The core data of this paper: the number of automobile inspection stations, the number of automobiles and the market scale.
1, China automobile inspection industry is in the primary stage of intelligence and networking.
Motor vehicle inspection industry has four development stages: manual stage, automation stage, intelligence and networking stage, Internet of Things and big data stage. As the technology development in China started late, the industry development is still in the third stage. Developed countries are in the third stage and gradually evolve to the fourth stage (Internet of Things, Big Data). The overall level of motor vehicle detection technology in China is in the primary stage of the third stage of industry development (intelligent and networked stage).
At present, the gap between China and developed countries is mainly reflected in the following aspects: the control accuracy of detection system, the accuracy of data acquisition and analysis, the efficiency of management system and measurement system, the automation and intelligence of detection process, and the production technology level of equipment. The coverage of networked supervision system is narrow, and the networked supervision and management mode only operates in some provincial administrative regions and developed cities. Faced with these gaps, China needs to continuously develop the Internet of Things and big data technology, and organically combine them with vehicle detection systems. In addition, the level of testing technology and the ability of testing personnel need to be strengthened, and the testing standards and policies need to be further optimized.
2. The number of automobiles is increasing year by year, and the load of automobile inspection stations is too large.
In recent years, thanks to the rapid economic development, the improvement of per capita disposable income and the promotion of national policies, the number of cars in China is increasing year by year from 20 1 1-2020. By the end of 2020, the number of cars in China will reach 28 1 100 million. It reflects that the market space of automobile testing in China is gradually expanding.
With the increase of car ownership in China, the workload of car inspection stations with small bases has increased. 20 1 1 year, there are more than 6,224 inspection stations in China, including about 3,024 security inspection agencies, 200 environmental inspection agencies 1200, and more than 2,000 comprehensive inspection agencies. From 20 19 to 2020, there are about13,000 inspection stations in China, which is three times more than that in 20119. The number of cars is 260 million, and there are 0.50 inspection stations per 10,000 cars. At present, Japan, the United States and Europe have 3.5 1, 2.5 and 2 inspection stations per 10,000 vehicles respectively.
The number of detection stations has not increased significantly, and the organization that used to do only one kind of detection has gradually expanded to multiple detection stations in parallel. In addition, the number of inspection stations per 10,000 vehicles in China is much lower than that in foreign countries, and the workload is heavy.
3. This policy is expected to push the industry market scale to break 90 billion yuan.
Vehicle inspection in China is mainly divided into compulsory vehicle inspection and non-compulsory vehicle inspection. Due to the strictness of the law and the increasing attention of the public to automobile testing, the market scale of compulsory automobile testing is larger than that of non-compulsory automobile testing. However, with the expansion of the used car market in China and the improvement of consumers' awareness of automobile safety, the growth rate of the non-compulsory vehicle inspection market in China will increase. The new car off-line market also expands with the increase of the number of new cars on-line every year.
The measurement of automobile inspection market scale mainly consists of three categories: compulsory vehicle inspection market scale, non-compulsory vehicle inspection market scale and new vehicle inspection market scale; Among them, the calculation logic of the market size of vehicle compulsory inspection is: according to the number of times stipulated by the state for different vehicles, the number of vehicles owned by different models and the average inspection price; The proportion of used cars is the largest in the non-compulsory inspection market, so it is calculated according to the number of used cars and the inspection cost of different types of used cars; Finally, according to the new car output and the average price of new car inspection, the market size of new car inspection is calculated and the results are obtained. These three parts add up to the market scale of the whole automobile inspection industry.
From 20 17 to 2020, the market scale of automobile inspection industry in China increased year by year, from 37.599 billion yuan in 20 17 to 54.042 billion yuan in 2020, with a compound annual growth rate of 12.85%.
From National Five to National Six, the cost of testing has greatly increased. This is because "National Six A" will be implemented on July 1 day, 2020, while "National Six B" which is stricter than "National Six A" will be implemented on July 1 day, 2023, and the emission standards are obviously stricter than "National Five", so the calibration cost of "National Six" is also higher than that of "National Five".
Judging from the growth of car ownership in China, China's automobile testing market has a large space, the environmental protection policy is stricter, and the public's awareness of road traffic safety is enhanced, which provides great opportunities for China's compulsory automobile testing industry. The development of used car market has greatly tapped the development potential of China's non-compulsory automobile testing market. In addition, the development of vehicle networking has greatly promoted the automobile inspection industry; This brings more opportunities to the automobile inspection industry. The new trend of new cars is also good, and the number of new cars is on the rise every year. It is predicted that the market scale of China automobile inspection industry will continue to expand in the future, reaching 90 billion yuan by 2026.