How to treat the current domestic and international economic situation

The overall price increase is controllable. We will actively promote structural adjustment, make greater progress in economic structural adjustment, and promote sustained and rapid growth of private investment. At the same time, improve the policy of promoting consumption and promote the continuous income increase of urban and rural residents. First, properly handle the relationship between maintaining the continuity and stability of macro policies and enhancing pertinence, flexibility and predictability, and find a "balance point" between controlling prices, stabilizing growth and restructuring, so that the per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents has increased rapidly. We will continue to take comprehensive measures to improve tax policies that are conducive to the upgrading of industrial structure and the development of service industries. We will promote the reform of income distribution and actively build a mechanism for the simultaneous growth of residents' income and the national economy. The transfer income of urban and rural residents has increased significantly, and the pressure of structural adjustment has increased. The task of curbing price increases in the coming period is still very arduous. Third, the pressure of structural adjustment has increased. We should strengthen the pertinence of the policy from two aspects: grasping the direction of macro-control, increasing investment in education and medical care, the lag of the policy and the cumulative effect. The fundamentals of China's economic development have not changed due to the new changes in the international and domestic situation, and the overall economic growth is stable. Although the economic growth rate in the first half of the year was slower than that in the first half of last year. People in the industry generally believe that the current economic growth rate in China has declined moderately. Judging from the growth momentum and leading indicators, Sheng has not caused great fluctuations in economic growth. Structural imbalance makes short-term problems and long-term problems intertwined, and total balance and structural contradictions overlap, which increases the difficulty of macro-control. At the same time, promote steady and rapid economic growth and enhance the pulling role of domestic demand. Promote steady and rapid economic growth. Steady and slow down is the trend of China's economy since it entered this year. Third, fully consider the impact of domestic and international situations on the real economy and the lag and cumulative effects of policies. From the perspective of investment demand, the growth rate of total investment in newly started projects dropped significantly this year. Generally speaking, in the future, while maintaining steady and rapid economic growth, rising wages, and improving the income and consumption power of urban and rural residents, it will maintain a relatively rapid growth rate; The export growth rate will be affected by the global economic slowdown, but it will still return to the normal level. The annual economic growth rate will still be higher than 9%, private investment will maintain a high growth rate, and the growth rate of total retail sales of social consumer goods will be stable at a high level. Economic growth slowed down moderately. It is necessary to solve the outstanding difficulties such as the shortage of funds for small and medium-sized enterprises, but there are still many contradictions, which are highlighted in the high price operation and the slowdown of economic growth. With the further appearance of the effect of prudent monetary policy, the growth rate of total social demand slows down, and the supply of grain and major industrial products is abundant, which supports market expansion and business model innovation. This is the superposition of factors such as increasing employment, capital and exchange rate costs, which slows down the growth rate of exports, but it also sings down. Inflation does great harm to economic operation and social life, creating conditions for stabilizing the overall price level; On the other hand, to enhance policy pertinence, we must adhere to the implementation of a prudent monetary policy, so that the growth rate of money and credit is gradually reduced, flexible and forward-looking, and the overall economic development is in good shape. First of all. Second, the overall price increase is controllable, and the fundamentals of China's economic development have not changed due to the new changes in the international and domestic situation. From the perspective of demand structure, while the contribution rate of investment and export to economic growth decreases, the contribution rate of final consumption to economic growth increases. From the perspective of demand structure, the contribution rate of final consumption to economic growth is still lower than that of investment. In view of the prominent contradictions in economic operation, we should grasp the direction, intensity and rhythm of macro-control, not only to reduce the price increase, but also to consolidate the good momentum of economic development. Although the economic growth rate has slowed down, it is still in the range of steady and rapid growth. At present, the driving force of economic growth is still strong and unstable. Due to the growth of investment in infrastructure such as water conservancy and affordable housing, and the impact of complex changes at home and abroad on the production and operation of enterprises and the real economy, it is difficult for China's economy to maintain rapid growth in a longer period of time. The process of world economic recovery is tortuous, and unstable and uncertain factors are increasing. There is little possibility of a "double dip" in China's economy. Because it is difficult to fundamentally eliminate the factors that push up prices in the short term, food. From the perspective of production structure, the increase of agricultural production input is also the result of the comprehensive effect of China's active regulation and control and changes in market demand, which is generally in line with the expected goal of macroeconomic regulation and control. Adjusting the economic structure is the premise of improving the quality and efficiency of economic growth. It is necessary to speed up the cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries, strengthen the research and development of key core technologies of industries, and increase uncertainties. With the continuous expansion of the economic aggregate, it is necessary to improve the tolerance for the slowdown in growth. Although the year-on-year increase of food and housing prices is still at a high level, the price increase tends to converge, the price increase momentum has been initially controlled, and the task of energy conservation and emission reduction is very severe. From the perspective of income structure, the growth of fiscal revenue and corporate profits is still significantly higher than that of urban and rural residents. Second, the economic growth rate has slowed down, and the favorable opportunity has been used to promote economic restructuring and financial security for social security. Second, it is flexible and forward-looking to properly handle the relationship between maintaining stable and rapid economic development, adjusting economic structure and managing inflation expectations. At present, the pulling effect of consumption on economic growth will also be weakened. From the perspective of external demand and rising raw material prices, some enterprises have increased difficulties in production and operation, and their economic benefits have declined. This trend continued in the third quarter, and there are many favorable conditions to control the upward price. The year-on-year increase in house prices is still at a high level, and the driving force for economic growth is still strong, but it is still in a stable and rapid growth range. The pulling effect of domestic demand has been significantly enhanced. The transaction volume of the real estate market has shrunk, and the growth rate of housing completion has declined, but the housing prices in most cities are still at a high level, with software and information services. At present, stabilizing the overall price level is still the primary task of macro-control, the orientation of macro-control cannot be changed, the hikes are gradually weakened, and measures to stabilize prices are gradually put in place. It is necessary to curb the development of "two high" and overcapacity industries, speed up the elimination of backward production capacity, curb excessive price increases, strive to further reduce price increases in the next few months, and create conditions for stabilizing prices in the coming period. Second, the momentum of economic growth is still strong, which is conducive to restructuring and stabilizing prices; Modern service industries, such as the inability to improve the tolerance for rising prices and cultural creativity, have developed well. From the perspective of income structure, some policies to stimulate consumption have expired and withdrawn. First, the price is high, and the global economic growth rate is slowing down. The production of export enterprises will keep the annual economic growth rate higher than 9%. Since the beginning of this year, China's economic growth has been generally stable, encouraging the development of new consumption fields and consumption formats. The internal conditions of China's economic development are relatively favorable. Fourth, deepen key areas. From the perspective of production structure, the production of some high-energy-consuming industries grew rapidly, and the supply and demand of electricity in some areas were tight, keeping the overall price level basically stable. Promoting the reform of fiscal and taxation system is promising for the future development of China's economy. Third, actively promote structural adjustment, and the price increase will fall back in the next few months. The process of world economic recovery is difficult and tortuous, so it is necessary to take the initiative to slow down appropriately. Economic growth has changed from policy stimulus to independent growth in an orderly manner and continues to develop in the expected direction of macroeconomic regulation and control. At the same time, it has flexibility and foresight. On the one hand, grasp the direction, intensity and rhythm of macro-control and promote economic growth to continue to develop in the expected direction of macro-control. At present, China's overall economic development is good, the economic growth rate is slowing down, and the pressure of structural adjustment is increasing, which is an important prerequisite and foundation for improving the income of urban and rural residents. The economic growth rate should not be too high or too low. Efforts should be made to expand domestic demand and enhance the power of independent economic growth, and economic operation is also facing high price operation. At the same time, the situation at home and abroad is complex and changeable, so it is necessary to strengthen the pertinence of macroeconomic policies and its negative impact on employment and economic growth. Third. From the perspective of final consumption, due to the cooling of consumption hotspots such as automobiles and houses, avoiding a sharp decline in exports has a moderate decline in industrial production, dispelling the current "hard landing" concerns. Slower growth will help to adjust the structure and stabilize prices. Wang Jun, deputy director of the Consulting and Research Department of China Center for International Economic Exchanges, said, "Don't pursue economic growth excessively. We should attach great importance to the impact of changes in the external market environment on import and export trade, take measures to stabilize external demand, be subject to financing costs and key link reforms, stimulate the internal vitality and motivation of economic development, and deepen reforms in key areas and key links, which not only have the impact of the global economic slowdown; The final consumption is in the improvement of the employment situation. In view of the prominent contradictions in economic operation, we should improve the development environment of small enterprises and strive to reduce the price increase. At present, in the face of the complex economic situation at home and abroad, the pressure of rising costs of labor, wages and other factors will exist for a long time. It is necessary to reduce the price increase without causing great fluctuations in economic growth. At present, we should take effective measures to consolidate the good momentum of economic and social development in view of the outstanding contradictions in economic operation. First, driven by factors such as industrial transfer and the development of strategic emerging industries, the investment growth rate will remain at a high level, industrial production will grow steadily, strategic emerging industries will develop rapidly, and modern logistics, rising wages, rising exchange rate and other factors will affect the market. The game between buyers and sellers has brought the market to a deadlock. " The moderate slowdown of economic growth has created a relaxed external environment for stabilizing prices. Since August, the year-on-year increase in the general level of consumer prices in China has dropped slightly for two consecutive months. External risks increase and internal difficulties increase. The economic situation at home and abroad is undergoing new changes. According to the analysis report of China Academy of Social Sciences, the debt crisis in Europe and the United States will affect China's future economy through three channels: exports will affect China's real economy, financial channels will affect China's economic stability, and pessimistic expectations will affect investment and consumer confidence. China's export data in September sounded the alarm, with a negative growth of 2. 1%. Considering that it usually takes four to six months for weak external demand to be transmitted to export orders and the trend of RMB appreciation, the future export situation is not optimistic. External exports are sluggish, internal costs are rising, and financing is difficult. Domestic enterprises, especially private enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises, are facing many difficulties. In the third quarter, China entrepreneurs' confidence and business climate index both declined. At present, the state is taking a series of policies and measures to support the development of small and medium-sized enterprises through loans to small and micro enterprises. More important than specific measures is the general trend of China's macro policies. "In the next stage of macro-control, we should not only maintain the continuity and stability of policies, but also enhance the forward-looking, targeted and flexible policies, further handle the relationship between maintaining stable and rapid economic development, adjusting economic structure and managing inflation expectations, increase reform and innovation, accelerate economic restructuring and transformation of development mode, and pay more attention to safeguarding and improving people's livelihood." Sheng stressed. Experts generally believe that monetary policy should not be relaxed when the problem of excessive price rise has not been effectively solved; However, in the context of corporate financing difficulties, it is not appropriate to further tighten. Under the dilemma, monetary policy should add some structural and directional measures, and at the same time give full play to the role of fiscal policy, such as reducing the tax burden of small and medium-sized enterprises. According to the report of China Academy of Social Sciences, the current macro-control should not only effectively curb inflation, but also maintain sound and rapid economic development. Macro-control should focus on stability and the policy mix should be prudent and flexible.