According to the statistics of Shenzhen Securities Information Company, as of July 22nd, * * * 80 1 listed companies have issued interim performance forecasts, among which 468 companies have pre-increased/pre-earned performance, up by 34.48% year-on-year; There are 270 companies with pre-reduced/pre-lost performance, with a year-on-year increase of 58.82%. It can be seen that after the peak performance last year, the performance differentiation of listed companies under inflationary pressure is more obvious.
Among the pre-increase/pre-profit companies, 354 companies expect a substantial increase in performance, which is only 10.97% higher than the same period last year. However, among the pre-reduction/pre-loss companies, there are 78 companies whose performance is expected to drop sharply, increasing by 136.36% year-on-year.
According to the performance forecast results of industry statistics, it is basically consistent with the "road map" of fund position adjustment in the second quarter.
Anti-inflation has become the main line of fund position adjustment in the second quarter. In this way of thinking, coal stocks in the upstream industry were "snapped up" by the fund. Xishan Coal and Electricity, China Shenhua, Lu 'an Huaneng and Jinniu Energy account for nearly half of the top ten in the fund's shareholding list. The interim results of coal stocks are really excellent. It is estimated that the number of companies with substantial growth in performance will reach 18, compared with only 6 in the same period last year.
In addition to coal stocks, the fund also increased its holdings in defensive industries such as pharmaceutical biology, wholesale and retail in the second quarter. In the wholesale and retail industry, although the performance of 20 companies is expected to increase significantly compared with the same period of last year, the number of companies with pre-losses has decreased, and the number of companies with pre-profits has increased by 4, indicating that the industry prosperity has improved.
Due to the sharp rise of coal price and the corresponding adjustment of electricity price in the same period, the performance of listed power companies fell sharply in the first half of the year. Among the 32 companies, there are only 6 pre-increased companies. Companies reporting worries accounted for 80%, of which 2 1 companies reported losses in advance, compared with only 5 last year. For power stocks, the fund began to reduce its holdings as early as the first quarter. In the first quarter, the number of power stocks held by the Fund in heavy positions decreased by 65,438+06.57% compared with the previous quarter. Before the situation changed, the fund adopted a wait-and-see attitude of slightly reducing its holdings in the second quarter.
In terms of manufacturing, although the number of companies whose performance is expected to rise sharply has increased slightly compared with the same period of last year, there are 45 companies whose performance has dropped sharply at the same time and 29 companies whose performance has dropped ahead of schedule, both of which have increased significantly compared with the same period of last year. In the second quarter of the fund, the steel and machinery sectors are also impressively listed.
The fund reduced its holdings of real estate and banking stocks in the second quarter, especially the real estate industry, which became the biggest goal of the fund. However, statistics show that the interim results of these two industries are not worrying. Among them, the real estate performance of 25 companies increased significantly ahead of schedule, more than double that of the same period last year. There are only four companies whose performance has fallen sharply. The performance of financial and insurance stocks also maintained steady growth. There are 14 companies with a significant pre-increase, two more than the same period of last year, and only 1 company with a significant decline in performance. Concerns about policies are the main reasons why fund managers underestimate their performance and reduce their holdings.