In fact, since April this year, Shenzhen Real Estate Information Platform no longer publishes specific information such as the average transaction price and total transaction amount of new houses, and the average transaction price and total transaction amount published by area interval. ?
What other information "disappeared" with the official average transaction price? Why not publish relevant data? What is the impact on property buyers? Zheng will take you to popularize science. ?
Shenzhen no longer announces the official average transaction price?
Previously, the daily average and monthly average transaction price and transaction amount of new and second-hand houses released by Shenzhen Real Estate Information Platform, as the only official real estate transaction data released by Shenzhen, attracted much attention from the market. ?
However, according to media reports, after the institutional reform in Shenzhen in April this year, the entrance of Shenzhen real estate information platform was changed from official website, the former Shenzhen Land and Resources Planning Bureau, to official website and Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau. Since then, the platform has stopped publishing the average transaction price and total transaction amount of new houses, as well as specific information such as average transaction price and total transaction amount classified by area interval. ?
The data published on the brand-new Shenzhen real estate information platform only includes the number of transactions, the transaction area, the number of saleable transactions, the saleable area and "one room for one price". Second-hand housing only announced the number and area of transactions, and the transaction price has not been announced so far. ?
The latest data released by Shenzhen real estate information platform?
Image source: Shenzhen real estate information platform?
Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau responded? ?
Due to the limited scale of Shenzhen real estate market, the transaction price level is easily affected by the structure, and the direct publicity of relevant price information can not well reflect the real situation of the market. According to the requirements of Shenzhen's macro-control of real estate, in order to more accurately reflect the operation of the real estate market and refer to the practices of other brother cities, Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau will not publish the summary transaction amount and average price information on the basis of doing a good job in publicizing the price of "one room, one price" for real estate pre-sale projects, and the relevant market situation will be subject to the real estate price index published by the National Bureau of Statistics every month. ?
The Shenzhen Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau also stated that the information of the first-hand pre-sale residential units is the reference data generated according to the pre-sale mapping of real estate, and it is impossible to be completely consistent with the delivery situation in practice. In order to avoid misleading buyers, after research, the bureau will no longer publicize the information of relevant units, and the actual investigation of buyers will prevail. The above adjustment is to better reflect the overall situation of Shenzhen's real estate market and is an integral part of real estate macro-control measures. At the same time, Shenzhen Housing and Construction Bureau will also release relevant information in a timely manner according to the actual situation of market operation. ?
Will the price limit policy be withdrawn?
Li, chief researcher of Guangdong Housing Policy Research Center, pointed out that "disappearing" together with the housing price level, there is also apartment information generated by surveying and mapping during the pre-sale of new houses. The future apartment type and area shall be subject to the actual survey after the delivery of the house. ?
In this way, the market cannot calculate the monthly average transaction price of new houses and the simple average prices of various regions and regions. In the future, the only way to know the price of commercial housing in Shenzhen is the monthly housing price index released by the National Bureau of Statistics, including the month-on-month changes of new and second-hand houses. ?
Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real Estate, said that there are some problems in the price data of China real estate market. Non-governmental organizations release data at will, and official data are missing. Many bases of real estate regulation depend on the average price. But for first-and second-tier cities, the average market price is becoming more and more meaningless. ?
"At present, the annual transaction area of new houses in Shenzhen is about 3-4 million square meters, accounting for only 35% of the total residential transaction area. Considering the supply of "class rooms" such as business apartments and talent rooms, the proportion of new house transactions is even lower. Therefore, as officially explained, if a few new sites with high unit price and large volume enter the market, the average price of new houses can easily be pulled up at once. " Li pointed out that in recent years, the supply of new houses has shown two characteristics. First, the overall price has started to rise. Second, the high-priced and low-priced plates are divided into two levels. ?
"The overall average price of new houses has risen, mainly due to the frequent occurrence of 20 16-20 17' land kings', and the overall land price level has reached a high level." Li added that since 20 18, although the "limited land price" has been normalized, there are fewer "land kings" and the land premium rate has also decreased, the overall land price level is still hovering at a high level. In addition, the cost of urban renewal is getting higher and higher, which leads to the trend of "luxury" of new houses. In addition, the low-priced new sites in Shenzhen are concentrated in peripheral areas such as Longgang, Pingshan and Guangming, and the main urban areas such as Nanshan are basically high-priced areas. The price of new houses is obviously polarized, which leads to poor supply uniformity. ?
Li pointed out that at present, "stable expectation" has risen to a regulation strategy, which objectively requires more representative indicators that can accurately reflect the price trend. The house price index calculated based on the principle of "homogeneous comparability" (same quality, same area and same apartment type) eliminates the heterogeneity of houses and better reflects the overall market trend, which is also the general law of global house price disclosure. Therefore, the house price index released by the National Bureau of Statistics, based on the general law of international house price statistics and considering the influence of smooth heterogeneity, can better reflect the changing trend of house prices. ?
At the same time, Li said that Shenzhen no longer announces the price of new houses, and there is an ulterior secret, that is, starting from 20 16 10, the control goal of controlling the price stability of new houses has become increasingly difficult to support. Since 20 16, the land price has risen, and the surrounding house prices have also risen, which objectively forced the house prices to rise. By delaying the entry of high-priced stocks and "matching high and low", the simple average price can be maintained at the level of 2065438+ 10 in 2006. However, when the actual average price of new houses is getting higher and higher, there are very few absolutely low-priced sectors, and the commitment to keep the simple average price from rising is becoming more and more fragile. ?
What is the significance of no longer "officially announcing the average price"? ? ?
Li pointed out that Shenzhen's failure to announce the average price of new houses is the first step. In the future, with the establishment of a long-term mechanism, the price limit policy may be withdrawn. "Of course, this does not mean that house prices can rise at will in the short to medium term, but the result of the local government's independent decision-making and regulation based on the main responsibility and' one city, one policy' after the target of the fluctuation range is clear. Similar to Shenzhen, 60% of the supply of new houses in the future will be affordable housing and talent rooms. If this part of the supply can be guaranteed through the construction of each plot, the price will be moderately liberalized. " . Li said to him. ?
"Brother City" had a similar operation?
It is worth noting that from 2065438 to July 2008, the real estate transaction data query platform "Sunshine Jiayuan. Com sponsored by Guangzhou Housing Construction Committee has also experienced a similar situation, that is, it can't see the average sales price information of the project. ?
According to media reports, the original data of Sunshine Jiayuan. Com, such as the number of units sold, the area sold, the check-out number, the cumulative number of units sold, the area, the average price and the number of units not sold, have not been displayed normally since last July. 1 1. ?
Subsequently, the Guangzhou Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development responded that some data and information published daily by Guangzhou "Sunshine Home" website are easy to be interpreted and speculated unilaterally, which is not conducive to stabilizing the real estate market expectations. In order to further standardize the management of real estate information release and enhance the authority of information release and data interpretation, the release form of Guangzhou Real Estate Market Information is now adjusted to regular release and interpretation. At the same time, Guangzhou's propaganda, online information, housing construction, industry and commerce, public security and other departments will intensify joint crackdown, severely crack down on speculation about rising house prices and spreading false information, create a good public opinion atmosphere, and promote the stable and healthy development of Guangzhou's real estate market.