China News Service, Toronto, April 3 (Reporter Yu Ruidong) In the case that the epidemic situation in COVID-19 has not been alleviated for a long time, on April 3, local time, Ontario, Canada's most populous province, released a series of "thought-provoking" forecast data at the arrival of the weekend to urge people to abide by public health standards and curb the spread of the virus.
The epidemiological model published by the Ontario government shows that the impact of the epidemic may last 18 to 24 months. If no countermeasures are taken, the total number of deaths related to COVID-19 in this province will reach more than 654.38 million. According to the current prevention and control measures, the death toll will reach 3,000 to10.5 million.
At present, the population of Ontario is about 6.5438+0.47 million, accounting for nearly 39% of Canada's national population. As of the evening of the 3 rd, there were 3,255 confirmed and suspected cases in the province, ranking second in the country; 67 cases died and recovered 1023 cases.
According to the model deduced by the expert group, if no measures are taken in the face of the epidemic, there will be 300,000 infected people and 6,000 deaths in this province by the end of April. According to the current measures, it is predicted that 80,000 people will be infected and 1.600 people will die by the end of April. However, if more comprehensive prevention and control measures are taken, the best situation at the end of April is12,500 cases of infection and 200 cases of death.
Although officials from the federal government to various provinces and cities have been tirelessly calling on people to stay at home every day and maintain a sense of physical alienation recently, last weekend, a large number of people in Toronto and other places went to lakes and parks for recreation.
Ford, the governor of the province, once again called on the people to act in a responsible manner. He said, "Nothing is more important than life." Eliot, deputy governor and health director, said that the model data revealed a disastrous route, but also reminded people to take more powerful actions. Public health officials in the province also said that the number of seasonal influenza deaths in the province is about 1350 each year.
Ontario continued to upgrade its prevention and control measures, and updated the list of "necessary enterprises" on the same day, thus requiring more workplaces to close. According to the current statistics, 36% of COVID-19 infected people in this province are people aged 40 to 59. The average mortality rate was 2. 1%. The mortality rate of patients over 80 years old is the highest, which is 15.9%. At the same time, the epidemic has caused 70% of the existing beds in the intensive care unit in the province to be occupied.
Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau told the media in Ottawa on April 2 that the Canadian government will release more analysis data on the COVID-19 epidemic as soon as possible, so that people can make plans and "prepare for the worst".