the hands of businessmen. For them, the main reason for hoarding is to "appreciate". After seeing that there was no "threat" from the Tanabata Jinyi and Xiangrui, they began to speculate on blue and white porcelain and angel pigs. It can be said that the price increase in these two months should be a routine for businesses.

The limit of "fanaticism"

Players will give a forecast of "price reduction" according to their own understanding, and it will take some time to wait for the criterion. In fact, with the concept of limited edition becoming more and more popular, many players are pursuing limited edition. Not only did blue and white porcelain and angel pig increase in price, but the limited edition of Langtaosha was also fired to 200 million last year, almost four times more than the original 50 million. To tell the truth, players can't get attribute bonus by investing so much in updating clothes and auspiciousness, and it won't increase the damage when sweeping. The reason why the limit can be fired is because "face" plays an important role.

Walking in the fantasy westward journey, if there are blue and white porcelain and angel pigs, it will be very "special". Everyone thinks he is a local tyrant. From this perspective, the limit has become a status symbol, and it is under the influence of this concept that players are willing to pay high prices to update. Facing today's limited market, it can be described as fanaticism.