How to forecast the company's net profit?

Net profit (income) refers to the company's retained profit after paying income tax according to regulations, which is usually called after-tax profit or net income. Net profit is the final result of enterprise management. The more net profit, the better the operating efficiency of the enterprise. If the net profit is small, the operating efficiency of the enterprise will be poor, which is the main index to measure the operating efficiency of the enterprise. The calculation formula of net profit is: net profit = total profit-income tax expense; Total profit = operating profit+non-operating income-non-operating expenditure; Operating profit = operating income-operating costs-taxes-sales expenses-management expenses-research and development expenses-financial expenses-asset impairment loss+other income+investment income (loss is marked with "-")+fair value change income (loss is marked with "-")+asset disposal income (loss is less than "-"); Income tax expense = total profit * income tax rate.

Profit forecast is the prediction and calculation of the company's realizable profit in a certain period of time in the future. It is to predict the profit level that the company can achieve in the future according to various factors that affect the company's profit changes, or to predict the sales volume or sales volume that needs to be achieved according to the requirements of achieving profit targets. In the process of investment, we will encounter how to predict the financial situation of a company in the next few years. We can make simple and effective financial forecasts for the next few years from the following aspects.

1. Starting with the revenue forecast, combined with the past product revenue and the company's orders, the annualized growth rate of each product can be predicted, and then the operating income in the next few years can be predicted.

2. Then according to the gross profit margin of each product, the gross profit margin of the company can be calculated.

3. Calculate the total profit of the company by combining business tax, three fees and non-operating income and expenditure, mainly based on the historical situation to predict the future.

After deducting income tax, you can get the company's net profit.

5. Based on the flexibility of the company in the past few years and the future, the sensitivity forecast of profits can be made, and finally the performance forecast range of the company in the next few years can be obtained.

6. Finally, add up the forecast data of each business unit to get the performance forecast of the company in the next few years.