The central government has set a price of 20 16-moderately lowered the standard, and emphasized "destocking". 20 16, the future of property prices affects the hearts of ordinary people.
On New Year's Day, China Index Academy announced that the house price of 20 15 rose for eight months in a row, and the house price of first-tier cities was firm. House prices in Shenzhen rose by 38% year-on-year, ranking first in the country. Compared with the previous year's 23,972 yuan/square meter, the average annual price of 20 15 is 3,365,438 yuan/square meter. According to the data of Shenzhen Real Estate Information System, the average monthly price in Shenzhen was between 27,000 and 28,000 /m2 at the beginning of 20 15, and reached 42,476 yuan/m2 in February 12.
For Shenzhen, where the inventory cycle is at the bottom and house prices continue to rise, some real estate agents predict that the transaction volume of Shenzhen property market will drop by 30% in 20 16, but there is still room for the price to rise by 10%- 15%.
The story of the buyer
Xiao Wang, who has been working in Shenzhen for more than 6 years, has been living in Meilinguan, Zhi Min, and has experienced that the unit price of a new house nearby has gone from less than 20,000 /m2 to more than 50,000 /m2 now. Because the annual down payment is "a little less", Xiao Wang missed many opportunities to buy a house. Seeing that her daughter is getting older and older, buying a house on 20 15 has become the hottest topic in Xiao Wang's family. Recently, Xiao Wang took a fancy to a 70-square-meter two-bedroom apartment in Buji and immediately paid the intention money. At present, the unit price of this house is 3 1 0,000 yuan, while the total price of the same apartment in this community was only 654,380+0,000 yuan in the same period last year, and the house price doubled in one year.
"If you don't buy it now, you really can't afford it in the future, even if you borrow money to pay the down payment." In fact, there are not a few pure emotional needs like Xiao Wang.
The abacus of housechangers
The sharp appreciation of the first suite has made many property buyers make bold choices. "For example, the house of 6.5438+0 million yuan bought three or five years ago has now doubled and even turned into four or five million yuan. Pay off the loan, and there will be three or four million cash. With this money as a down payment, you can buy a house of 78 million yuan or even 10 million yuan. "
Intermediary: The price reduction is still rising.
In 20 15, the purchasing power of Shenzhen was seriously overdrawn, and the price of second-hand houses increased more than that in 2009. Midland realty predicts that after soaring all the way in 20 15, the transaction volume of Shenzhen residential market will fluctuate slightly in 20 16, falling from the high level in 20 15, and it is estimated that the number of first-hand residential transactions will drop by at least 30%. Rising house prices is still an unshakable market feature, but compared with the skyrocketing of 20 15, 20 16 will undoubtedly be much milder. (Reporter Li)
Someone sold a house in Shenzhen and bought two suites in Dongguan.
In the coming year, Shenzhen tourists will still be on the southern tour, and the transaction volume and price of residential buildings in Dongguan will continue to rise-insiders.
20 15 dongguan property market continued to be hot. The data shows that the annual transaction volume of new residential buildings in Dongguan is 6.5438+0.038 million square meters, the transaction amount is 6.5438+0/kloc-0.6 billion yuan, and the average transaction price is 9.783 yuan/square meter, up 6.63% year-on-year. However, the regional differentiation is serious, and the non-forest-deep areas have lowered the rising prices. The average transaction price of residential buildings in Linshen area reached 1 12 13 yuan/m2, which was 28.5% higher than that of 20 14. On the first day after New Year's Day, the residential transaction in Dongguan was still at a high level, with the new residential transaction of 36 1. Sold 1090 sets in three days during the New Year holiday, and the average price was all over 10,000.
Real estate researchers said that the situation of rising residential volume and price in Dongguan will continue, not just a virtual fire.
The local people's demand for housing has been released.
Awei, 40, now works in a public institution in Fenggang, Dongguan. "We are taking Dongguan wages to consume housing prices and prices in Shenzhen!" Awei said that he also bought a house in Fenggang, which has nothing in common with Shenzhen visitors. However, what awei encounters every day is the life pressure brought by Shenzhen tourists, such as the high consumption expenditure of medical care and travel, and the pressure of road traffic.
"The demand for local home purchases in Dongguan has been greatly released." Li Xingwang, deputy general manager of Dongguan Hefu Brilliant Development Research Center, said that according to previous statistics, the housing demand of local population in Dongguan is about 5 million square meters, and it is estimated that the actual transaction volume will reach 9.6 million square meters in 20 15. Local demand was saturated as early as six months ago.
Customers in Shenzhen sell houses and come to Dongguan to buy houses.
Yan Xiaoyan is 30 years old and works in a foreign company in Shenzhen with a monthly salary of about 20,000 yuan.
Five years ago, Yan Xiaoyan bought a suite at Sunshine Coast, John Wan Street, the northernmost part of Dongguan, on the recommendation of a friend. The friend who introduced her to buy a house bought three sets. "At that time, the house price was only 4,000 yuan/square meter, and the house price in Shenzhen has soared to 20,000 yuan/square meter."
In the past five years, house prices in Dongguan have soared, but not in John Wan. Yan Xiaoyan wants to decorate and rent out the house. During the renovation period of 1 1, Yan Xiaoyan made a new discovery. The volume and price of Dongguan property market were completely dominated by Shenzhen customers. Yan Xiaoyan has a new plan. She sold the house in Shenzhen, where the living environment is not as good as that in Dongguan, and bought two suites in Dongguan, one for home ownership and the other for self-occupation. There are countless Shenzhen guests who have the same idea as Yan Xiaoyan.
Industry: Shenzhen passengers are still heading north.
According to the data, as of 2015438+065438+1October 30th, the inventory of the residential market in Dongguan was 4,570,200 square meters, which has been shortened to 5.5 months. Just from 2065438 to September 2004, the data of Ke Rui showed that there were 3 sets of stock houses 107963 in Dongguan, and the decontamination cycle reached 25 months.
The near-deep area and the non-near-deep area are uneven in heat and cold. Dongguan Zhongyuan Research Department divides Dongguan with the "Shanghai-Hong Kong Expressway" as the boundary: along the line and in the southern Linshen area, the transaction is hot and the house price rises rapidly; The north is a non-pro-Shenzhen area, the transaction is dull and the house price is stable.
"The situation of residential transaction volume and price increase in Dongguan will continue, not just a false fire." According to the analysis of the insiders, the high housing prices in Shenzhen, the increasingly perfect traffic between Dongguan and Shenzhen, and the cancellation of charges in several expressway in Shenzhen will all make Shenzhen a big passenger flow in The Journey to the West.
"From the perspective of the city's total volume, the inventory pressure in Dongguan is not great." The relevant person in charge of the Housing Management Office of Dongguan Housing and Construction Bureau said.
(The above answers were published on 20 16-0 1-06. Please refer to the actual situation for the current purchase policy. )
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