Changes in Beijing's housing prices after adjustment

There is a saying in China stock market that high stocks will fall for a long time. Now, this sentence is used to predict the trend of housing prices in Beijing. Many market participants believe that under the positioning of "houses are used for living, not for speculation", Beijing housing prices along the way may usher in adjustment. A dean of China Real Estate Data Research Institute predicted that this round of Beijing housing price adjustment will be around 7%. Many professionals also predict that Beijing's housing price adjustment may be between 5% and 10%.

First, the current situation of real estate intermediary stores caused by housing prices in Beijing:

A real estate data shows that less than 80 sets of commercial housing contracts were signed in Beijing two days before the Qingming three-day holiday, which is definitely more serious than last year. Some professionals also said that the turnover of the Qingming three-day holiday this year may be the lowest point in the past four years, and the turnover may be less than the previous three years.

In fact, the adjustment of Beijing's property market turnover began with the New Deal in March. According to the statistics of a market research institute, the transaction volume of second-hand houses in Beijing in April was 16902 sets, down 35% from March and 36% from last year. In April, the average transaction price of second-hand houses in Beijing was about 60,000/m2, down 7% from March.

Recently, Bian Xiao also observed an intermediary store in Chaoyang District, and found that they were very lazy on the whole, which also led to a decrease in business volume. "The more attitudes the two sides maintain, the more we will wait and see." Xiao Zhang in the intermediary told Bian Xiao that the purpose of policy regulation is very strong, that is, to prevent real estate speculation. At present, the market adjustment has begun, and the trend will be clear after a period of time.

Second, the adjustment of mortgage interest rate suppressed the correction of housing prices in Beijing.

The obvious decline in transaction volume led to a decrease in the number of mortgage consultations during the Qingming three-day holiday 10%, which led to a downward adjustment in house prices.

"During the three-day Qingming small holiday, the consultation volume in the mortgage market decreased by about 10% compared with last month. It can be seen from the decline in the number of consultations that people who buy houses have a heavy wait-and-see mood due to the influence of many policies before the holiday. " An analyst of a real estate service agency told Bian Xiao that after the small holiday, the interest rates of the first home loans of banks also showed a state of overall tightening.

Third, Beijing housing prices need to be adjusted.

Bian Xiao According to the information released by the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the quotation of some second-hand houses in Beijing has been lowered. It can be said that Beijing, known as the weather vane of the property market, is a microcosm of the real estate market in China. In recent years, Beijing's housing prices have been greatly lowered twice: the first time was in the first half of 2009, affected by the international financial crisis, Beijing's housing prices were lowered by about 20%; The second time was 20 14 years, and the transaction volume of Beijing property market dropped significantly, and the price was lowered.

According to analysis, if we want to control Beijing's housing prices, we need to eliminate the bubble formed last year. In order to prevent the ups and downs of the property market, this round of house price adjustment is expected to be around 7%. Many market participants also predict that this round of Beijing housing price adjustment will be between 5%- 10%.