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Recommended by Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: Does the export trade need to be transformed?

Analysis of Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: Textile trade began to turn cold.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended by: textile industry? Spring? It seems that it didn't come as scheduled ~! As the largest labor-intensive industry in China, textile exports achieved double-digit growth from June to April this year. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: However, the sharp rebound in exports was only caused by the low base in the same period last year. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: In fact, for most textile export enterprises, they are still not out of trouble, still in? Surrounded by enemies? The state of. Recommended by Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: Textile trade? Surrounded by enemies?

Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Exchange rate risk has increased significantly.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Recently, the voice of RMB appreciation in the industry is endless, and many experts predict that relevant exchange rate reform measures will be officially introduced in the third quarter ~! In the just-concluded China-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue, President Hu said that China will continue to steadily push forward the reform of the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism in accordance with the principle of gradual progress. Recommended by Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: RMB appreciation and textile trade contraction.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommendation: Xu Weimin, chairman of Jiangsu Du Dong Group, one of the largest children's wear OEM enterprises in China, said that domestic garment enterprises are most worried about the appreciation of RMB. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: He thinks that the profit of general products in China textile industry is now controlled at around 3%, and even the profit rate of some enterprises can't reach this level. If RMB appreciates 1%, nearly 20% of enterprises will be unprofitable. If the RMB appreciates by 5%, nearly half of the enterprises will face bankruptcy. Recommended by Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: Is it a hidden danger of trade barriers?

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommendation: Relevant persons of China Textile Industry Association believe that once the RMB appreciates, it will be a big blow to the textile industry whose exports are picking up in an all-round way. As a labor-intensive industry, the bargaining power of domestic enterprises is low, even if the export price is raised, it is difficult to make up for the losses ~!

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: At the recent symposium organized by China Textile Industry Association, many textile export enterprises thought that the export improvement in the data was only a symptom, and the industry did not really pick up, and there were many uncertainties.

If the RMB appreciates, our profits will have to be recalculated. This must be considerate of some orders with little profit. ? * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommendation: The general manager of a textile enterprise in Guangdong told the reporter that the pressure of RMB appreciation has brought great uncertainty to the acceptance of product quotations/orders of textile enterprises, and there are more and more phenomena of not taking orders.

If RMB appreciates by 2%, the whole textile export industry in China will be in a state of loss. ? Hong Tianzhu, chairman of the board of directors of Rainbow Textile Group, told reporters that the company's profit last year was completely based on the stability of the exchange rate. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Today, the biggest challenge facing the company is RMB appreciation.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: The price of raw materials has skyrocketed.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: In addition to the exchange rate factor, the price of raw materials also affects the profits of textile export enterprises. Since the end of last year, the new round of textile industry cost increase is the biggest in recent years ~!

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: According to the data recently released by China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, the purchase price of raw materials in China has increased the most, the highest point since 2008. Among them, the price of raw materials in the textile industry ranked first, with a year-on-year increase of more than 20%~.

Take the price of cotton as an example. At the beginning of last year, China's cotton price index was still 10966 yuan/ton. On may 25 this year, China's cotton price index has climbed to 17323 yuan/ton, with a cumulative increase of nearly 60%~.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: According to the report of China Cotton Network, the long income period \ the increase in cotton planting cost \ the benefit of increasing income is not obvious, which makes the enthusiasm of farmers to plant cotton decline year by year. At present, there is a serious shortage of cotton in China, with a gap of 3.5 million tons. 20 10 the cotton planting area in China decreased by 2% to 3% compared with last year. Moreover, due to the low temperature in April and the late sowing of cotton, the annual harvest situation is still difficult to determine.

* Guizhou Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Ms. Wang, the head of a garment factory in Houjie, Dongguan, Guangdong, told the reporter that there is a serious shortage of raw materials in the factory. ? We used to import a lot of cotton yarn from Pakistan and India, but recently India announced that it would stop exporting, and Pakistan will raise export tariffs. At present, domestic cotton prices will rise every few days, and we all doubt whether we have the money to fry cotton. ? The person in charge said that this year's cotton price trend is very strange.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: It is reported that the National Development and Reform Commission recently held a macro-control meeting on the skyrocketing cotton price, and decided to increase the import quota of 800,000 tons of cotton and invest 300,000 tons in the national reserve. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: However, some experts in the industry believe that due to the limited supply in the future, there is not much room for cotton price policy regulation. Cotton prices will remain high in the afternoon, and may also exceed 20,000 yuan/ton.

If the cotton price remains high, our factory may give up some orders. ? Ms. Wang said that this is also a helpless move.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: hidden dangers of trade barriers

As the main export product of China, low-priced textiles have always been the focus of trade friction. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Even this year, China's clothing exports to Europe and America have happened many times? Memories Events, and there is a trend of increasing gradually.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: According to a statistic by the Consumer Product Safety Commission of the United States, from June to April this year, the number of textile recalls made in China was 22, accounting for 8 1.5% of the total recalls made by the Consumer Product Safety Commission of the United States, with an increase of 83.3%~. According to EU sources, in April this year, 26 kinds of textile and clothing products were recalled, up 37% year-on-year. Among them, 15 pieces were produced in China, accounting for 58% of all recalled textile and garment products, with a year-on-year increase of 15%.

Social employment is the most concerned issue in the United States. If the number of textiles exported by China grows too fast, it will inevitably affect the industrial safety and social employment rate of the United States. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: Then, trade frictions may occur at any time. ? Shen, a researcher at the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the China Academy of Social Sciences, told reporters that even if the two sides reached an understanding against trade protectionism in the China-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue, trade protectionism will not disappear in the short term.

* Recommended by Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd.: It is difficult to recruit workers in the textile industry.

Employment in export enterprises that produce textiles? Barren? The difficulty in recruiting workers is getting worse. Many enterprises not only limit the production schedule, but also increase the labor cost.

* Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: It is understood that in the Pearl River Delta region, the employment situation of factories is very tight, and the piece-rate wages of workers have all increased 10%~. Even so, there is a shortage of workers.

? In recent years, the domestic labor cost has been increasing and the labor cost advantage has been decreasing. ? Shen said that this has also become one of the factors eroding the meager profits of textile export enterprises. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommendation: Many Guangdong export enterprises report that the wages of workers have risen to 2,000 yuan/month to 3,000 yuan/month, but it is still difficult to find enough manpower ~ In Dongguan, Guangdong, there are many recruitment notices hanging at the factory gate, and there are even many companies that specialize in recruiting workers for processing enterprises.

? Now, most textile export enterprises rely on export tax rebate to survive. * Guizhou White Trading Co., Ltd. * Recommended: From a macro perspective, transformation is an inevitable trend, but a smooth transition is also very important to ensure domestic social and economic stability. ? Mei Xinyu, a researcher at the Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, suggested that measures such as exchange reform and regulation of raw materials should be taken step by step to allow enterprises to have an adaptation period.