The national pressure to buy a house has come out.
As can be seen from the picture, the darker the color, the greater the pressure of buying a house. First-tier cities such as Beishangguang have the greatest pressure to buy houses.
The relevant institutions assume that they will buy an 80-square-meter apartment in the provincial capital city of China, and take the average annual income of local residents as the standard to see how many years it will take in the provincial capital city.
As can be seen from the data map, the per capita disposable income in Beijing and Shanghai is high, and the pressure of buying a house is also the first and second. It takes 5 1.2 years and 48.5 years respectively. Guangzhou needs 30.6 years.
Looking at East China, Nanjing is under great pressure to buy a house, which will take 34.6 years. The distribution of Hangzhou and Jinan takes 26.2 years and 20.5 years.
In North China, Tianjin has the greatest pressure, which takes 35.8 years, and Shijiazhuang takes 2 1.4 years. Taiyuan and Hohhot need 13. 1 year and 9. 1 year respectively.
In the central region, Zhengzhou, Wuhan, Hefei and Nanchang have almost the same pressure to buy a house, which is basically about 20 years, and Changsha is less, which takes 13 years.
In the western region, relatively speaking, the pressure of buying a house is not great. Nanning is under great pressure because of its low income level, while other cities are basically around 12.
The pressure of buying houses in Northeast China is relatively balanced, Harbin is 12.8 years, Shenyang is 12.2 years, and Changchun is the city with the lowest pressure of buying houses in the three northeastern provinces, with1.1year.
20 17 house price forecast:
The GDP of the real estate industry exceeds that of the whole country.
According to the development speed of real estate in recent years, it is far greater than the growth rate of GDP. In this way, the GDP of China's real estate industry will surpass that of the whole country by 2020. Is this possible? So the growth rate will definitely decline.
What are the potential entry and takeover funds?
After all, whether there is a bubble in the property market is not a question worth considering at all. What really needs to be judged is when the bubble will be dangerous. Therefore, the most direct indicators are not the rent-to-sale ratio, the ratio of house price to income, the proportion of total real estate to GDP, or even the demographic changes. On the contrary, how much money is likely to enter the market for acquisition.
Everyone knows that there is a famous "shoeshine boy theory" in the stock market: when shoeshine boy is discussing stock investment, it is not far from the stock market crash. It is said that one day before the Great Depression 1929, old Kennedy, a stock investor, was shoeshine on Wall Street, and his shoeshine boy proudly revealed to him the secret of making money with his stock. Old Kennedy was suddenly surprised, and when he returned to the office, he threw all his stocks out, successfully avoiding the stock market crash of 1929.
What does this story tell us? Obviously, even the boys who polished shoes entered the stock market, indicating that the stock market entered the final madness. But in fact, madness does not necessarily mean that the bubble burst, but it may also be that the bubble has just begun, just like the Japanese property market of 1985. Old Kennedy thought that even the shoeshine boy's money had entered the market, indicating that the stock market at that time had absorbed all the social funds that could be absorbed, and it was impossible to have more funds to take over. This is the most deadly point of the bubble.
(The above answers were published on 20 17-05-27. Please refer to the actual situation for the current purchase policy. )
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