The fiery stage of new energy vehicles: Why can't MPV see "transformation"?

Long-distance commuting is the embodiment of core values.

Why MPV is not suitable for pure electric? The answer can be summarized in four words: mileage anxiety. There are some options for "EV pure electric drive" MPV production cars, but it seems difficult to break "100 units" when the total monthly sales of all production cars add up. The reason is that we don't fully understand the real needs of users. MPV models need a convenient way to replenish energy and realize efficient long-distance commuting in this way!

The real concept of commercial vehicle

MPV _ multi-purpose vehicle, defined as multi-purpose vehicle, is designated as "commercial vehicle" in China.

The early MPV was represented by Previa and the space capsule, and was based on the earlier "China Bullet" with slightly higher brand awareness. These cars are characterized by high prices. In the "To-C" field, only a few users are destined to have spending power, and the real core market is the official car in the "To-b" field. Use is basically defined as "business reception &; Commuting ",so the early MPV decided a special definition according to its purpose-commercial vehicle.

Business commuting is mainly a large-scale commuting across cities or provinces, and the mileage should be calculated at least with "100 km" as the base. Therefore, this kind of car has higher requirements for cruising range. Even though the fuel consumption of such vehicles is generally high, quick and effective (short-term) refueling still does not affect commuting efficiency. Therefore, MPV model has become an ideal choice for commercial vehicles, so why are new energy vehicles not suitable for this model? The reason is nothing more than the above-mentioned "mileage anxiety".

mileage

What capacity battery pack does NEDC-500km need?

Taking "Ni-Co ternary lithium battery pack" with high energy density as reference, it is assumed that the energy density of the system is 160Wh/kg. An MPV with a curb weight of about 2 tons will have a high power consumption of about "20km/ 100km". If this model wants to reach the battery life of the mainstream fuel-powered MPV-500 km, its battery capacity will reach about 100kwh. High-quality nickel-cobalt ternary lithium is basically around 1.5k/ 1kwh, and the cost of power battery pack seems to be 1.50 million.

The manufacturing cost of fuel vehicles is about "40%" of the guide price, and electric vehicles have extra power batteries, which is extremely expensive. Then, after adding the conventional 40% tax and normal price difference, what will be the R&D and manufacturing cost of a high-standard "EV-MPV" that can meet the cruising range requirements and realize efficient and fast charging? -I believe that independent brands should set a guiding price of more than 300,000 yuan, and joint venture car companies generally do not have such technical reserves. Is the result still difficult to predict?

Summary: It is not difficult for MPV models to impact the field of new energy vehicles. But the ideal way is to use two plug-in hybrid platforms, PHEV/REEV, and the manufacturing cost cannot be controlled by pure electricity. Only at this stage, the car companies that master this technology do not have the product planning of mainstream sliding door MPV, and the old MPV car companies do not have the technical reserves of plug-in hybrid cars. It is difficult for "new energy multi-function vehicles" to have excellent production car choices in the short term. For reference.

This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.