Basic Introduction Title: Decision-making Method Author: Wu Jianzhong ISBN:10 [7802214629]13 [9787802214620] Pricing: 46.00 Yuan Publisher: China Times Economic Publishing House: 2008. In this "DreamWorks", decision-making information production has been brought into the standardized and standardized research system. In this "DreamWorks", information production with high intelligence, high knowledge and high added value is highly unified with the "fool-like" technological process. In this "DreamWorks", decision-making information products are copied and recreated on a large scale in the mode of multiple fission, and various forms of personalized information products that meet the needs of leaders' decision-making are produced most efficiently at the speed of "information fast food" on the assembly line. Author brief introduction Wu Jianzhong, editor-in-chief of Leadership Decision Information Weekly, vice president of Beijing International Urban Development Research Institute, and executive director of Capital Scientific Decision Research Association. Work experience in the field of decision-making information: 1992-1996 participated in the establishment of weekly economic trends for local leaders to read internally and served as editor-in-chief. On this basis, he founded "Daily Leadership Information" (the predecessor of leadership decision information) and began the life of career information research. 1996 -2000.2000, presided over the editing of Tomorrow Weekly and became a new media integrating news and information to spread new ideas, new humanities and new knowledge. 200 1 Executive Editor and Editor-in-Chief of Leadership Decision Information Weekly. During this period, the first brand-new concept of government prosperity monitoring in China was put forward and constructed, and the production and dissemination of decision-making information were brought into a standardized and standardized brand-new system, which created a brand-new model for the construction of decision-making information and intellectual support system. The theory of building the top government information service brand in China, the basic concepts and methods of government prosperity monitoring, Chapter 1: The proposal of government prosperity monitoring 1. Why should government information be monitored? 2. After the openness of government affairs, the role of openness of government affairs becomes more and more important? 3. The current problems in constructing the product system of government prosperity monitoring Chapter II The application of government prosperity monitoring in e-government system 6 pages. 5438+0. The basic situation of the overall framework of national e-government 2 pages. Government prosperity monitoring and local e-government system docking 3. Application of government prosperity monitoring in local e-government construction Chapter III Basic framework model of government prosperity monitoring information product system 1. The basic structure of the government's prosperity monitoring information product system II. Application and method of government prosperity monitoring information system III. Components and events of government prosperity monitoring. Classification and coding. Basic model of China government's prosperity monitoring. The core advantages of the practice of government boom product system Chapter 1: Innovative practice of government boom monitoring in decision-making information service 1. Leadership is the ruling force-our goal. Are you a modern leader? Our target audience 3. Strategic research and decision-making-our guiding ideology. Policy, objectivity and guidance-our information characteristics 5. What is Public Information-Our Information Connotation Chapter II Value Concept of Government Affairs Prosperity Monitoring Information System 1. One thin and one thick, book interaction II. One is long and the other is short. Chapter III Ten Relationships between Government Prosperity Monitoring and Decision Information Work. Handle public affairs well. The relationship between information and professional information. The relationship between information analysis and news reporting. The relationship between information timeliness and super-timeliness. The relationship between information quality and information quantity. The relationship between first-hand information and multi-hand information 6. The relationship between paper information and electronic information. The relationship between column setting and information dynamic configuration 8. Relationship between daily work and long-term accumulation 9. Relationship between product line depth and width 10. The relationship between presence and presence. Chapter iv TJ boom monitoring information products and their extended services 1. Main products-leadership decision information II. Extended Information Products-Advanced Affairs Reference Series Electronic Products Chapter 5-Quality Management and Process Control of Leadership Decision Information and Other Monitoring Products 1. Quality is the lifeline of leadership decision-making information. Innovation is the competitiveness of leadership decision-making information 3. Prosperity. Accuracy and the highest state: draw a cat according to a tiger-beyond recognition 4. Information analysis "36 plans" 5. Summary of work requirements of government prosperity monitoring system: case analysis of building decision-making information-led products. How do we monitor and analyze government prosperity? The first chapter demonstrates the major issues and establishes an effective mechanism for integrating major political information 1. Regularity of government prosperity monitoring. Time distribution of government prosperity monitoring. Annual thematic planning and analysis of government prosperity monitoring information Chapter 2 introduces the concept of prosperity monitoring. Establish a new government information monitoring system 1. Comprehensive monitoring of economic and social development. Special monitoring of economic and social development. Rank topic 4. Standard evaluation theme 5. Special monitoring in key provinces and regions. Analysis of the temporal distribution law of data monitoring topics Chapter III is closely related to local work priorities. Improve the decision-making information and intellectual support system 1. Construction of China Urban Innovation Platform Case II. Expand the new vision of solving the problems of agriculture, countryside and farmers. Attachment: 1 column should also pay attention to the use of numbers. Box 2: Information is wonderful because of charts. Column 3: Exercise our eyesight. Column 4: Find the "information eye" column that excites readers. 5. News is vivid because of information. Box 6: Planning gives new life to information. Column 7 walks on the extension line of time. Column 8 looks for him in the crowd. Column 9 highly determines the influence column 10. How to make the mainstream information column 1 1 crisscross, Peer-to-peer linkage to find an "exclusive" column 12 to look at people * * to look at the speaker's unspoken column 13 prosperity information column 14 to string the scattered pearls together 15 to fall into the autumn 16 prosperity monitoring: value discovery and re-creation column/kloc-. Kloc-0/8 accumulated wealth and sparse distribution column 19, brand-new feeling column 20, finding cold feeling column from hot spots 2 1, quick response margin, self-accumulation column 22, uniqueness column of decision-making reference comments 23, focusing on small things, grasping key points, highlighting characteristic column 24, discovering the bright spot of media, grasping the eyeball column of media news 25, and not necessarily making mistakes. Scanning for Moment and Eternity Column 27, Various Uses Column of Local Government Monitoring Database 28, The collective decision-making methods that permeate the management concept include brainstorming, nominal group technology and Delphi technology. (1) The founder of brainstorming is British psychologist Osborne. The four principles of this decision-making method are: express your own opinions and don't comment on other people's suggestions; Suggestions don't have to be thoughtful, the more you think, the better; Encourage independent thinking and whimsy; It can supplement and perfect the existing suggestions. The characteristic of brainstorming method is that related experts or personnel get together to solve problems, open their minds, speak freely and seek various decision-making ideas in a relaxed atmosphere. Advocate innovative thinking. The time is generally 1-2 hours, and 5' 6 participants are suitable. (2) Nominal group technology In collective decision-making, if people have great differences in their understanding of the nature of the problem, or have great differences of opinion, the effect of direct meeting and discussion is not good, and there may be disputes, or everyone will agree after the authoritative person speaks. At this time, "nominal group technology" can be adopted. Managers first select some people who have research or experience in the problems to be solved as team members and provide them with information related to decision-making problems. Team members should think independently, put forward decision-making suggestions, and write their own alternatives as detailed as possible. Then call a meeting for team members to present their own plans. On this basis, the team members voted on all the alternatives, resulting in the most agreed scheme, and formed opinions on other schemes, which were submitted to the managers for decision-making reference. (3) Delphi technology Delphi technology was put forward by Rand Company to listen to experts' opinions on a certain issue. The steps of applying this method are: according to the characteristics of the problem, select and invite experts who have done relevant research or experience. Provide relevant information to experts separately, and ask them to express their opinions independently and write them in writing. After collecting and synthesizing the opinions of experts, managers will feed back the comprehensive opinions to experts and ask them to express their opinions again. If there are big differences, a meeting can be held to focus on discussion; Otherwise, the manager should contact the experts separately. Repeatedly, a scheme representing the opinions of the expert group was finally formed. Managers sometimes need to choose the direction of business activities of an enterprise or a department of an enterprise, and the following combination analysis method of business units can be adopted. The combination analysis method of business units was put forward by Boston Consulting Group. This method holds that when determining the direction of a company's business activities, its relative competitive position and business growth rate should be considered. The relative competitive position is often reflected in the market share, which determines the sales volume, sales volume and profitability of the enterprise; Business growth rate reflects the speed of business growth and affects the payback period of investment. The operating conditions of enterprises can be divided into four categories: the "thin dog" business unit has a low market share and business growth rate, which can only bring little cash and profits, and may even lose money. For this depressed business, we should adopt the strategy of shrinking or even giving up. The business growth of "Infant" Division is relatively high, and its current market share is relatively low. This may be a promising field that enterprises have just developed. High growth rate requires a lot of money, which is difficult to raise only through the business itself. The choice facing enterprises is to invest the necessary funds in this business to increase market share and transform it into a "star" type. If judgment cannot be transformed into "star" type, we should give up this field in time. "Jinniu" business department is characterized by high market share, low business growth rate, more profits for enterprises and less capital investment. The large amount of cash generated by this business can meet the needs of the first two-legged enterprises. "Star" business unit is characterized by high market share and business growth rate, which represents the highest profit growth rate and the best investment opportunities. Enterprises should lose no time to invest the necessary funds to expand the scale of production. Quantitative decision-making methods For more than half a century, with the popularization of information technology applied to computers, especially the popularization of various quantitative methods software, quantitative analysis methods have moved from expert consultation institutions to enterprises, * * * and various practical application departments. It mainly includes deterministic decision-making methods, uncertain decision-making methods and risky decision-making methods.