The seventh census will be included in the "round"

In 2020, China will usher in the seventh national census, which will comprehensively investigate the birth changes and housing situation. Experts believe that this will provide necessary data support for real estate tax collection.

"This census is different from the past. In addition to the population, there is also a housing census, which means that the census results are likely to provide reference for the implementation of real estate tax. " Fu Yifu, a senior researcher at Suning Financial Research Institute, told the Securities Daily that the census is an important national survey, the purpose of which is to find out the population size and structure, and to find out the changing trend and distribution of the floating population, which is an important basis for the state to formulate major principles and policies and prepare strategic plans for national economic and social development.

"Securities Daily" reporter learned that on June 1 day, the special pilot project of Jiading, the seventh national census in Shanghai, was officially launched, and the main contents of household survey included housing situation.

On May 8, the mobilization meeting and training meeting of Jiading special pilot of the seventh national census was held. Cui Hongyan, deputy director of the Population and Employment Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that population work has entered a turning point, from quantitative pressure to structural contradictions. Census is an important means to fully grasp the population situation, and it is also the most basic and important survey of national conditions and national strength. Carrying out a census to find out the family background, education, medical care, old-age care, housing and other conditions is conducive to better formulating population policies and safeguarding people's interests.

In June 5438+1October 65438+May this year, the working idea of 20 19 issued by Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Statistics indicated that it would take the initiative to undertake the pilot work of the seventh national population census (housing census). "The census is a major survey of national conditions, national strength and market power, which can thoroughly understand the population base and population structure. The National Bureau of Statistics hopes that the city will undertake the seventh national census (housing census) in 2020, providing experience reference for the formulation and revision of the national census plan. "

Liu Xiangdong, an associate researcher in the Economic Research Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, told the Securities Daily that the census is an important economic activity and can provide effective data support for China to make major economic decisions. In this sense, population census and housing census will provide necessary basic data for the adjustment of population and housing policies in China, but they are not sufficient basis for the introduction of various taxes and fees, because the introduction of property tax requires a long legislative process and deliberation by the National People's Congress. Only after real estate legislation will it involve how to enforce the law, and then it will involve how to implement tax collection more fairly and transparently. Therefore, the housing census is not necessarily related to the decision of real estate tax collection, but it will provide necessary data support for the collection of real estate tax.

"In recent years, real estate tax has always been the focus of social attention, because whether to levy and how to set the standard of collection scope are directly related to the vital interests of thousands of households. At the same time, it is also closely related to the national real estate policy and population policy. " Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Management Research Committee of China Finance Association, told the Securities Daily reporter that the census and housing survey are bound to be linked with the real estate tax, but there is no need to over-interpret it. The state considers formulating economic and social development policies and long-term development strategies, and will regularly conduct general surveys of comprehensive indicators such as population, economy and housing, so as to provide more detailed and accurate data sources and support for the future development of the country, and will not be directly linked to real estate tax.

Zhang Yiqun believes that conducting a population and housing census can provide some necessary and valuable data for formulating many related policies such as land supply, urban planning, housing security, population distribution and regional development. It is not limited to real estate tax, nor is it the key to decide when to levy real estate tax. People should treat the population and housing census with a more normal mind, avoid excessive panic and unnecessary speculation, and make the real estate policy better serve the housing needs of ordinary families.

Jiang, a researcher at Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, told the Securities Daily that the housing census was carried out simultaneously as a supporting work for the seventh population census, indicating that the housing census has an equally important position in the new round of data collection, and also reflects the next step. Relevant legislation and policy formulation. There is a higher demand for the comprehensiveness and accuracy of population and housing data.

"From the current point of view, there is a structural imbalance in housing supply in different cities in China, with tight supply in some places and oversupply in some areas." Fu Yifu believes that at the same time, although the online registration of real estate resources has been implemented nationwide, a complete property rights system has not yet been established for farmers' self-built houses, and the concept of "small property rights" still exists in some cities, so it is still necessary to be cautious in implementing real estate taxes nationwide.

Fu Yifu said that in order to adapt to local conditions, accurate data must be supported by the city's policies, otherwise the collection of real estate tax in the future will inevitably face a series of problems, and the unclear division of property rights will also bring challenges to the landing of real estate tax.

Jiang believes that the real estate registration information has been networked nationwide, and the next housing census will pay more attention to the collection and storage of information such as farmers' self-built houses, small property houses and even unlicensed houses. The improvement of rural housing data will not only provide a more comprehensive reference and demonstration basis for real estate tax legislation, but also create more mature conditions for the spread of agricultural land and rural housing to the market. At the same time, through the scientific reasoning of rural population and housing data, it will better serve the rural revitalization strategy and urban-rural integration development. Therefore, the upcoming "package" census will be more systematic, scientific and important than before, and it is expected to achieve greater results.

Jiang said that under the influence of unfavorable factors such as the increasingly prominent problem of population aging, the declining birth rate and the gradual decline of demographic dividend, the matching of housing census and population census also released another possible positive signal-that is, the future population incentive policy may make a fuss about housing resource allocation and housing concessions. This is also very worthy of attention.