The author of this article is a shocking netizen.
The Orient has been published hundreds of times. As long as the "basic pattern" is sorted out, many things can be swept away. There is no doubt that the Oriental series has great boldness of vision, and the background picture of the analysis is based on the binary opposition of "capital control country \ state control capital" accumulated in the 300 years of capitalist development. Then there is the specific capital, the power relationship and the struggle pattern of the country in China, the United States, Europe and Russia. Brother Han Feng said that he was a little more curious about the currency war, which is true, because he didn't dare to say malicious words in the book, nor did he dare to explicitly put forward that China should take the road of "state controlling capital", but he mythologized a group of Jewish capitalists. But if many readers know more, even if Song Hongbing doesn't say it, they should be able to see that there are several books about a group of people who have the belief of "capital controls the country" (evil).
On the pattern of western interests
In fact, everyone's ice snow cleverness is often transparent. According to the Oriental Post, the west is generally a "capital-controlled country", and capital interests and national interests are divided into two categories: American capital interests and European capital interests; American national interests, European national interests. There are some basic patterns and realities that need to be clarified, otherwise the Oriental sticker can only be confused.
1, American capital interests and European capital interests * * * constitute western capital interests, which are of the same origin and have different interests distribution, but they are both influenced by the dollar standard system; After the birth of the euro, there are obviously some contradictions between American capital interests and European capital interests, but they can still be reconciled at the critical moment, because the fundamental reason is "the West dominates the world financial hegemony".
2. American national interests and European national interests cannot constitute "Western national interests", because nothing binds European national interests and American national interests together like "dollar hegemony". On the contrary, after the birth of the euro, the interests of European and American countries have become completely irreconcilable, and the further virtualization of NATO is an ironclad proof: in the non-war state, monetary factors are much more important to a country than military factors (in the war state, it is the other way around, that is, there is no dead angle in time and space in modern international struggle, or financial wrestling).
3. "Borrowing, possession, control, utilization and overdraft" of American capital interests to American national interests. If you can't understand that the United States is a capitalist country among capitalist countries, a fighter in an airplane, and that capital controls the most serious social form of a single country in human history, you can't understand the countless subtle and bizarre changes in the fighting methods of the United States, Europe and China at all. The infiltration of American capital into American national interests is reflected in economic, military and financial aspects, while the former fully controls and dominates the latter after the Middle East oil crisis. Both of them are most interested in debt dollars (whether it is a strong dollar in the early stage or a weak dollar in the late stage, it is to "borrow money and print money to live a good life"). In other words, it must be because the dollar standard can't be maintained, and American capital interests finally abandoned the United States "bitch mercilessly".
4. Similarly, on the issue of "Euro", the interests of European capital share fundamental interests with those of European countries, so it is not difficult to understand the above analogy. Someone has to ask, "Then why don't European capital interests break with American capital interests?" ? This is because European and American capitals are still operating on a closely linked and global settlement platform, and their interests are consistent in the exchange of various "non-Western interests". The fundamentalist East established by the euro (EU) also said that European capital interests have their own small abacus, hoping to grow into a big abacus one day and continue to play the idea that European capital dominates the world.
5. The above four elements constitute the basic interest pattern of the West. Sometimes they agree with each other, sometimes they find fault with each other internally, and sometimes they weaken their opponents with the help of external forces. It is easy to understand that "the West" is not monolithic. From the perspective of national form, the opposition between the European Union and the United States should make you feel a little bit, even if you have not thought of the European debt crisis in the past two years. What China people find most difficult to understand is actually the unity of opposites between national interests and capital interests within a country: American capital controls the American financial system and is deeply involved in the American military industry system and the American political system, that is, the absolute control of the American "state machine" on capital is far less than ours.
6. The "bomb shelter" and the capital flight were experienced by western capitals. Before and after World War II (during), European capital flight was originally a super historical drama. After the defeat of World War I, Germany was extremely castrated politically and militarily (from Liszt to Bismarck to Hitler, the history of German state-controlled capital was heavy), and it could not be said that it was capitalism when it encountered a super crisis of 1929. At present, the comprehensiveness, ways and means of this great escape need our profound summary.
When China faced the West,
From our own point of view, we should at least distinguish who is a friend, who is an enemy, the subtle differences between friends and enemies, and so on, and then we can formulate our own response plan:
1 to prevent being suppressed and contained by the interests of western countries at the military and political levels;
2. Prevent being controlled and bought by western capital forces (through financial mechanism);
3. After destroying American global hegemony (American national hegemony and American capital hegemony), stop western capital from "recreating America" in Europe, that is, completely change the life of "western capital dominates world finance" and reshape the global political, economic and financial pattern.
The last point is the most important one, which is inseparable from Chairman Mao's "thoroughness of revolution". Instead of mechanically crushing the political and military hegemony of the United States, it is to completely end the "capital-controlled country", with the European Union as the "European national interest" and the United States as the "American national interest", realize the "state-controlled capital" at the global level, and remove the existing unreasonable economic, political and financial order (essentially production relations) from restricting the development of global productive forces. (The "globalization of capital" under capital control countries is always a minority, and the development of productive forces is actively stifled for the benefit of a few people. At that time, the practice of killing cows and pouring milk will always appear again. Capital globalization under state-controlled capital means that our present state capitalism has spread to the whole world, and with the development of productive forces, the free development of mankind as a whole has been realized. The two are essentially different. Compared with the former, the latter is a more advanced form of capitalist relations of production, and it is not a matter of time before the proposition is too grand. )
The main intention of Party N to the current situation and the breakthrough point of attack and defense given by the East.
1, the Middle East is completely destroyed, or it is still standing.
A primary controllable break-the United States withdrew its national interests from the Middle East, Central Asia and other places beyond its power in an orderly manner and continued to maintain control over Israel and Afghanistan's security framework in the Middle East. Petrodollars continue to operate, and on the basis of operation, Syria and Iraq continue to create problems, and finally create a firewall that absolutely consolidates the dollar standard;
Medium-comprehensive break-ending dollar hegemony and striving for reunification (China-Europe-Russia national interest cooperation);
Advanced-violent break-ending dollar hegemony, the Middle East is completely out of world control (China, Russia, Europe and America have been isolated for quite some time, see who can't stand it first);
2. It is clear that "the skin does not exist, the hair will be attached", and the state is the platform of capital. We must use the determination of "blasting" to force European national interests and European capital interests to choose the result of "complete destruction". Because compared with the "total destruction" in the middle, the dollar hegemony under "controllable destruction" has been enhanced unprecedentedly through flooding, which is beneficial to the western capital as a whole and unfavorable to the interests of European countries. From "controllable destruction" to "total destruction", western capital interests as a whole can't bear this result, but it has nothing to do with the interests of European countries. It may be better than the unprecedented strengthening of dollar hegemony. Therefore, if there are only "controllable destruction" and "total destruction", we really can't guarantee that the interests of European countries will not succumb to the intimidation and inducement of western capital and eventually choose to participate in the "controllable break" in essence. Therefore, standing in front of the powerful southern economy headed by China, we must show the interests of European countries, and the third outcome is "blasting". Only when there is contrast can there be a gap. The mystery lies in reminding them seriously: first, we have the ability to forcibly start the situation; Second, we have created a situation; Third, your European national interests will be overwhelmed; Third, we will. So, follow me and choose the final "Total Break 2" ~ ~ ~
Speaking of which, there is nothing new in this issue of the East. For more than a year, we have been saying "seeking unity through struggle, seeking unity through survival, seeking unity through compromise and seeking unity through death". Isn't that right? To put it bluntly, it is to force the interests of European countries to make choices at the height of "human justice" instead of begging. How can we force it? You have to make all the preparations before you can talk without fear of "nuclear" at a critical moment. By default, if you give up this option, you will never be able to strive for reunification and eventually "convince" the interests of European countries. Do you really think you are Jesus?
Talking about "the arrangement of the last thing I want to see ..."
Case 1-controllable break-final arrangement: the United States, Europe, Russia and China (because Russia bought first and then surrounded, and finally died the worst. Of course, there is nothing wrong with Russia in this case. Will be birds of a feather with Brazil, that is, the United States and Europe);
The second situation-a total break-the final arrangement: China, Russia, Europe and America (the latter two will become the interests of European and American countries);
Situation 3-violent break-final arrangement: …? ... in ...? (Who can survive? I don't know. Anyway, I think we can. According to our preparation, I think we can. )
The latter two correspond to the historic end of the dream of "capital controlling the country" of western capital interest groups. Although the establishment of a new international economic and political order after a comprehensive break is not achieved overnight, from the perspective of the East, ending the hegemony of western capital for 300 years is a qualitative change in history.
The collapse of American national interests &; American capital is transferred to the European platform to continue operations.
To talk about this problem, we should master the basic structure division skills of oriental stickers. First of all, it should be clear that if western capital finally "overflows" under the controlled break, the national interests of the United States and the hegemony of western capital will be strengthened unprecedentedly, and it is unnecessary to talk about the platform of American capital fleeing to Europe and the European Congress of European and American capital. Therefore, after a comprehensive or violent break, when the body of American national interests can't bear the continued use of American capital interests, something related to escape and transfer must have happened. Here, the East has put forward two versions:
Simple version: American capital has been returned to its original shape in the national interests of the United States (financial hegemony is gone, and military hegemony is naturally gone; After the hollowing out of the industry, the economic hegemony was long gone), which hit the national interests of the United States, sucked it dry completely, and then transferred it to Europe.
Complex version: Western capital as a whole will realize the fundamental principle of capital control in the future countries and even the world with the help of the European platform, so all "national interests" will be their enemies in the past, present and future and need to be controlled. Therefore, even on the day of "transfer-out", if the national interests of the United States and China and Russia (politically, economically and militarily) lose each other, they will use the "corpse" of the European platform to revive themselves, and then introduce the hegemony of the euro and incorporate it into the southern economy headed by China and Russia after the exchange of fire.
If western capital predicts that it is inevitable to break the game with a tragic degree above the overall break, these are its ideas for survival and lay the foundation for future development. What are the specific operation methods? As the periphery of the Iranian nuclear issue, the Syrian issue is the core of the "battle": the reason is that it is impossible for the United States to solve the Iranian nuclear issue embedded in the new global order by force (China and Russia are interested). Therefore, the reason why American capital interests manipulate American national interests and turn to besiege the Syrian issue is because even if it can be solved by force, it is useless to defeat Syria, because after solving the Syrian issue, it will soon face the Iranian nuclear issue that cannot be solved by force, not to mention. Therefore, the "encirclement without attack" against Syria is a situation in which American capital interests manipulate American national interests. For American capital to go into battle in person, in fact, financial hegemony is used to instigate the firewall to make necessary preparations. It is also an objective form for American capital interests to go into battle in person and make desperate preparations for the firewall. Otherwise, it's time to force the boss behind the scenes out Once I went to the station myself, and I also screwed up. The first to be exposed is the dollar hegemony (benefiting from the national interests of the United States and the interests of American capital * * *). As the dominant western capital, American capital will face "flight" immediately. How to escape? "This question.
However, the complexity of the transformation lies in the need to complete the "impossible task" of western capital borrowing from European platforms at the same time, further disintegrate American national interests, create a further struggle between American national interests and China and Russia, and rely on European platforms to flood and integrate into the southern economy. The reason why it should be completely completed is because from the failure experience of the United States, it is absolutely impossible for western capital to achieve the goal of "capital controlling the world" by borrowing the platform of Europe in the future.
The reason why the complicated transition is more complicated than complicated, even extremely complicated, is that before the official start of our "comprehensive break", during the start-up period and until it is irreversible, the capital interests of the United States can still be played with the help of the American platform: 1, building a firewall, 2, flooding (storing water first, QE3), 3, letting the national interests of the United States go to war with China and Russia, 4, transferring on its own, 5. 7. Incorporate into the southern economy according to the results of flooding; 8. More work needs to be done to improve the European platform (although it is a more authentic mainland version, American capital has to be allowed to develop for the future). In short, we will never hang ourselves on the American tree. While overdrawing the United States, we will have to absorb it and make it never turn over ... The above steps start at the same time, sometimes, but by no means certain.
Once the "shelling" is inevitable, American capital during the shelling will take the initiative to start the hard landing process of the global economy, which can create panic, absorb American gods, facilitate the integration of some turbulent southern economies, create friction between American national interests and Sino-Russian national interests in the fields of economy, trade and resources, and create social unrest between the United States and many third world countries.
The Reprint of Samsara is wonderful, supported by successful historical experience. The core difficulty lies in bringing China's economy into the top of the southern economy, otherwise everything will be in vain. China and Russia do not make irreversible mistakes (that is, once the overall situation is not broken, they will decisively stop losses on the Syrian issue and play blasting. They will not give any countries in the Middle East with small plans, such as Afghanistan, Syria, Egypt and Turkey. The essence of stop losses is to make a decision and chop their fingers like chopped green onion ...), so there must be no preset "nuclear".
summary
From this point of view, the East has established its own analytical system and has not put the Syrian issue at an inappropriate height, as some accusations imply. If you read it carefully, you will know that the East has placed the possible result of "Syria is solved by finance, and we don't stop loss decisively" at an "important height", which leads to the logical consumption chain of "Syria is linked to Iraq, and Iraq is linked to China and Russia", which indicates that "the chaos in Syria will be released" and it is two important components of our "all-round break".
Some people say that oriental music is high and low, while others say that it is divorced from the people. It should be said that such comments do not have the necessary theoretical literacy for international political analysis. This theory is fair to everyone. As long as you are patient, you can tide over the difficulties in time. If you only look at the East, Chinese style and SHE posts at the stage of watching the excitement, and you know what they are but don't know why, then such accusations are really nothing. If we want to make further progress and improve our own ability, we must start with changing the way of thinking, especially the design of various models of international political theory should be rigorous, qualitative and quantitative, with strong operability and sufficient redundancy, which is not conducive to analysis.
The characteristics of Orient Railway are "clear modeling and strict qualitative analysis", and we can't see its "quantitative" ability (that is, how much tactical information the Oriental Team has mastered) from its writing. As mentioned in the previous posts, both Han Feng posts and Oriental posts are good materials for the "way of thinking" in the learning period, and Oriental posts are the most inherited in the Chinese post series. Interested friends can also discuss its long-term process of "building a basic model, constantly incorporating and eliminating various variables, and revising, strengthening and advancing conclusions with the development of the situation". If you have been there once, you will benefit a lot.