At the beginning of 20021,it took Zhang Yu four hours to get to the company on the day when Yanjiao commuters went to Beijing to implement the New Deal. It took two hours to build the 500-meter bridge.
An epidemic made more people feel: "With so many cities around Beijing, Yanjiao is closer to Guo Mao and Gu 'an is closer to Daxing Airport. They are not Beijing after all. "
Disappointed, in early March, Zhang Yu left Yanjiao. Before he left, he sold the house for 6.5438+0.7 million. When I bought this house, the price was 4 million. Zhang Yu's social platform "Lost Everything" is accompanied by sad music "I'm not happy anymore".
The four years since the purchase restriction in March 20 17 have made the buyers around Beijing anxious for four years: the property market has changed from magic to reality, with some people entering the market, some leaving the market and some being quilted.
According to public data, house prices around Beijing have fallen sharply from the high point of 20 17. In this process, the trend of housing prices has been divided, and some areas have experienced small fluctuations. However, house prices in many areas have dropped by as much as 40% on average in the past four years, and some areas even dropped by 7 1%. According to the 30% down payment, many people will go down and become negative assets.
The so-called Beijing periphery refers to within 70 kilometers from Beijing, including Yanjiao, Dachang, Xianghe, Gu 'an, Yongqing and Zhuozhou.
In March of this year 18, Yanjiao ushered in a large wave of settled people due to the relaxation of the settlement threshold, but Yanjiao property market once again set off waves. However, for the property market around Beijing, which has been restricted for four years, there are still lingering dark clouds: real estate agents recover commissions, housing enterprises around Beijing are struggling, just need customers to wait and see carefully, and high-rise buyers are insolvent.
Even so, there are still some people who are anxious and waiting for hope.
After years of price reduction, the property market around Beijing is no longer prosperous.
In June 2020, the average price of commercial housing in China exceeded 10,000 yuan. If you look at the list of the top 100 county-level cities with housing prices exceeding 10,000, you can only see cities around Beijing such as Xianghe and Zhuozhou.
According to the data of Anjuke, in March this year, the average price of new houses in Zhuozhou City was RMB 0.06 million per square meter/kloc, which was the same as last month and decreased by 6.62% compared with last year. The average price of Hexiang's new house is12,400 yuan/square meter, down 1.55% from last month.
In the property market around Beijing, where house prices are still fluctuating, people from all walks of life are moving forward in anxiety.
A broker around Beijing told the city that it was inconvenient for many people to see the house before the epidemic was completely over. They do one or two transactions a month, and some don't start work for several months.
The phenomenon that real estate agents are in arrears with developers' commissions still exists. At the beginning of March, some netizens posted a post named "Tsinghua Business Department of Gu 'an County, Langfang, Hebei Province defaulted on brokerage commission" on Hebei News Online. The developer of this building in Xuefu Tsinghua is a small and medium-sized housing enterprise named Zhongding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. 。
In the post, the netizen wrote: "The house is sold out and the customer procedures have been completed. Developers don't give money (brokers) and kick the ball for various reasons. It has been in arrears for half a year and it is more than 4 million. "
Since the implementation of the purchase restriction policy four years ago, the Gu 'an property market has been tepid. Arrears of real estate agency commissions are all efforts made by local small and medium-sized housing enterprises to get by. On the news network in Hebei, there are many complaints about Zhongding Real Estate, such as the delay in handling the real estate license and the illegal collection of the house price difference.
On the other hand, Yanjiao (which belongs to sanhe city), known as the bridgehead around Beijing, is also in turmoil. On February 18, on the website of sanhe city Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau, a netizen posted that "the fourth generation existing home in Tianyang City of Yanjiao could not be delivered, and the developer did not know where to go." The missing developer is Tianyang Real Estate (Sanhe) Co., Ltd.
Yanjiao Economic Development Zone, sanhe city
In response to complaints from netizens, sanhe city Housing and Construction Bureau replied that due to an economic dispute with China Huarong Asset Management Co., Ltd. Beijing Branch, a financing
Six months ago, zhangqian learned from a real estate agency in Gu 'an that Gu 'an No.6 Middle School, led by a well-known real estate enterprise, signed an agreement with Tianjin Nankai Middle School.
The general meaning of the agreement is that if Beijingers with Tianjin hukou buy real estate around the school, their children can study in Gu 'an No.6 Middle School and then enjoy the same level of treatment as the Tianjin College Entrance Examination.
After hearing the news, Zhang Qian was overjoyed. She thinks it's tailor-made for her family. However, after many outbreaks, Gu 'an closed the city at the beginning of 5438+ 10, and Zhang Qian's plan to buy a house was put on hold.
Now that the epidemic situation has improved, zhangqian has put the plan of buying a house on the agenda. Unexpectedly, in the middle and late March, zhangqian got a bad news from the real estate agent: the well-known real estate enterprises that introduced this policy sold many plots of land in Gu 'an this year because of financial difficulties.
Almost all the buildings around Guliu were developed by this well-known real estate enterprise and its holding company.
"Housing companies with broken capital chains really dare not buy them, fearing that they will become unfinished buildings." Zhangqian said.
And those buyers who took over when the housing prices around Beijing were high, the mentality at this time can be described as "not loving life". On a social platform, a netizen named "Houtu" posted that "the gift (Yanjiao) Tianyangcheng real estate (with loans at present) is first come, first served, and the loans can be repaid by themselves."
This netizen bought this 40-square-meter one-bedroom apartment at a price of 27,000 yuan per square meter and a total price of10.08 million yuan when the house price in Yanjiao rose on June 20. This house has probably paid off the mortgage for more than four years, with a monthly repayment of 4,200 yuan, leaving a loan of 736,400 yuan.
The aforementioned boss of Tianyang City said, "This matter is true". He also revealed that due to "insolvency", many owners' houses in Tianyang were mortgaged to banks, which made it impossible to obtain real estate licenses.
In the property market around Beijing, buyers often default. These property buyers initialled the purchase contract with developers or unqualified second-hand house owners. After the housing prices around Beijing continued to fall, many people lost half of their houses before they got them.
Why is the property market around Beijing so far?
20 14, Beijing and Tianjin
After the boots of Hebei's coordinated development landed, the property market around Beijing began to skyrocket. 20 15 After Beijing introduced the "330 New Deal", the property market "increased in volume and price".
Beijing's housing prices are high, and many Beijiao, who have no hope of buying a house in Beijing, have gone to the surrounding areas of Beijing to buy real estate. At the same time, real estate speculators are also rushing. In a short period of time, the demand for buying houses increased greatly, which led to the shortage of the property market. Since then, housing prices around Beijing have grown wildly, and housing prices in Yanjiao, Dachang and Xianghe have almost doubled.
peaceful and auspicious
Around 20 16, the house price in Yanjiao even reached nearly 40,000 yuan per square meter. The property market around Beijing is in full swing, and the developers are beaming. Some big developers opened projects and even mobilized 200 sales staff at one time.
Compared with Yanjiao and other areas, the house price in Zhuozhou, which is not dominant, has also risen from 5,000 yuan/square meter to 1 10,000 yuan/square meter.
It was at this time that Zhi Chengfeng, as a professional real estate speculator, "It doesn't matter if you don't look at the floor plan, standing in the market, pigs can fly to the sky".
At that time, the popular vocabulary in Zhuozhou was "one set". The so-called "one set" refers to the new house. Regardless of the apartment type and area, the buyer only needs to greet the developer, pay a deposit of 65,438+10,000 yuan and 200,000 yuan to get the house, and then add money to sell it to others at a higher price.
Feng Zhi recalled to the city, "Second-hand houses don't even need to be transferred, and they can be sold quickly by adding money directly." After buying and selling several suites in partnership with others, Feng Zhi/KLOC-0 earned 200,000 a month. With this money, Feng Zhi bought his first car.
But his friend found another way, and bought a lot of penthouses at low prices. Zhuozhou property market has been crazy at this time, when all the houses were robbed and empty, Feng Zhi's friends released the roof.
There is no suspense. After selling the penthouse at a high price, Feng Zhi's friends earned a lot of money.
When Zhuozhou fell into madness, Gu 'an property market was also full of high spirits. 20 16 Daxing Airport confirmed the high-speed route and closed the construction, which affected Gu 'an, which is separated from Daxing River by a river. In just one year, the house price in Gu 'an soared from more than 8,000 yuan per square meter to more than 20,000 yuan per square meter.
Liu Xin, who has 8 years of real estate sales experience, still remembers the fiery property market in Gu 'an in those years. At the height of the fire, some people have money and can't buy a house. 1000 suite source, the number can be photographed four or five thousand or even thousands of miles away.
Whoever sells the house first also has a primary and secondary distinction. Those who pay the deposit first rank first. Full-time customers rank first, followed by customers with a down payment of 50%, and the rest are customers with a down payment of 30%.
Soon, the average house price in Gu 'an soared to 27,000 per square meter. Subject to the government's filing price, the average price can't be higher. The developer thought of a "trick": extra premium, binding a parking space.
For example, for an 80-square-meter house, the government filing price is 1.7 million yuan per square meter, the market price is 27,000 yuan per square meter, and the premium is 1 10,000 yuan per square meter, and 80 square meters is 800,000 yuan. On the bright side, "This 800,000 yuan is the money for the parking space", Liu Xin told the city.
At this time, the housing prices in the surrounding areas of Beijing were all speculated by speculative demand. However, putting real estate in the first place is not a good thing for the integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the development of various regions around Beijing.
As a result, in March 20 17, after Beijing's property market regulation policy was overweight, the property market around Beijing also set off a storm of purchase restriction. For example, after a paper purchase restriction in Langfang blocked the liquidity in disguise, the house price in Langfang quickly turned off and officially turned down in March 20 18.
After Yanjiao's purchase restriction was issued, the house price immediately began to fall, and by June of 20 18, it had fallen to16,000 per square meter, a decrease of nearly 35%.
The skyrocketing tide receded and the property market around Beijing fell to freezing point. In 20 17, intermediary agencies such as Chain Home, I Love My Family and so on successively removed the guide shops around the Beijing property market.
Two years later, the house price in Yanjiao has dropped from the highest point of 40 thousand yuan per square meter to less than 20 thousand yuan per square meter; The house price in Dachang area dropped from 35,000 yuan per square meter to 1000 yuan per square meter.
Under the cruel reality of halving housing prices in many places around Beijing, many housing enterprises in Hebei are also having a hard time. 20 19 Baoding Lan Xiu Real Estate was thundered and laid out in many places around Beijing Xianghe.
In order to survive, a large number of house salesmen and front-line intermediaries either change careers or go south. Many real estate speculators, high-rise drifters, lost their underwear. This year, Yanjiao auction house rose to 94 sets.
In 2020, under the heavy blow of the epidemic, the property market around Beijing became worse. Take Yanjiao as an example. At the beginning of the year, the average house price was 20,600 yuan per square meter, and at the end of the year, the average house price dropped to 1.760 yuan per square meter.
At this time, the number of auction houses in Yanjiao reached 2 10, 2.2 times that of 20 19.
At the beginning of 20021,some struggling drifters finally wavered.
Song Zhen bought a house in Gu 'an. From Gu 'an to Beijing, you have to cross a bridge. Like the bridge that Changyu crossed Yanjiao, when the inspection is strict, it will take Song Zhen several hours to walk the bridge in Gu 'an.
"I'm going to sell Gu 'an's house and switch to Huangcun in Daxing. It doesn't matter if it is small, and it won't go back because of the epidemic. " Song Zhen said.
Even in this case, there are still people waiting for the wind.
In 2020, the property market around Beijing ushered in a number of real estate speculators. They bought 50 suites in three northern counties (Langfang sanhe city, Dachang and Xianghe) almost in full. Their purpose is clear: pure investment, optimistic about the development around the three counties in northern Beijing.
Some developers are also waiting for the right time. Some properties have been capped, even if there is no money to buy shirts for employees, some developers just don't sell them.
"To use contrarian thinking, the lower the point, the better the opportunity." A developer told the city.
Secretly, the wind is really changing quietly. A number of real estate agents around Beijing told the city that starting from 2020, although the second-hand houses in Yanjiao are still restricted to purchase, the new sites are not limited to purchase, and both Beijing hukou and foreign hukou can be purchased.
yanjiao town
Under the new trend, some salesmen who left Beijing are back, and they seem to see hope again.
As a native of Yanjiao, Huang Xiang somewhat refutes the view that online singing is bad for the property market around Beijing. He insists that lots around Beijing, such as the three northern counties, have the value of self-occupation and investment, but the development is a bit slow.
However, an epidemic at the beginning of 20021made the Yanjiao property market, which had been slightly warmer, become deserted again.
In the reality of bleak trading volume, some intermediaries can't sit still.
Since March 5, a platform intermediary has posted a message in the circle of friends and post bar that "Yanjiao second-hand houses are open for purchase restriction". This news has made many buyers eager to move, sharpening their knives and heading for Yanjiao.
However, the staff of sanhe city Housing and Construction Bureau told the city that this was false news and Yanjiao was still implementing the 20 17 purchase restriction policy.
In Xianghe, it is not clear whether the purchase restriction policy will be relaxed. On March 8th, a real estate agent around Beijing called Yu Tao. He recommended the house in Xianghe. "This house is 9,500 yuan per square meter, and a parking space is given away for free."
Yu Tao looked it up online. By the end of 2020, the project price will still be around 1 1, 000 yuan per square meter. Now it's down to about 9500 yuan per square meter, and the parking space is given away, which is equivalent to a price drop of about 20% from last year to now.
The agent also told Yu Tao, "Not limited to purchase, developers can help solve the housing qualification problem."
In fact, the story of the wolf has been repeated here. Since 20 17, when the area around Beijing was regulated by "counties", the news of "relaxing the purchase restriction" broke out many times, but it was "refuted" by the government every time.
"The development and construction around Beijing has just started, and we can't relax in the early stage. Once the purchase restriction is relaxed, house prices will go up again, which is not conducive to the development of the surrounding areas of Beijing. Now the foundation is too weak. " A senior real estate person said frankly.
Like thousands of migrant workers in Beijing and Qian Qian, Xia Feng still wants to own a house of his own, and the area around Beijing is his best choice at present.
However, since the purchase restriction four years ago, the property market around Beijing has been hovering at a low level. Xia Feng's friends told him more than once that if they want to buy a house around Beijing, they should take advantage of it now, and when the purchase restriction is released, it will not be at this price.
Xia Feng has been looking for a suitable house, but there is always a lingering question in his mind. "If I start now, do I copy the bottom or take over?"
As we all know, the cities around Beijing mainly carry people without Beijing hukou. However, under the strategies of decreasing development and deconstructing non-capital functions, the urban population of Beijing in 20 19 will be reduced by127,000 compared with that in 20 15.
The decrease of population in Beijing has affected the purchasing power of the property market around Beijing to some extent. This makes many buyers wonder whether house prices will continue to fall.
However, how to attract people and let them settle down for employment is still a difficult problem in the development of Beijing's surrounding areas.
From March 13 to March 18, in just over a week, from "those who have a house and the house is residential can settle in Yanjiao" to "being told to suspend business and not to handle it at that time", Yanjiao's settlement policy has changed again and again.
Although Yanjiao's settlement policy is constantly changing, the threshold is still being relaxed. The lowering of the threshold for settlement means that the number of people who are qualified to buy a house has increased. This made the major intermediaries overjoyed, and the Yanjiao property market, which was deserted earlier, rarely made waves again.
However, in the industry's view, the relaxation of settlement can certainly stimulate the demand for improved home purchase in the short term, but it can't pull the Yanjiao property market that has been depressed for many years.
"In most areas around Beijing, not only the infrastructure such as transportation has not fully kept up, but also the software facilities such as educational resources and medical resources are also scarce. More importantly, their industrial structure is relatively simple. " The aforementioned senior real estate analyst said.
The single industrial structure means that the employment problem of buyers cannot be solved. Even with hukou, people can only work in Beijing during the day and come back to sleep at night. In this way, the cities around Beijing may still be "sleeping cities".
Therefore, strengthening infrastructure construction, supporting local economic development with industry, attracting talents to stay and settle down for employment, and then promoting the development of the entire property market are the most important things to do around Beijing.
(The characters in the text are all pseudonyms)
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