When will the stock market recover and when will the property market be acceptable to me?

As the property market price is still in the stage of profiteering, the government still intends to suppress it, but only requires that the price reduction should not be too large to maintain social stability. However, due to the pressure of macro-control and the impact of the economic crisis, the decline in demand is the source of the continuous decline in housing prices, so these two items are not optimistic in 2009. After continuous shrinkage decline, the market has recovered the last support area 1900 points for two consecutive trading days. It is not ruled out that there will be a callback in the market outlook to confirm whether the support is effective. Please remember that the market will only be bullish if it holds 1900, which is the turning point of ups and downs. Only when the market holds 1900 will it have a chance to look higher, and the short-term 1950 is the pressure that has already formed, which determines the future development direction of the market. This morning, the market failed to challenge this point (highest 1948). Please pay close attention to this point this afternoon. If this point continues to be unable to be forcibly broken, it will be in danger of breaking 1800 if it is weak again. Pay attention to risk control, the market will only break through the upper track of 1950 (previously it was 2 100). There are many sets of chips in this area. Only when a large number of chips break through 2 100 and stand firm will there be a big market. Please continue to pay close attention to the actions of various institutions. Although there was an increase in positions in May 438+February in June, many outstanding chips were close to 5.5 billion shares. In 2009 1 month, the number of shares to be opened was as high as12.297 billion shares. This is variable, depending on whether the organization has the intention of hard resistance. The price above 2 100 is not a dream, but the organization has stopped here. It's time to polish your eyes, tighten monetary policy and participate in the rebound market. But if it breaks 1900, it is the signal of breaking 1800. Pay attention to prevent the rebound from ending here, and short positions are also a good choice. Recently, the government can play fewer and fewer cards. As long as the size of the market is not solved, it will be difficult to get rid of the fate of the bear market in 2009, and the most promising thing is that the size of the market has increased wildly after the first three months, and the conditions for continuing to see more are not sufficient ... and the main institutions have decided the development direction of the market. Pay close attention. If they do more, we retail investors will do more. If they start to retreat, there is no need for retail investors to sell more. 0? The tide is unstoppable, turn over history! If the size problem that caused this bear market is really solved by time as suggested by Xinhua News Agency's comments, there is still hope in the 20 1 1 year after the peak of lifting the ban, and the main shipping market is bottomless. At the bottom, the large-scale opening of positions by institutions is not suggested by retail investors to be stable, and investors with high security requirements do not intervene. Holding money mainly leads to a wait-and-see attitude. The size problem that led to the plunge directly led to the imbalance of funds, and the empty side suppressed many parties for a long time. In this long-term trend, funds are occupied by the empty side, and the market naturally fluctuates for a long time. This is the real reason why stocks keep falling. The stock market is complicated and simple. The complexity is that any factor may lead to changes in the stock market. The simple thing is that the long-term and short-term trend of funds determines the long-term ups and downs of the market. However, the stock market can't just fall without rising, and it will definitely rebound on the way down, but the extent of the rebound should be judged according to the good news of the policy. If the market is still supported by these non-substantial good news, then every rebound is an opportunity to lighten up. Only when the size is not limited, as long as the core problems that lead to the sharp drop are not solved, can the market ease the financial pressure and bring a wave of intermediate rebound or even reversal. Investors should regard it as a rebound and lighten their positions on rallies. However, investors' weak confidence in continuous oversold makes bargain-hunting funds very cautious. Although bargain-hunting funds try to change this downward trend, the situation is not very optimistic. The current stock market is not as lacking in confidence and funds as the government said. Personally, I feel that both lack the shadow of size. This year is the lightest year, with only 3 trillion yuan (enough to eliminate the main force). Although the government will talk about politics when it comes to funds, it seems that its substantive role is not great. The action of the organization to continue to rebound and ship has not stopped, so it has to choose the strategy of playing while retreating to reduce losses. The government has done so-called good things to stop the stock market from falling further, but as long as it is not a substantive solution to the problem of size and size, it is just a few anodyne policies. In the current situation that the long-short balance of funds is broken, investors should not be too optimistic, because the real problems will continue to be tight if they are not solved. In the case of policy rebound, it is wise to reduce rallies. Don't believe that stock reviews don't consider the actual big market. Since the non-lifting funds in 2009 were nearly 7 trillion, the lifting funds in 20 10 were nearly 10 trillion, which has far exceeded the 3 trillion this year. It is impossible to solve the pressure of funds before the core problem that led to this plunge is solved. Any marginal favorable policy will only bring about a rebound rather than a reversal. Although the stock market is complex, it is actually very simple. The rule of the stock market is that if you sell more, you will fall, and if you buy more, you will rise. Most people understand this truth. However, when the funds have been reflected, why are there people who are unwilling to face it? Don't believe that there is also a need for long-term investment in size and size. In the case of scale, low cost or even zero cost, the profit will be as high as 400% or even as high as 1 0,000%. The huge profits brought by this cost, in a weak market, do you think that non-holders will settle down or will continue to watch their profits shrink (non-holders are also investors, and profit comes first is also their philosophy. When long-term investors think that only retail investors educated by institutions will do it, when the selling power in a long-term trend is overwhelming for some reason, it is self-deception to talk about when the bull market will come back. Non-substantive policies bring about a rebound, not a reversal. Because the strongest support area of the market is 3300~3400 points, and the so-called policy iron bottom with the strongest stock evaluation and institutions is 2990 points, it has collapsed rapidly in the case of unbalanced funds. Therefore, in the short term, in the absence of new favorable policy support, the rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions. Only when the funds are in hand can we have the initiative and usher in the real bottom. The bottom line is that the main participants are not retail investors. When the main force is forced to reduce positions on a large scale under the pressure of the size, what small and medium-sized investors can do is to follow the trend, not to move against the trend. We should also control our positions when the institutions reduce their positions. The above is purely a personal opinion, please adopt it carefully.