According to the monitoring of many data of live pigs, on August 3rd1day, the price of foreign ternary live pigs was 23. 14 yuan/kg, which was 0.05 yuan/kg lower than yesterday. Of the 3 1 regions in China, 23 regions fell and only 8 regions rose, with the decline in the north being greater than that in the south.
This is because the official is about to release the stock, which leads farmers to choose to slaughter before releasing the stock, and prepare to make a big profit when the pig price is high. I didn't expect centralized slaughter to lead to a drop in pig prices.
As soon as the official news comes out, it will have a certain impact on the price of live pigs, and the decline in the price of live pigs will also have a certain impact on the price of piglets.
The uncertainty of the future situation of live pig price leads farmers to hesitate to make up the column.
Next, let's look at the price of piglets.
Today, the national 15 kg piglet price is 44.7 yuan/kg, which is lower than yesterday 1. 15 yuan/kg. It is also the lowest price in August.
Today, the price of 15 kg piglets in major provinces and cities in China is: Jilin Province 15 kg, and the mainstream price of ternary piglets is 795-825 yuan/head; The mainstream price of Jiangsu 15 kg ternary piglets is: 700-900 yuan/head; Shandong Province 15 kg ternary piglet mainstream price 570-800 yuan/head; Hebei province 15 kg ternary piglet mainstream price 550-700 yuan/head; Henan 15 kg ternary piglet mainstream price 600-850 yuan/head; Hubei Province15kg ternary piglet mainstream price 600-900 yuan/head.
At present, the national piglet price fluctuates at 600-700 yuan/head.
Should farmers fill in the column?
First, the breeding cost is high.
Let's calculate the breeding cost: 1, piglet cost.
According to the current piglet price of 44.7 yuan/kg, a piglet weighing 15 kg needs 670 yuan.
2. Feed cost.
A pig consumes about 650kg of feed from birth to slaughter, and the feed cost is 126 1 yuan based on the feed per catty 1.94 yuan.
The cost of labor, epidemic prevention and water and electricity is almost the same as that of 200 yuan.
On the whole, the cost of slaughtering a pig is about 2 1 and 3 1 yuan.
This breeding cost can be said to be quite high.
Second, profits may be limited.
Let's calculate the breeding profit.
At present, the price of pigs is at a high level. According to the pig price of 23. 14 yuan/kg, a slaughter pig of 300 kg can be sold for 3,450 yuan, and a slaughter pig has a profit of 1000 yuan. Now the profit is very considerable.
However, due to the cyclical characteristics of the pig industry, can the pigs now be sold at the current high price?
Although the second half of the year is the peak consumption season, the news that the official release of frozen meat reserves has come out, and the superimposed high pig prices have overdrawn a lot of room for price increases. It is expected that the increase in pig prices will be limited in the second half of the year.
Third, the timing of filling in the column is not good at present.
It's February-March next year, the Spring Festival is over, and consumption is at a low point.
According to the analysis of the trend of pig price this year, the pig price is low in February-May. If you make up the column, you may face the dilemma of high price for buying piglets and low price for selling pigs.
Fourth, the temperature in the second half of the year is not suitable for the growth of piglets.
Piglets have poor resistance, and there is a risk of freezing to death if the temperature is too low.
To sum up, there is limited room for pig prices to rise, and it is not expected to rise sharply in the later period, and the cost of replenishing the column is high. It is unwise to fill the column now! what do you think?