The steel industry can't go on. What will happen if it is remodeled?

In 20 15, the national crude steel output was 803 million tons. At present, China's steel production capacity is about120,000 tons. After doing a lot of forecasting research and trend analysis, Zhao draws the basic conclusion that by 2020, the annual steel output must be reduced to about 600 million tons and the production capacity will be reduced by 300 million tons. Three problems must be solved when withdrawing from the channel mechanism: first, the problems of enterprise staff placement, job transfer, training and re-employment; Second, the problem of bank debt disposal and mutual insurance between enterprises; Third, the closure of enterprises should withdraw from the steel industry, and the equipment should be dismantled, rather than the capacity unchanged after bankruptcy and reorganization. In terms of personnel placement, there are currently about10.8 million employees directly engaged in steel production in China, with a total of more than 5 million employees. If 20% of the production capacity is removed, it means that about 1 10,000 employees need to be placed. If calculated according to the standard of buying out 65.438 billion yuan per person, it will cost about 65.438 billion yuan. In terms of liabilities, data from China Steel Association show that the balance of short-term loans and long-term loans of banks in the whole steel industry reached 65.438+0.10.3359 billion yuan at the end of last year. According to Zhao's calculation, there are about 2 trillion non-bank liabilities. For a long time, the debt risk of the steel industry has been concealed by banks, and many people in the industry believe that the hidden risks should be publicly disclosed. Under the condition of free competition, the socialist market economy depends on the market to adjust resources, on competition to decide life and death, and on examination management to obtain benefits. Without the iron and steel enterprises that the state must protect, whoever breaks the capital chain will be eliminated. To reduce the cost, we should start from the following aspects: reducing the price of raw materials; Appropriately reduce the grade of required materials; Reduce the consumption of each process; Energy conservation and comprehensive utilization; Spare parts improve service life; Check and repair, improve work efficiency; Clean up the outsourcing team; Replacing high-interest loans with low-interest financial products; Reduce inventory and optimize logistics; Improve product grade and price; Make full use of national policies to reduce surrender, etc.